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これから起こる悲劇すべてを「トランプのせい」にして終わる世界経済
2017年2月26日ニュース
海外メディアに興味深い意見記事が掲載されていました。歴史的規模の経済危機が目前に迫っていて、そのすべての責任がトランプ大統領に押し付けられる、という内容です。（『いつも感謝している高年の独り言（有料版）』）
※本記事は、『いつも感謝している高年の独り言（有料版）』2017年2月24日号の抜粋です。ご興味を持たれた方はぜひこの機会にバックナンバー含め今月すべて無料のお試し購読をどうぞ。
ドナルド・トランプは「敗戦処理投手」。ヤケクソ大暴投の可能性も
迫る歴史的規模の経済危機、その責任は？
海外メディア『New American』に、歴史的規模の経済危機が目前に迫っているという趣旨の興味深い意見記事が掲載されていました。
https://www.thenewamerican.com/economy/economics/item/25385-looming-economic-crisis-to-be-blamed-on-trump-experts-warn
以降、記事の要点をご紹介します。
歴史的規模の経済危機が、もう目前に来ている。エスタブリッシュメントたちが、その責任をトランプ大統領や反グローバリズム主義者に押し付ける可能性がある。こう考えているのは元大統領候補だったロン・ポール（Ron Paul）元議員や、複数の経済専門家たちである。
来襲するだろう金融混乱の土台を実際に築いたのは「オバマ大統領」や「FRB」であるものの、おそらくトランプが責任を押し付けられるだろう。
【関連】なぜ今になって「世界最大ヘッジファンド」はトランプに怯え始めたのか？＝今市太郎
ロン・ポール元議員は、「深刻な金融危機が起こるのは間違いない」「経済的理由で米国は終わる」として、次のように述べています。
FRBの金融政策、ドル垂れ流し政策の結果、近い将来に深刻な金融危機が起こるのは間違いないだろう。これを避けることはできないし、トランプでさえも止めることはできない。そして、その責任はトランプに押し付けられるだろう。
この金融危機は、来年になるとか、1年半後になるという予言があるが時期はわからない。しかし、規模としては、2008年危機よりもずっと深刻な超不況になると考えられる。
エスタブリッシュメントたちは、何もかもを「トランプのせいだ」と言うだろう。しかし、それは間違いだ。前の危機は、オバマの失政ではなく、FRBに責任がある。ケインズ経済学派の経済モデルの欠陥であり、要は過剰な支出、財政赤字が問題なのだ。
残念なことに、トランプにできることは何もなく、経済の落ち込みは避けられない。なぜならば、財政赤字、不良投資、それにあまりにも長期間の超低金利が続いているからである。
トランプに唯一できることは、超不況の時代を大統領として過ごし、債務を清算するだけだ。政治家なら誰もが好まないことだが、米国経済の終わりに皆が気が付く前に、物価の高騰が見られるだろう。帝国には終焉がつきものであり、経済的理由で米国は終わるのだ。
Next: ジム・ロジャーズ「多分これまでで最悪の状態」経済のメルトダウンを警告する専門家たち
米国株の暴落を警告する専門家たち
複数の専門家は、FRBの低金利の垂れ流しマネーによって高騰してきた異常な株価が、急激な落ち込みをすると指摘している。
現在の米国株価は記録的なレベルとなり、それゆえ、専門家たちは「残酷な下落になる」と見ています。他にも、「強烈な物価上昇」や「米ドルの大幅な価値下落」を指摘している専門家が多くいる状況です。
この問題の背景には長年蓄積されてきた米国の構造的な欠陥があるとしていますが、結局は「トランプが責任を押し付けられる」ことになりそうです。
ジム・ロジャーズやジェームズ・リッカーズが警告する経済メルトダウン
また記事中では、ジム・ロジャーズ（Jim Rogers）の最近のインタビューについても言及しています。
ジム・ロジャーズは最近のインタビューで「備えよ。人生で最悪の経済危機に突入しつつあり、多分これまでで最悪の状態となって、多くの組織、企業、下手をすれば政府や国家までが崩壊するかもしれない」と警告している。
さらに、ベストセラー『通貨戦争』の著書で経済評論家・投資家のジェームズ・リッカーズ（James Rickards）の発言についても引用し、経済危機の訪れを強く示唆しています。
昨年末、ジェームズ・リッカーズが同様の警告を発している。トランプはこの経済危機に対して何もできないだろうとして、「金融危機は間違いなくやってくる。一番重要なことは、いますぐに準備することだ。それは2018年になるか？2019年になるのか？それとも明日なのかはわからないが、いつ起きても不思議ではない状態である。さらにその内容は2008年から続く経済のメルトダウンであり、今までにない規模と損害を与えるだろう」と預言している。
加えて、「前の危機では、FRBが米ドルを大量にばら撒いて誤魔化したが、今度はおそらく金融的凍結、すなわち銀行閉鎖をして、電子マネーも凍結させて混乱を抑えるだろう。その引き金は、大手銀行の破産、現物地金の引き出し停止、戦争勃発、自然災害、金融システムに対するサイバー攻撃など、いろいろなことが考えられる。その時期は問題ではない。問題なのは、この危機が回避不能であり、もうすぐ来襲するということだ。準備をする必要がある」と語っている。
最大の問題は、FRBがここに至っても借金を増やすだけで、何とか水面下に沈まないようにと永久的な信用創造を続けていることである。
「反グローバリズムが経済危機をもたらす」IMFによる宣伝の意味
事実、トランプが大統領に選ばれる前から、IMFやグローバリズムを進める機関は「トランプの反グローバリズムが経済危機を引き起こす」と宣伝した。選挙終了後も、同様のプロパガンダが続き、例えば英国のIndependent紙には「ドナルド・トランプ大統領は、どのようにして世界経済を難破させるか」という題名の記事を掲載。そこでは、「2017年に米ドル危機が起きて、それが銀行危機と、そして大不況を引き起こすだろう。すべてはトランプが引き起こすものだ」と述べられていた。
Next: すべてに気づいているトランプは「市場クラッシュ」の引き金を引くか？
すべてに気づいているトランプは「市場クラッシュ」の引き金を引くか？
別の見方もあります。それは、「トランプはおそらく、このことに気がついている」という見方です。
もし気がついているならば、早急に引き金を引くはずです。現時点で前述の超金融危機が起きれば、誰も「トランプが悪い」とは言えないはずだからです。トランプが、前任者と同様にダマシダマシの危機の後送り政策をとって、例えば4年後の大統領再選挙の近くで超金融危機が破裂すれば、もうこれはトランプの責任になります。
2つの選択肢、つまり今すぐ引き金を引くのか？それとも我慢するのか？の功罪を考えれば、たぶん、彼は暴発させると思います。皆様はどうお考えでしょうか？
（続きはご購読ください。初月無料です）
＜初月無料購読ですぐ読める！ 2月配信済みバックナンバー＞
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________________________________________
※本記事は、『いつも感謝している高年の独り言（有料版）』2017年2月24日号の抜粋です。ご興味を持たれた方はぜひこの機会にバックナンバー含め今月すべて無料のお試し購読をどうぞ。
【関連】米国で始まった「トランプ降ろし」麻生副総理はペンス副大統領に勝てるか？＝斎藤満
【関連】トランプが会見で「ＣＮＮは偽ニュースだ！」と激怒した本当の理由
【関連】俳優の竹内力が広告塔「1000億円巨額詐欺」に関与した民進党元代議士とは？
http://www.mag2.com/p/money/34645/2
Wednesday, 15 February 2017
Looming Economic Crisis to be Blamed on Trump, Experts Warn
Written by Alex Newman
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Looming Economic Crisis to be Blamed on Trump, Experts Warn
An economic crisis of potentially historic proportions appears to be just around the corner, and the establishment may be setting up President Donald Trump and other anti-globalist forces to take the blame for it. So says former congressman and GOP presidential candidate Ron Paul and other economic experts with a proven track record of accuracy who have studied the issue. And at this point, there is probably nothing that can be done to stop it.
While the groundwork for the upcoming financial chaos was actually laid down early in Obama's term — and even before — by the Federal Reserve System, the figurative chickens will likely be coming home to roost under the new Trump administration. “The Federal Reserve's policies of printing trillions of dollars back in '08-09 have locked into place a serious financial crisis at some point in our future,” Paul warned. “It's unavoidable, and even Donald Trump can't stop it. Trump will unfairly get the blame though.”
“There are some dire predictions that say in the next year, or 18 months, we have something arriving worse than 2008 and 2009, the downturn is much worse,” Paul said in a recent interview with liberty-minded anti-globalist radio host Alex Jones. “They'll say, ah, it's all Trump's fault. No. It wasn't. 08 and 09 wasn't Obama's fault. It was the fault of the Federal Reserve, it was the fault of the Keynesian economic model, the spending too much, the deficit. So, unfortunately, there's nothing he can do — Trump can't do it.”
Paul, a medical doctor who took a keen interest in economics throughout his celebrated career as a constitutionalist in Congress, said Trump could “help” the situation by pursuing good policies. “But you can't avoid the correction, the correction is locked in place, because the deficits are there, the malinvestment, everybody agrees interest rates have been too low too long,” he said in the late January interview. “The only thing he can do is allow the recession to come, get it over with, liquidate the debt. Politically, nobody wants that, so you're going to see runaway inflation before you see this country wake up.”
“All empires end and we’re the empire. It’s going to end and it’s going to be for economic reasons,” Paul continued, noting that there would be “horrendous increases” in spending and inflation. “This is a monetary problem. This is a spending problem. This is a foreign policy problem. And that is what is going to bring us down, it’s going to be financial.”
But Paul is hardly the only expert warning of a looming economic crisis. Among other concerns, experts have warned that the over-valued stock market, pumped up by easy Federal Reserve money, could face major declines, with a potential massive sell-off in the months or years ahead. Right now, American stocks are at record highs, and so, the correction could be brutal. Bond markets are also said to be unstable.
Another potential problem cited by more than a few analysts and experts is massive inflation and a potential collapse in the value of the U.S. dollar. Such a scenario, brought about by the Fed's wild currency printing in combination with a global sell-off as foreign governments reject the unstable American currency, could easily be blamed on Trump's policies, despite the structural causes having been put in place years, decades, and even generations prior to his presidency.
“Get prepared,” warned legendary billionaire investor Jim Rogers, co-founder with George Soros of the Quantum Fund, in an interview this week with MacroVoices. “We're going to have the worst economic problems we've had in your lifetime or my lifetime and when that happens a lot of people are going to disappear.” He noted that in the 2008-2009 crisis, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers both went under. But the next time, he warned, “it's going to be worse than anything we've seen and a lot of institutions, people, companies even countries, certainly governments and maybe even countries are going to disappear. I hope you get very worried.”
In an interview late last year, author and financial expert James Rickards issued similar warnings and said there was nothing Trump could do. “A financial crisis is certainly coming. What is most important is that the crisis is coming and the time to prepare is now. It could happen in 2018, 2019, or it could happen tomorrow. The conditions for collapse are all in place,” Rickards told MarketWatch, adding that it would be “much worse” than the last crisis because of developments since the 2008 economic meltdown. “The next crisis will be of unprecedented scale and damage.”
Rickards also suggested that, unlike in the last crisis, when the Fed flooded the planet with freshly created fiat dollars, the “elites” would likely freeze the financial plumbing during the next one, meaning banks will close, wealth in digital form will be inaccessible, and chaos will reign. “Likely triggers could include a major bank failure, a failure to deliver physical gold, a war, a natural disaster, a cyber-financial attack and many other events. The trigger does not matter,” he said. “The exact timing does not matter. What matters is that the crisis is inevitable and coming soon. Investors need to prepare.”
Of course, Obama and his bipartisan enablers in Congress certainly did not help matters by doubling the federal government's already absurdly unsustainable debt load in eight short years. But the biggest problem is, has been, and will continue to be the Fed and the ridiculous debt-based fiat monetary regime that literally depends on perpetual credit expansion to stay afloat. Still, the establishment's propaganda arm, better known as the “mainstream media,” will work overtime to ensure that Trump and conservatives get the blame rather than the real culprits.
In fact, the laying of the groundwork for blaming Trump began long before he was even elected, with the IMF and other globalist institutions warning that opposition to their globalist system would lead to economic problems. After the election, the propaganda continued. The U.K. Independent newspaper, for example, ran an article shortly after Trump's election headlined “How President Donald Trump will wreck the world economy.” The sub-header provided a perfect description of what is likely to become the establishment media's narrative once the crisis begins. “The great dollar crisis of 2017 will follow the banking crisis and the great Recession — and it will all be sparked by The Donald,” claimed Independent reporter Sean O'Grady.
The report does acknowledge that much of the problem — the absurd debts and deficits run up by the U.S. government, for instance — were not in fact Trump's doing. But it still suggests that Trump's presidency may be the instigator of the coming collapse. “Following his win, it is likely that the dollar will drop like a stone, and everyone will be poorer,” O'Grady argued. “Yes, Donald Trump could prove the catalyst for a world economic cataclysm, one that would make the financial crisis feel like an aperitif for the main event. From what we know about the signs are not promising.”
More recently, the same newspaper pushed the same narrative even more explicitly. “Donald Trump's first gift to the world will be another financial crisis,” reads a January headline in the Independent. Trump, writer Ben Chu claimed, “gives every impression that he will soon be hustling America — and possibly the entire world — in the direction of another catastrophic financial crisis.”
The piece also quotes alleged “experts” laying out the same case. “If the Trump administration does just half of what it says it’s going to do in economic policy and financial regulation, another financial crash is almost certain and sooner rather than later,” Dennis Kelleher, chief of the “Better Markets” think tank, is quoted as saying.
More than a few establishment insiders are pushing a similar narrative, arguing that Trump's proposed policies — not a banking-cartel scam disguised as a “monetary system” — will be the cause of the coming crisis. “The deregulation in some areas like finance is hugely dangerous,” claimed former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, a Big Government monger and a member of the establishment globalist Council on Foreign Relations, in an interview last month on Fox. Summers also claimed reducing government regulation was “setting the stage for the next financial crisis.”
Even before Trump's election, though, astute analysts were warning that the establishment was plotting to blame conservatives and anti-globalists for the coming economic chaos. “The vast majority of analysts in the mainstream and in the alternative media refused to acknowledge the possibility that a successful Brexit actually works in FAVOR of the globalists, because it provides them a perfect scapegoat for a financial crisis that has been broiling for years and is now ready to burst into flames,” wrote Brandon Smith at Alt-Market.com after Brexit but before Trump. “I find still that many people will not dare to consider the idea that a successful conservative resurgence is actually part of the plan for globalist institutions.”
And after the successful Brexit vote, establishment voices were out promoting the narrative. Last summer, responding to Brexit, former Fed boss Alan Greenspan warned that serious economic pain was on the way. “We are in very early days of a crisis which has got a way to go,” he told Bloomberg. “This is the worst period, I recall since I’ve been in public service. There’s nothing like it, including the crisis — remember October 19th, 1987, when the Dow went down by a record amount 23 percent? That I thought was the bottom of all potential problems. This has a corrosive effect that will not go away. I’d love to find something positive to say…. I don’t know how it’s going to resolve, but there’s going to be a crisis.”
A similar situation appears to be developing with Trump in the United States. And, in the months before the election, Alt-Market's Smith was predicting a Trump presidency, followed by an economic collapse blamed on Trump, Brexit, and others opposed to globalism. “I continue to hold to the position I always have — that Donald Trump is going to be ALLOWED into the White House, and that this will be a prelude to economic crisis,” Smith argued in October. “The stage is being set for a grand finale to our ongoing financial collapse. The great villain behind the whole disaster will be revealed, and we will be told that the villain is us.”
After decades of criminal looting and abuse masquerading as fiscal and monetary “policy” by Western governments and central banks, another economic crisis of massive proportions does appear almost certain at this point. And with conservatives, anti-globalists, and anti-establishment forces surging into power across the West, it is hardly difficult to imagine the looming collapse being blamed on those who opposed the establishment and its rigged system. At that point, the establishment's pre-packaged “solutions” — a global currency run by the IMF, a re-invigorated and more totalitarian system of “global governance,” and other evils already waiting in the wings — will be much easier to sell to a desperate public.
Billionaires and members of the elite are already preparing for collapse, buying up bunkers and huge tracts of land from Idaho to New Zealand. Some states are considering it, too. The task for liberty-minded citizens everywhere, though, must be to educate the American people on the true sources of the looming problems — and real solutions, such as a return to an honest monetary system and constitutionally limited government. It will be an enormous task, but a crucial one, if liberty and prosperity are to thrive over the long term.
CFRestoreSM banner
Alex Newman is a correspondent for The New American, covering economics, education, politics, and more. He can be reached at anewman@thenewamerican.com. Follow him on Twitter @ALEXNEWMAN_JOU.
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