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Subject SYNOPSIS OF WHAT IS NEW TO CAUSE INCREASED CONC...
Document Date 3/17/2011
From Sullivan,J....
To H
Posted Date 2/29/2016
Case Number F-2014-2...

https://foia.state.gov/Search/Results.aspx?collection=Clinton_Email

＞Original Message
From: Holdren, John P. [mailto:
Sent: Thursday, March 17, 2011 12:39 AM
To: Steinberg, James B; Shapiro, Nicholas S. ; Hammer, Michael A; Sullivan,McDonough, Denis R. <Richard A. <Jacob
Cc: Fetter, Steve <
Subject: RE: Synopsis of what is new to cause increased concern (BELATED TRANSMISSION

I PREPARED THE RESPONSE BELOW TO A QUESTION OF JIM'S THIS MORNING, AND THEN MULTIPLE INTERRUPTIONS CAUSED IT TO FALL OFF MY RADAR SCREEN BEFORE I SENT IT. I HAVE JUST REDISCOVERED IT SITTING IN MY "DRAFTS" FOLDER. I THINK IT IS STILL GERMANE. OUR ROUGH CALCULATIONS HERE DO SHOW THAT, UNDER THE STATED WEATHER CONDITIONS, THE VERY LARGE RELEASES THAT COULD ENSUE FROM BURNING FUEL IN DRY SPENT-FUEL POOLS COULD LEAD TO DOSES IN TOKYO OF 10 REM OR MORE. TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE CONTINUING FAIRLY HIGH PROBABILITY OF A LARGE RELEASE OF THIS SORT, ALONG WITH THE LOW PROBABILITY OF THE KINDS WEATHER
CONDITIONS THAT CAUSE MUCH OF THE MATERIAL TO REACH TOKYO, MY ROUGH JUDGMENTAL PROBABILITY ESTIMATE OF GETTING DOSES AS HIGH AS 10 REM IN TOKYO OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS IS ABOUT 1%, AND FOR DOSES OF 1-2 REM IN TOKYO IT WOULD BE ABOUT 10 PERCENT. IF THIS ACCIDENT WERE IN PHILADELPHIA AND THOSE WERE
MY JUDGMENTAL PROBABILITIES FOR DOSES IN WASHINGTON, DC, I *WOULD* RECOMMEND ISSUING THE SAME INSTRUCTION WE JUST ISSUED FOR AMERICANS IN JAPAN. MY EARLIER (UNSENT) MESSAGE FOLLOWS

Jim --

New calculations with the high-powered computer models at Livermore are underway and we expect results soon. In the meantime, we are making some runs at OSTP with the much cruder models we can run quickly here (which for
"worst-case" type analyses generally succeed in bracketing what the fanciermodels predict). My guess is that they will show one could get in excess of 10 rem in Tokyo *IF* the wind blew steadily from Fukushima to Tokyo, with little wander in direction, for the entire duration of the release (3-12 hours) and for the travel time. That is *NOT* the weather that is currently predicted (and it would be unlikely), in terms of persistence of the wind direction . Winds are currently predicted to be blowing out to sea from Fukushima until Sunday. It's impossible to say at this point what reactors or spent-fuel pools might still be in danger of producing large releases at that time.
Best,
John
JOHN P. HOLDREN
Assistant to the President for Science and Technology and Director, Office of Science and Technology Policy Executive
Office of the President of the United States email assistant Ka rrie
Pitzer
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2014-20439 Doc No. C05779066 Date: 02/29/2016

ヒロアキが主張するレイティングなども、松本市長が言うように、政治を考慮した発言だ。
自民党から共産党・反原発連合に至るまで、支持を集めるという政治的理由で、被曝の危険を隠す欺瞞を押し通している。

共産党いわく、東京は安全だそうだが、被曝問題を無視するという、かつての共産党の反核に対する姿勢を知っていれば、驚くほどのことではない。

首都圏反原発連合は、反原発どころかエートスと連合するというお粗末さ。
原子力産業と結託しながら、反原発というスローガンだけは叫ぶというおかしなことになっている。
暴力事件も起こしているようだが、かつての連合赤軍を知っていれば、驚くほどのことではない。

官邸前に子供を動員しながら、幹部は地方に逃げ出しているのは、かつて後方から若者に特攻を命じた日本海軍と同じ性質のものだ。
近代革命を自力で達成していない日本の悲喜劇の典型だ。

イデオロギーや金のためなら、他人の命など何とも思わない鬼畜に騙されないことですな。

まあ近代個人主義を自力で身につけた力のある人は、とっくに引っ越しているでしょう。

>>自分の心に問うて下さい

>>皆が待望する民主政治のための選挙は、無人にしなければいけないほどの汚染地帯・東京に、自分の身代わりを送り込み、命の犠牲を強いる行為ではないですか？

>>自他の命の犠牲を美しいと思う心は、軍国主義の精神と同じ

もし、西日本や北海道など、比較的汚染の少ない地域に住む人たちが、
原発事故の問題を、遠くの問題だと思っているのであれば、
日本中が、放射能まみれになる日も近いだろう。

日本列島に住む人間なら、放射能の問題は他人事ではない。