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(回答先: 【豪州紙の報道】ペンタゴンが「北朝鮮が核燃料再処理を行なえば、米軍が核施設を爆撃する」計画を作成 投稿者 佐藤雅彦 日時 2003 年 4 月 22 日 23:00:44)
●米国の国務省は北朝鮮政府に「現行体制の転覆など考えてない」と
言い寄りながら核技術の放棄を迫る方針らしいですが、ラムズ
フェルドの国防省は中国と結託して（下記の記事では「軍事行動は
求めずに」と書いている）北朝鮮の現行体制を破綻にもっていく
方針らしい。
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Telegraph
http://feeds.bignewsnetwork.com/?sid=b4e7e2d3f9d9b313
Tuesday 22nd April, 2003
By David Rennie in Washington
A secret Donald Rumsfeld memorandum calling for regime change in North Korea, was leaked yesterday, opening a fresh foreign policy split in the Bush administration.
The classified discussion paper, circulated by the defence secretary, appears to cut directly across State Department plans to disarm Kim Jong-il, the North's dictator, through threats leavened by promises that his regime is not a target for overthrow.
The paper does not call for military action against North Korea, but wants the United States to team up with China in pushing for the collapse of Kim Jong-il's bankrupt but belligerent regime, the New York Times reported.
In a sign that Washington is girding itself for a repetition of the bitter rows that preceded the Iraq conflict, the memorandum was leaked on the same day that a senior State Department negotiator flew to Beijing for three-way talks with China and North Korea.
Officials working for Mr Rumsfeld are implacably opposed to the talks, pointing to North Korea's long history of extorting aid and concessions in return for promises - never kept - to behave in a more reasonable way.
Instead, they seek to use the salutary effect of the rapid victory in Iraq to push North Korea to scrap its nuclear weapons programme immediately.
They also want to demand weapons inspections across the country. That would be an unthinkable concession for a Stalinist police state that bars even aid agencies from a third of its territory.
This raises the prospect that Washington would be urging inspections for form's sake and with little hope of success, much as happened in Iraq.
Even before the American envoy, James Kelly, arrived in Beijing for the talks, there were signs of new North Korean brinksmanship.
Pyongyang released conflicting statements last Friday, saying in an English language text that it had started reprocessing spent fuel rods into plutonium, a dramatic step that would place it only months from producing several nuclear warheads. However, a Korean version of the statement said that Pyongyang was merely poised to begin reprocessing.
Supporters of the diplomatic approach attacked the Pentagon proposal as ludicrous. They said that Beijing, while appalled by North Korea's recent behaviour, would never join an American-led campaign to topple its communist neighbour.
An unnamed senior administration official told the New York Times: "The last thing the Chinese want is a collapse of North Korea that will create a flood of refugees into China and put Western allies on the Chinese border."
The White House says that regime change in North Korea is not official policy, despite the country's inclusion with Iraq and Iran in President George W Bush's "axis of evil".
Mr Bush has said that he "loathes" Kim Jong-il, who is believed to have killed a tenth of his population through starvation and imprisonment in vast labour camps.
Colin Powell, the secretary of state, is said to have secured the president's approval for a carrot and stick approach in a meeting last week. Mr Powell called for threats to withhold aid and investment from North Korea, while assuring the regime that it faces no threat from the United States.
Mr Rumsfeld, who was "distracted" by the war against Saddam Hussein, did not attend the meeting and may now be trying to regain some traction in the Korea debate, officials speculated.
Mr Bush, who appears willing to let his senior aides scrap over policy before taking a final decision, endorsed Mr Kelly's diplomatic mission at the weekend and thanked Beijing for hosting the talks.
He said that China's involvement meant there was "a good chance of convincing North Korea to abandon her ambitions to develop nuclear arsenals".
The Clinton administration drew up plans to bomb the main North Korean nuclear site at Yongbyon. But the generally far more hawkish Bush government has long contended that talk of military action against North Korea is unrealistic, given the country's huge conventional arsenals aimed at South Korea.
Instead, conservatives have advocated letting North Korea "stew in its own juice", cutting off the overseas aid which sustains the crumbling regime until it collapses under its own weight.
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●上記の記事のなかで言及されている『ニューヨーク・タイムズ」の
記事というのは、これ（↓）のことです。ここに、国防省内で
ラムズフェルドの秘密メモが回されていることが語られています。
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ニューヨーク・タイムズ
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/04/21/international/asia/21KORE.html
Administration Divided Over North Korea
By DAVID E. SANGER
WASHINGTON, April 20 -- Just days before President Bush approved the opening of negotiations with North Korea over its nuclear program, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld circulated to key members of the administration a Pentagon memorandum proposing a radically different approach: the United States, the memo argued, should team up with China to press for the ouster of North Korea's leadership.
Mr. Rumsfeld's team, administration officials said, was urging diplomatic pressure for changing the government, not a military solution. But the classified memo, drafted by officials who are deeply opposed to opening talks that could eventually end up benefiting North Korea economically, shows how the handling of the crisis has become the newest subject of internal struggle over how to pursue Mr. Bush's determination to stop the spread of nuclear arms and other unconventional weapons.
Officials on all sides of the arguments say that, with the fall of President Saddam Hussein of Iraq, the internal battles that once surrounded the policy on Iraq are re-emerging over North Korea.
White House officials say a change of government in North Korea is not official administration policy -- and some suggest that the secret memorandum was circulated for discussion among high-level officials, including Vice President Dick Cheney, and may not represent Mr. Rumsfeld's view. Mr. Rumsfeld's spokeswoman, Victoria Clarke, said today that the defense secretary completely supported the president's diplomatic strategy for disarming North Korea.
But the memo's main argument, that Washington's goal should be the collapse of Kim Jong Il's government, seems at odds with the State Department approach of convincing Mr. Kim, in the words of one senior administration official, "that we're not trying to take him out."
The memorandum was described by several officials who have seen it, including critics of the Pentagon approach who say it is ludicrous to think that China -- which is acting as intermediary between North Korea and the United States -- would join in any American-led effort to bring about the fall of the North Korean government.
"The last thing the Chinese want," said a senior administration official dealing with the delicate diplomacy, "is a collapse of North Korea that will create a flood of refugees into China and put Western allies on the Chinese border."
President Bush said today that China's willingness to intervene in the negotiations -- along with close coordination with Japan and South Korea about dealing with the North Korean government -- meant that there was "a good chance of convincing North Korea to abandon her ambitions to develop nuclear arsenals."
But some in the administration liken the new effort to force North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons to Mr. Bush's attempt last September to force Iraq to open up to full inspections: while the White House believes that it is worth a try, few in the administration believe it will work. Mr. Bush and Mr. Rumsfeld have carefully avoided ruling out a military strike on North Korea, though they have both publicly insisted that this is a moment for diplomacy and that no military action is currently contemplated.
Even those who urged the administration to talk to North Korea, like Senator Richard G. Lugar, Republican of Indiana and the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, say the threat of military action, no matter how risky, must underpin any talks. "I think that that always has to be there as a very strong possibility," Mr. Lugar said today on the NBC News program "Meet the Press."
Hard-liners in the Pentagon -- and some at the White House -- say that the United States should use its speedy victory in Iraq to drive home to North Korea that it could meet the same fate if it ignores Mr. Bush's demand that it dismantle its nuclear weapons program, ship its spent nuclear fuel out of the country and open up to intrusive inspections.
Mr. Powell's approach, officials familiar with his thinking say, is to offer North Korea assurances that the United States is not trying to undermine its government, but to make clear that until the nuclear programs are dismantled, the country will get no aid and investment. Mr. Powell received final approval for his approach in a meeting with President Bush last week, a session Mr. Rumsfeld did not attend.
"There's a sense in the Pentagon that Powell got this arranged while everyone was distracted with Iraq," said one intelligence official. "And now there is a race over who will control the next steps."
North Korea is the next case in Mr. Bush's policy of zero tolerance for "rogue states" with such weapons, because unlike Iraq it has two active nuclear programs. The Central Intelligence Agency believes that the country may have developed two weapons before a 1994 nuclear- freeze agreement. North Korea continues to sell missiles to Iran, Syria, Pakistan and other states around the world, and Mr. Powell's deputy, Richard L. Armitage, told Congress earlier this year that if the country made weapons-grade plutonium, it would probably sell it.
On Friday, in its first explicit comment on the Iraq war, North Korea said it had learned something from the fall of Mr. Hussein. "The Iraqi war teaches a lesson that in order to prevent a war and defend the security of a country and the sovereignty of a nation," North Korea said in a statement, "it is necessary to have a powerful physical deterrent."
The talks scheduled for this week were nearly scuttled on Friday when, in that same statement, North Korea appeared to suggest -- according to its own English-language translation of a government statement -- that it had already begun reprocessing its spent nuclear fuel into bomb- grade plutonium. That would mean that Mr. Bush was entering into talks with the nuclear clock ticking. Unless a quick deal was struck, North Korea would be producing weapons-grade material within weeks.
But by midday Friday, American, Japanese and South Korean officials said that when read in the original Korean, the statement said that North Korea was poised to begin producing plutonium, not that it had done so. Today the White House said it was consulting with its allies about whether to go ahead with the talks, scheduled to begin Wednesday.
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題名には必ず「阿修羅さんへ」と記述してください。