投稿コメント全ログ コメント即時配信 スレ建て依頼 削除コメント確認方法
| ★阿修羅♪ 戦争７ ★阿修羅♪ |
(回答先: Re: ビンラディンのテープは期待するほどの効果は得られないだろう[ABC.com] 投稿者 信玄 日時 2001 年 12 月 14 日 05:10:57)
Providing Fodder for His Enemies
Bin Laden Tape May Work Against Him, But It Was Probably Planned
By Andrew Chang and Deb AmosThat's the question that follows the broadcast today of a videotape in which bin Laden acknowledges direct responsibility for the Sept. 11 attacks on the United States that killed more than 3,000 people.
Up until this point, the Saudi exile had praised the attack but denied any involvement in its planning or execution.
But the video released by the Pentagon today shows bin Laden at a dinner meeting with his top associates on Nov. 9, recounting his involvement in and reaction to the attacks nearly two months earlier.
On the tape, bin Laden describes how he had calculated how many civilians would die in the attacks, and how he was surprised that both World Trade Center towers collapsed. He also says some of the hijackers did not know they were going to die.
Some voices in the Muslim world, and among bin Laden's supporters, have already expressed doubt about the tape.
The amateurish quality of the video, the many cuts, and that bin Laden's voice is hard to hear, already have some arguing that it is a U.S. fabrication.
Skeptics might also point out that the tape has emerged only two months after a military action had already begun, and that "it didn't surface through normal channels," Thomas J. Badey, a terrorism expert at Randolph-Macon College in Ashland, Va.,said on Tuesday.
But there are also entirely feasible reasons for the tape's existence, experts said — even accounting for bin Laden's careful planning.
An al Qaeda Production
Bin Laden's al Qaeda network has long been known to have a "media wing" — not only assembling propaganda, but also creating material for internal use.
As opposition forces seize bases that once belonged to bin Laden's al Qaeda network across Afghanistan, they have been discovering tapes documenting executions, terrorist training exercises, and the destruction of the ancient Buddahs in the Afghan city of Bamiyan.
Other al Qaeda tapes discovered by conquering opposition forces have also shown everyday activities like building new hospitals and handing out aid from Islamic aid agencies.
It is believed bin Laden's ultimate objective is a worldwide Islamic revolution, and his supporters may have wanted a historical record of such events.
The video, along with bin Laden's close associates, features a visiting sheik.
In the course of the dinner, the sheik proclaims, "In these days, in our times, that it will be the greatest jihad in the history of Islam and the resistance of the wicked people."
"It could be devotees of Osama bin Laden preserving an important moment for posterity, knowing that he could be a martyr," Roxanne Euben, a political science professor at Wellesley College in Massachusetts, said on Tuesday.
The tape might be used "to claim an incredible success at the very moment that morale may be falling," Euben said — but most experts agreed it was unlikely the current tape was made for the global media.
Previous releases to the media have been much more polished and have been efficiently dispatched, they said. "If he wanted to state his responsibility for it formally he would have done so with a big bang," said Badey.
It was also unlikely that bin Laden was unaware that he was being taped, they said.
Bin Laden would have been particularly attentive to video cameras, says Badey — especially after the assassination of famed Afghan opposition leader Ahmed Shah Massood.
Two suicide bombers killed Massood days before the Sept. 11 attacks by pretending to be journalists to get close to him and setting off a bomb hidden in a video camera.
However, the fact that the the video was left behind might be an accident, White House spokesman Ari Fleischer said today.
No Worries
Ultimately though, experts said, bin Laden might not care very much whether or not the West has evidence against him.
Whether or not he killed innocents still does not diminish bin Laden's political appeal, Lou Cantori, a lecturer for the State Department and professor at University of Maryland, Baltimore County, said on Tuesday.
Bin Laden's "criticism of the American foreign policy resonates in the Arab and Muslim imagination even though they disagree with his brutal and terrible methods and tactics," said Fawaz Gerges, a professor at Sarah Lawrence College in New York.
Bin Laden's sympathy for the Palestinians, his concern about sanctions on Iraq that are blamed for killing hundreds of thousands of children, and criticism of U.S. troops in Saudi Arabia — those causes generate support for him in the Muslim world, regardless of the videotape, Cantori said.
The United States is already pursuing bin Laden, and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has expressed his preference for apprehending the exiled Saudi dissident — dead.
"I think people now, the sense I get from speaking to a number of people out of the Arab world, is that what difference will it make?" said Ghida Fakhry, a former journalist for the Arab satellite television network Al Jazeera.
"The military campaign in Afghanistan at least is at such an advanced stage, what is the difference whether we see this evidence or not?"
-----------------------------------------------------
A Gruesome Mix of the Modern and Medieval
Dec. 13 — For a regime that has intentions of bringing the world to the seventh-century ideal of an Islamic state, al Qaeda had a surprisingly modern media operation.
As part of its media wing, it had a unit that collected articles from the Internet, in Arabic, of events linked to al Qaeda.
Folders of articles discovered in Kabul, Afghanistan, were titled "Variety of Achievements," and are accounts of attacks on the USS Cole, the U.S. battleship attacked in Yemen last year.
Some of the scenes the group recorded on video might as well have been taken from the medieval times al Qaeda so exalts.
The most graphic video viewed by ABCNEWS is a series of executions.
One of the killings is particularly grisly as it is carried out in front of thousands of people in Kandahar's famous stadium, which was a favorite killing ground for the Taliban.
The tape begins with a man wrapped mummy-style being carried into an open space. The man's feet and hands are bound and he is further restrained in what looks like a blanket or sheet.
A small woman, completely covered in a blue burqa, approaches the restrained man. She bends over him and with a sawing motion, uses a knife to cut off the man's head. It takes some effort, and the execution takes some time.
When it is over, the crowd disperses.
— ABCNEWS.com
---------------------------------------------------------
●ABCはやはり冷静。すでに長期間米国国防省の手元にあり、画像や音声の改竄捏造疑惑も多くのイスラム諸国で囁かれている今、あの内容では多くの懐疑論者にとって何の意味も有りませんな。
●発言内容も「犯人しか知り得ない事実」と云うより「聞かれたので、犯人とされている彼が彼なりの陰謀論（とすら言えない）を語っている」ようにしか聞こえませんでした。
土建屋のオッサンが熱圧壊による崩壊を解説しても今更何のインパクトも有りません。「実は発破が仕掛けてあってね」とか言い出すならともかく。
ペンシルベニアに墜落した機の目標は何だったのか、など本当に知りたいことは欠片も出ませんし。やはり本当の企画立案者の「決定打！！」ならば、そのくらいのことは激白してもらわないと。
●ABCのサイトではビデオの一部も映像として見られます。が、画面の右上にはでかでかと「合衆国政府による翻訳」と表示が入り、さり気に注意を促している。
与えられたものを丸呑みする思考停止したスポンジ脳の人にしか意味を為さないでしょう。もっともそういう人々はちびブッシュが「ビンラディンが犯人だ！」と叫んだ時点で信じている訳で、結局やはり何の意味も無いのですな。
●むしろ、「イスラエルがパレスチナに本格軍事侵攻。アラファト議長自宅軟禁。自治区のインフラ破壊」「アメリカABM制限条約脱退」などの大きな事件に合わせて発表し、メディアと世界の目を拡散しようと云う誰かの意図ではないのか？ と勘繰りたくなってくる。
題名には必ず「阿修羅さんへ」と記述してください。