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2007-10-27 19:35:45
gataro-cloneの投稿
元ボスニア和平会議上級代表のアシュダウン卿：私たちはアフガニスタンで敗北した【英テレグラフ紙】
テーマ：アジア
国会で福田首相が「タリバン政権が崩壊した結果、（国民が）政治経済のさまざまな局面で新しい国づくりに参加できるようになった」（http://ameblo.jp/warm-heart/entry-10052412478.html）などと、能天気にも楽観的なアフガン情勢を語っているが、実際は深刻な事態にあることは大方の知るところである。
英テレグラフ紙（10月25日付・電子版）は、ボスニア・ヘルツェゴビナ和平履行会議の上級代表を務め、紛争解決にあたったアシュダウン卿の言を引いてこう伝えた。NATOはアフガニスタンで敗北した。その地で安定化に失敗すれば、“大規模な”地域内戦を引き起こすだろう、と。
アシュダウン卿は「私たちは敗北した。今や成功はありそうもない」と述べたのだ。
アシュダウン卿は「アフガニスタンでの敗北はイラクでの敗北よりも深刻なものと信じている」と付け加え、その敗北の影響はパキスタンなどにも深刻な影響を広げて大規模なシーア派・スンニ派の地域戦争を起こすだろうと、見解を示した。
「第１次、第２次世界大戦をヨーロッパ内戦とみなす人もいるが、同様の地域内戦がこの地域での失敗によって両大戦に匹敵する規模で起こる可能性がある」とも指摘した。
アシュダウン卿（66）は元イギリス自由民主党党首で、今回の発言は、オランダのノールドワイクで昨日開かれたNATO首脳会議に先だって行ったもの。
アフガニスタンの深刻な事態を打開するため彼を特使に推す声が出ているなか、あえて厳しい警告をしたものと思われる。
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/10/25/wafg125.xml
Afghanistan is lost, says Lord Ashdown（The Telegraph）
By Tom Coghlan
Last Updated: 3:33am BST 25/10/2007
Nato has "lost in Afghanistan" and its failure to bring stability there could provoke a regional sectarian war "on a grand scale", according to Lord Ashdown.
The former United Nations High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina delivered his dire prediction after being proposed as a new "super envoy" role in Afghanistan.
Lord Ashdown said: "We have lost, I think, and success is now unlikely."
The assessment will be considered extreme by some diplomats but timely by those pressing for more resources for Nato operations.
Lord Ashdown added: "I believe losing in Afghanistan is worse than losing in Iraq. It will mean that Pakistan will fall and it will have serious implications internally for the security of our own countries and will instigate a wider Shiite [Shia], Sunni regional war on a grand scale.
"Some people refer to the First and Second World Wars as European civil wars and I think a similar regional civil war could be initiated by this [failure] to match this magnitude."
Lord Ashdown, 66, the former leader of the Liberal Democrats, was speaking in advance of a Nato summit in the Dutch town of Noordwijk yesterday.
Britain and the US infuriated by the lack of assistance granted by allies to those countries with forces operating in Afghanistan.
The tensions are particularly acute given that members pledged a year ago that they would do everything within their power to ensure "success" in the country.
With a growing sense in Kabul that the reconstruction and military efforts are lacking focus, Britain and the US are pushing for the creation of a super envoy and are looking for a political heavyweight to fill the role.
Both countries consider that Tom Koenigs, the current UN special representative to Kabul who is a former regional politician in Germany, lacks the international standing to fulfil such a role. He will complete his posting by Christmas.
It is understood that the super envoy would have the existing duties of the UN representative but also greater powers to co-ordinate the rebuilding of the country after decades of war. Progress in reconstruction and development - especially in the violent south - has been sporadic and considered largely unsatisfactory by the international community.
However, there remains widespread discussion over the precise remit that the new figure would have, particularly in relation to any oversight they might have of Nato operations and Operation Enduring Freedom, the US's separate mission.
A spokesman at the British Embassy in Kabul told The Daily Telegraph: "There is an important role for the United Nations to play in co-ordinating efforts in Afghanistan and we would like to see the international effort better co-ordinated."
A senior diplomat who declined to be named said: "The overall leadership here is that of President Karzai.
"So whoever takes on this role needs to be able to co-ordinate the international community but also serve the interests and structures of a sovereign state."
Apart from Lord Ashdown, candidates under consideration for the new enhanced role include Joschka Fischer, the former German foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner, the serving French foreign minister, and Jaroslav Kaczynski, the former Polish prime minister who lost Sunday's general election.
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【関連エントリー】
＜新テロ特措法審議＞アフガン情勢についてさえ閣内不一致／あるのはただ対米関係への配慮のみ
http://ameblo.jp/warm-heart/entry-10052412478.html
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ちぐはぐ答弁（瀬戸智子の枕草子）
http://www.asyura2.com/07/senkyo43/msg/606.html
投稿者 gataro 日時 2007 年 10 月 26 日 18:07:05: KbIx4LOvH6Ccw
- Re: 訂正：見出しと本文中の［アシュダウン卿］はすべて［ロード・アシュダウン］の誤りです。 gataro 2007/10/27 22:46:29
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