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(回答先: 原油『１００ドル乗せ』 熱い攻防 投機筋、買い仕掛け 消費国側は“冷却”に懸命 「東京新聞」 投稿者 怪傑 日時 2007 年 11 月 17 日 12:26:19)
11月15日付け「ガーディアン」には、クウェートを本拠地とするコンサルタント会社のUsameh Jamali氏の言葉として、１バレルあたりの原油価格が150ドルぐらいまで跳ね上がることもありうるとの記事が掲載されている。
（大変な物価高で、かつてのミドル・クラスの人々もリストラにおびえ、日本より長時間働いて（（中には二つの仕事を持って））、やっと生活を支えているのがアメリカの現状だが、今後どうなるのかと人々は大きな不安に陥っている。1929年以来の大恐慌ともいわれている。楽天家のアメリカ人の中にも、もう先は長くないのかもしれないという人も多い）
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2007/nov/15/oil.saudiarabia
Oil price could hit $150 a barrel
Terry Macalister
Guardian Unlimited Thursday November 15 2007
Oil could reach $150 a barrel and needs a new system of pricing that would take the power out of the hands of financial speculators, Opec delegates at a special summit in Saudi Arabia were told today.
While no one wanted to feed further fear into the market, industry players spoke behind the scenes about prices going up to $125 or even $150, said Kuwait-based consultant Usameh Jamali.
"People in the market believe that $100 is sustainable and there is continued upward pressure ... we should be expecting some downward pressure in a couple of years [only]," added Jamali, who said he had taken private soundings from key figures at the World Energy Congress in Rome earlier this week.
Whereas, in the past, a $20 change in the price of oil could be attributed to political uncertainties, that figure had risen to at least $30, he said. "If President Bush changes the rhetoric and says the old [oil consuming countries] and the new [producers] should work jointly together to find a solution, then prices would fall by $30," he added.
Robert Mabro, director of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies think tank and another speaker at the "ministerial symposium" in Riyadh, said uncertainty had reached new heights and it was now impossible to predict where the cost of crude could go from here.
"I don't know if $100 is sustainable. Before we leave the room it may go up $20 or it may go down $20 - but what does that tell me about the fundamentals [of oil supply and demand]?" he said.
Mabro, a long time adviser to Opec, said he wanted the oil cartel to spend six months researching ways to find a different pricing structure. He said it was not the high price but volatility that was damaging producers and consumers alike.
With "crazy" prices causing such uncertainty - and the short-term demands of investors in major stock-listed oil companies - it was very difficult for firms to make a case for large new investment in the oil capacity, despite it being badly needed, Mabro added.
He declined to go into details about how he would take the power of financial investors out of the pricing equation, but said there were ways that you could "bankrupt them".
Yvo de Boer, the executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, admitted fossil fuels would remain a dominant force. "Oil is here to stay," he said.
But he also told Opec ministers that every nation in the world had to start making changes to bring down carbon emissions and the attitude of "business as usual" could not continue.
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