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最新号の「The Economist」に今回の選挙結果の分析が。安倍首相は経済よりも憲法改定に関心があるが成功しそうにないと。その根拠は①与党内で公明党の比重の高まったこと、②最右翼の次世代の党がほとんど壊滅、③共産党が躍進したこと。 pic.twitter.com/QiU10BWoW6
― 小池晃 (@koike_akira) 2014, 12月 22＜参照＞
Japan’s election
The Abe habit
Shinzo Abe wins again, but what will he do with his mandate?
http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21636792-shinzo-abe-wins-again-what-will-he-do-his-mandate-abe-habit
＞Straight after his election victory the prime minister spoke of the
LDP’s most “cherished wish” to rewrite the pacifist post-war
constitution, imposed in 1946 by Japan’s American vanquishers. Amending
the constitution requires a two-thirds vote from both houses of the
Diet, as well as a majority in a national referendum. Mr Abe pledged
this week to “deepen national understanding” of the need for Japan to
pen its own document, including rewriting the stipulations on pacifism.
＞Such a drive would prove a huge distraction, and would be unlikely to succeed. The newly strengthened Komeito, backed by a large Buddhist organisation, has a strongly pacifist streak. Some of Mr Abe’s allies with even weirder views than his of Japan’s wartime history fared badly in the election.
＞The hard-right Party for Future Generations, led by the 82-year old
Shintaro Ishihara, a cantankerous former Tokyo governor, was all but
wiped out. Meanwhile the pacifist Japanese Communist Party more than doubled its
presence in the Diet, to 21 seats. Despite Mr Abe’s majority in the
Diet, this (plus his falling ratings) will constrain his ability to
carry out a project that most Japanese do not want. The hope is that he
will swiftly grasp this.
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