02. 2011年4月25日 14:31:03: cqRnZH2CUM
これか 事例研究の量は凄いね ただ、統計的な癌発生率などの有意性に関する検証が、やはり今一つな印象だな 政府のデータ隠蔽などもあるから、難しいところか http://www.strahlentelex.de/Yablokov%20Chernobyl%20book.pdf ANNAls of the New york AcAdemy of scieNces Alexey V. YABLOKOV Vassily B. NESTERENKO Alexey V. NESTERENKO coNsultiNG editor Janette d. sherman-Nevinger VOLUME 1181 Chernobyl Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment Published by the New York Academy of Sciences I S B N 978-1-57331-757-3 9 7 8 1 5 7 3 3 1 7 5 7 3 ON THE CO VER Pine trees reveal changes in wood color, density, and growth rate following irradiation from the Chernobyl disaster. T.A. Mousseau, University of South Carolina (2009) Ann . N.Y. Acad. Sci. Vol. 1181 Chernobyl Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Volume 1181 Director and Executive Editor DOUGLAS BRAATEN Assistant Editor JOSEPH ABRAJANO Project Manager STEVEN E. BOHALL Project Coordinator RALPH W. BROWN Creative Director ASH AYMAN SHAIRZAY The New York Academy of Sciences 7 World Trade Center 250 Greenwich Street, 40th Floor New York, New York 10007-2157 THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES (Founded in 1817) BOARD OF GOVERNORS, September 2009 – September 2010 JOHN E. SEXTON, Chair BRUCE S. MCEWEN, Vice Chair JAY FURMAN, Treasurer ELLIS RUBINSTEIN, President [ex officio] Chairman Emeritus TORSTEN N. WIESEL Honorary Life Governors KAREN E. BURKE JOHN F. NIBLACK Governors SETH F. BERKLEY LEN BLAVATNIK NANCY CANTOR ROBERT CATELL VIRGINIA W. CORNISH KENNETH L. DAVIS ROBIN L. DAVISSON BRIAN FERGUSON BRIAN GREENE WILLIAM A. HASELTINE STEVE HOCHBERG TONI HOOVER MORTON HYMAN MADELEINE JACOBS MEHMOOD KHAN ABRAHAM LACKMAN RUSSELL READ JEFFREY D. SACHS DAVID J. SKORTON GEORGE E. THIBAULT IRIS WEINSHALL ANTHONY WELTERS FRANK WILCZEK DEBORAH E. WILEY International Board of Governors MANUEL CAMACHO SOLIS GERALD CHAN RAJENDRA K. PACHAURI PAUL STOFFELS LARRY R. SMITH, Secretary [ex officio] VICTORIA BJORKLUND, Counsel [ex officio]Chernobyl Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Volume 1181 Chernobyl Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment ALEXEY V. YABLOKOV VASSILY B. NESTERENKO ALEXEY V. NESTERENKO Consulting Editor JANETTE D. SHERMAN-NEVINGER Published by Blackwell Publishing on behalf of the New York Academy of Sciences Boston, Massachusetts 2009 The Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (ISSN: 0077-8923 [print]; ISSN: 1749-6632 [online]) is published 32 times a year on behalf of the New York Academy of Sciences by Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., a Wiley Company, 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030-5774. MAILING: The Annals is mailed standard rate. POSTMASTER: Send all address changes to ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, Journal Customer Services, John Wiley & Sons Inc., 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148-5020. 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ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Volume 1181 Chernobyl Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment ALEXEY V. YABLOKOV, VASSILY B. NESTERENKO, AND ALEXEY V. NESTERENKO Consulting Editor JANETTE D. SHERMAN-NEVINGER CONTENTS Foreword. By Prof. Dr. Biol. DimitroM. Grodzinsky . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii Preface. By Alexey V. Yablokov and Vassily B. Nesterenko . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . x Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xiv Introduction: The Difficult Truth about Chernobyl. By Alexey V. Nesterenko, Vassily B. Nesterenko, and Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Chapter I. Chernobyl Contamination: An Overview 1. Chernobyl Contamination through Time and Space. By Alexey V. Yablokov and Vassily B. Nesterenko . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Chapter II. Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for Public Health 2. Chernobyl’s Public Health Consequences: Some Methodological Problems. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 3. General Morbidity, Impairment, and Disability after the Chernobyl Catastrophe. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 4. Accelerated Aging as a Consequence of the Chernobyl Catastrophe. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 5. Nonmalignant Diseases after the Chernobyl Catastrophe. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 6. Oncological Diseases after the Chernobyl Catastrophe. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 7. Mortality after the Chernobyl Catastrophe. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . 192 Conclusion to Chapter II . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217 v vi Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Chapter III. Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for the Environment 8. Atmospheric, Water, and Soil Contamination after Chernobyl. By Alexey V. Yablokov, Vassily B. Nesterenko, and Alexey V. Nesterenko . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 9. Chernobyl’s Radioactive Impact on Flora. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . 237 10. Chernobyl’s Radioactive Impact on Fauna. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . 255 11. Chernobyl’s Radioactive Impact on Microbial Biota. By Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281 Conclusion to Chapter III . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285 Chapter IV. Radiation Protection after the Chernobyl Catastrophe 12. Chernobyl’s Radioactive Contamination of Food and People. By Alexey V. Nesterenko, Vassily B. Nesterenko, and Alexey V. Yablokov . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 13. Decorporation of Chernobyl Radionuclides. By Vassily B. Nesterenko and Alexey V. Nesterenko . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 303 14. Protective Measures for Activities in Chernobyl’s Radioactively Contaminated Territories. By Alexey V. Nesterenko and Vassily B. Nesterenko . . . . . . . . . . . . 311 15. Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for Public Health and the Environment 23 Years Later. By Alexey V. Yablokov, Vassily B. Nesterenko, and Alexey V. Nesterenko . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 318 Conclusion to Chapter IV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 327 The New York Academy of Sciences believes it has a responsibility to provide an open forum for discussion of scientific questions. The positions taken by the participants in the reported conferences are their own and not necessarily those of the Academy. The Academy has no intent to influence legislation by providing such forums. CHERNOBYL Foreword More than 22 years have passed since the Chernobyl catastrophe burst upon and changed our world. In just a few days, the air, natural waters, flowers, trees, woods, rivers, and seas turned to potential sources of danger to people, as radioactive substances emitted by the destroyed reactor fell upon all life. Throughout the Northern Hemisphere radioactivity covered most living spaces and became a source of potential harm for all living things. Naturally, just after the failure, public response was very strong and demonstrated mistrust of atomic engineering. A number of countries decided to stop the construction of new nuclear power stations. The enormous expenses required to mitigate the negative consequences ofChernobyl at once “raised the price” of nuclear-generated electric power. This response disturbed the governments of many countries, international organizations, and official bodies in charge of nuclear technology and led to a paradoxical polarization as to how to address the issues of those injured by the Chernobyl catastrophe and the effects of chronic irradiation on the health of people living in contaminated areas. Owing to the polarization of the problem, instead of organizing an objective and comprehensive study of the radiological and radiobiological phenomena induced by small doses of radiation, anticipating possible negative consequences, and taking adequate measures, insofar as possible, to protect the population from possible negative effects, apologists of nuclear power began a blackout on data concerning the actual amounts of radioactive emissions, the doses of radiation, and the increasing morbidity among the people that were affected. When it became impossible to hide the obvious increase in radiation-related diseases, attempts were made to explain it away as being a result of nationwide fear. At the same time some concepts of modern radiobiology were suddenly revised. For example, contrary to elementary observations about the nature of the primary interactions of ionizing radiation and the molecular structure of cells, a campaign began to deny nonthreshold radiation effects. On the basis of the effects of small doses of radiation in some nonhuman systems where hormesis was noted, some scientists began to insist that such doses from Chernobyl would actually benefit humans and all other living things. The apogee of this situation was reached in 2006 on the 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl meltdown. By that time the health and quality of life had decreased for millions of people. In April 2006 in Kiev, Ukraine, two international conferences were held in venues close to one another: one was convened by supporters of atomic energy and the other by a number of international organizations alarmed by the true state of health of those affected by the Chernobyl catastrophe. The decision of the first conference has not been accepted up to now because the Ukrainian party disagrees with its extremely optimistic positions. The second conference unanimously agreed that radioactive contamination of large areas is accompanied by distinctly negative health consequences for the populations and predicted increased risk of radiogenic diseases in European countries in the coming years. vii viii Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences For a long time I have thought that the time has come to put an end to the opposition between technocracy advocates and those who support objective scientific approaches to estimate the negative risks for people exposed to the Chernobyl fallout. The basis for believing that these risks are not minor is very convincing. Declassified documents of that time issued by Soviet Union/Ukraine governmental commissions in regard to the first decade after 1986 contain data on a number of people who were hospitalized with acute radiation sickness. The number is greater by two orders of magnitude than was recently quoted in official documents. How can we understand this difference in calculating the numbers of individuals who are ill as a result of irradiation? It is groundless to think that the doctors’ diagnoses were universally wrong. Many knew in the first 10-day period after the meltdown that diseases of the nasopharynx were widespread.We do not know the quantity or dose of hot particles that settled in the nasopharyngeal epithelium to cause this syndrome. They were probably higher than the accepted figures. To estimate doses of the Chernobyl catastrophe over the course of a year, it is critical to consider the irradiation contributed by ground and foliage fallout, which contaminated various forms of food with short-half-life radionuclides. Even in 1987 activity of some of the radionuclides exceeded the contamination by Cs-137 and Sr-90. Thus decisions to calculate dose only on the scale of Cs-137 radiation led to obvious underestimation of the actual accumulated effective doses. Internal radiation doses were defined on the basis of the activity in milk and potatoes for different areas. Thus in the Ukrainian Poles’e region, where mushrooms and other forest products make up a sizable share of the food consumed, the radioactivity was not considered. The biological efficiency of cytogenic effects varies depending onwhether the radiation is external or internal: internal radiation causes greater damage, a fact also neglected. Thus, there is reason to believe that doses of irradiation have not been properly estimated, especially for the first year after the reactor’s failure. Data on the growth of morbidity over two decades after the catastrophe confirm this conclusion. First of all, there are very concrete data about malignant thyroid disease in children, so even supporters of “radiophobia” as the principal cause of disease do not deny it. With the passage of time, oncological diseases with longer latency periods, in particular, breast and lung cancers’, became more frequent. Fromyear to year there has been an increase in nonmalignant diseases,which has raised the incidence of overall morbidity in children in areas affected by the catastrophe, and the percent of practically healthy children has continued to decrease. For example, in Kiev, Ukraine, where before the meltdown, up to 90% of children were considered healthy, the figure is now 20%. In some Ukrainian Poles’e territories, there are no healthy children, and morbidity has essentially increased for all age groups. The frequency of disease has increased several times since the accident at Chernobyl. Increased cardiovascular disease with increased frequency of heart attacks and ischemic disease are evident. Average life expectancy is accordingly reduced. Diseases of the central nervous system in both children and adults are cause for concern. The incidence of eye problems, particularly cataracts, has increased sharply. Causes for alarmare complications of pregnancy and the state of health of children born to so-called “liquidators” (Chernobyl’s cleanup workers) and evacuees from zones of high radionuclide contamination. Against the background of such persuasive data, some defenders of atomic energy look specious as they deny the obvious negative effects of radiation upon populations. In Grodzinsky: Foreword ix fact, their reactions include almost complete refusal to fund medical and biological studies, even liquidating government bodies that were in charge of the “affairs of Chernobyl.” Under pressure from the nuclear lobby, officials have also diverted scientific personnel away from studying the problems caused by Chernobyl. Rapid progress in biology and medicine is a source of hope in finding ways to prevent many diseases caused by exposure to chronic nuclear radiation, and this research will advance much more quickly if it is carried out against the background of experience that Ukrainian, Belarussian, and Russian scientists and physicians gained after the Chernobyl catastrophe. It would be very wrong to neglect the opportunities that are open to us today. Wemust look toward the day that unbiased objectivity will win out and lead to unqualified support for efforts to determine the influence of the Chernobyl catastrophe on the health of people and biodiversity and shape our approach to future technological progress and general moral attitudes. We must hope and trust that this will happen. The present volume probably provides the largest and most complete collection of data concerning the negative consequences of Chernobyl on the health of people and on the environment. Information in this volume shows that these consequences do not decrease, but, in fact, are increasing and will continue to do so into the future. The main conclusion of the book is that it is impossible and wrong “to forget Chernobyl.” Over the next several future generations the health of people and of nature will continue to be adversely impacted. PROF. DR. BIOL. DIMITRO M. GRODZINSKY Chairman, Department of General Biology, Ukrainian National Academy of Sciences, Chairman, Ukrainian National Commission on Radiation Protection CHERNOBYL Preface The principal idea behind this volume is to present, in a brief and systematic form, the results from researchers who observed and documented the consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe. In our view, the need for such an analysis became especially important after September 2005 when the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the World Health Organization (WHO) presented and widely advertised “The Chernobyl Forum” report [IAEA (2006), The Chernobyl Legacy: Health, Environment and Socio-Economic Impact and Recommendation to the Governments of Belarus, the Russian Federation and Ukraine 2nd Rev. Ed. (IAEA, Vienna): 50 pp.] because it lacked sufficiently detailed facts concerning the consequences of the disaster (http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Booklets/Chernobyl/chernobyl.pdf ). Stimulated by the IAEA/WHO “Chernobyl Forum” report, and before the 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl catastrophe, with the initiative of Greenpeace International, many experts, mostly from Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia (see the list below), presented their latest data/publications on the consequences of Chernobyl. Greenpeace International also collected hundreds of Chernobyl publications and doctoral theses. These materials were added to the Chernobyl literature collected over the years by Alexey Yablokov [A. V. Yablokov (2001): Myth of the Insignificance of the Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe (Center for Russian Environmental Policy, Moscow): 112 pp. (//www.seu.ru/programs/atomsafe/books/mif_3.pdf ) (in Russian)]. Just before the 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl catastrophe, on April 18, 2006, the report “The Chernobyl Catastrophe–Consequences on Human Health” was published by A. Yablokov, I. Labunska, and I. Blokov (Eds.) (Greenpeace, Amsterdam, 2006, 137 pp.; www.greenpeace.org/international/press/reports/chernobylhealthreport). For technical reasons, it was not possible to include all of the above-mentioned material in that book. Thus part of this original material was published as “The Health Effects of the Human Victims of the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Collection of Scientific Articles,” I. Blokov, T. Sadownichik, I. Labunska, and I. Volkov (Eds.) (Greenpeace, Amsterdam, 2007, 235 pp.; http://www.greenpeace.to/publications.asp#2007). In 2006 multiple conferences were convened in Ukraine, Russia, Belarus, Germany, Switzerland, the United States, and other countries devoted to the 20th anniversary of the Chernobyl catastrophe, and many reports with new materials concerning the consequences of the meltdown were published. Among them: • “The Other Report on Chernobyl (TORCH)” [I. Fairly and D. Sumner (2006), Berlin, 90 pp.]. • “Chernobyl Accident’s Consequences: An Estimation and the Forecast of Additional General Mortality and Malignant Diseases” [Center of Independent Ecological Assessment, Russian Academy of Science, and Russian Greenpeace Council (2006), Moscow, 24 pp.]. x Yablokov & Nesterenko: Preface xi • Chernobyl: 20 Years On. Health Effects of the Chernobyl Accident [C. C. Busby and A.V. Yablokov (Eds.) (2006), European Committee on Radiation Risk, Green Audit, Aberystwyth, 250 pp.]. • Chernobyl. 20 Years After. Myth and Truth [A. Yablokov, R. Braun, and U. Watermann (Eds.) (2006), Agenda Verlag, M¨unster, 217 pp.]. • “Health Effects of Chernobyl: 20 Years after the Reactor Catastrophe” [S. Pflugbeil et al. (2006), German IPPNW, Berlin, 76 pp.]. • Twenty Years after the Chernobyl Accident: Future Outlook [Contributed Papers to International Conference. April 24–26, 2006. Kiev, Ukraine, vol. 1–3, HOLTEH Kiev, www.tesec-int.org/T1.pdf]. • TwentyYears ofChernobyl Catastrophe: Ecological and Sociological Lessons.Materials of the International Scientific and Practical Conference. June 5, 2006, Moscow, 305 pp., www.ecopolicy.ru/upload/File/conferencebook_2006.pdf, (in Russian). • National Belarussian Report (2006). Twenty Years after the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Consequences in Belarus and Overcoming the Obstacles. Shevchyuk, V. E, & Gurachevsky, V. L. (Eds.), Belarus Publishers, Minsk, 112 pp. (in Russian). • National Ukrainian Report (2006). Twenty Years of Chernobyl Catastrophe: Future Outlook. Kiev, http://www.mns.gov.ua/news show.php?news id=614&p=1. • National Russian Report (2006). Twenty Years of Chernobyl Catastrophe: Results and Perspective on Efforts to Overcome Its Consequences in Russia, 1986–2006. Shoigu, S. K. & Bol’shov, L. A. (Eds.), Ministry of Emergencies, Moscow, 92 pp. (in Russian). The scientific literature on the consequences of the catastrophe now includes more than 30,000 publications, mainly in Slavic languages. Millions of documents/materials exist in various Internet information systems―descriptions, memoirs, maps, photos, etc. For example in GOOGLE there are 14.5 million; in YANDEX, 1.87 million; and in RAMBLER, 1.25 million citations. There are many special Chernobyl Internet portals, especially numerous for “Children of Chernobyl” and for the Chernobyl Cleanup Workers (“Liquidators so called”) organizations. The Chernobyl Digest―scientific abstract collections―was published in Minsk with the participation of many Byelorussian and Russian scientific institutes and includes several thousand annotated publications dating to 1990. At the same time the IAEA/WHO “Chernobyl Forum” Report (2005), advertised by WHO and IAEA as “the fullest and objective review” of the consequences of the Chernobyl accident, mentions only 350 mainly English publications. The list of the literature incorporated into the present volume includes about 1,000 titles and reflects more than 5,000 printed and Internet publications, primarily in Slavic languages. However, the authors apologize in advance to those colleagues whose papers addressing the consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe are not mentioned in this review―to list all papers is physically impossible. The authors of the separate parts of this volume are: • Chapter I: Cherbobyl Contamination: An Overview―A. V. Yablokov and V. B. Nesterenko; • Chapter II: Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for Public Health―A. V. Yablokov; • Chapter III: Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for the Environment― A. V. Yablokov, V. B. Nesterenko, and A. V. Nesterenko; xii Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences • Chapter IV: Radiation Protection after the Chernobyl Catastrophe―A. V. Nesterenko, V. B. Nesterenko, and A. V. Yablokov. The final text was coordinated by all authors and expresses their common viewpoint. Some important editorial remarks: 1. Specific facts are presented in the form that has long been accepted by the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR)― itemized by numbered paragraphs. 2. The words “Chernobyl contamination,” “contamination,” “contaminated territories,” and “Chernobyl territories” mean the radioactive contamination caused by radionuclide fallout as a result of the Chernobyl catastrophe. Such expressions as “distribution of diseases in territory. . .” mean occurrence of diseases in the population of the specified territory. 3. The word “catastrophe” means the release of numerous radionuclides into the atmosphere and underground water as a result of the explosion of the fourth reactor at the Chernobyl nuclear power station (Ukraine), which started on April 26, 1986 and continued thereafter. 4. The expressions “weak,” “low,” and “high” (“heavy”) radioactive contamination usually indicate a comparison among officially designated different levels of radioactive contamination in the territories: less than 1 Ci/km2 (4.6 4.5 5.67 Te-132 (3.26 d/32.6 d) ∼37.1 31 A lot of 27.0 Xe-133 (5.3 d/53 d) 175.7 180 170 175.5 I-131 (8.04 d/2.7 mo) ∼47.6 48 >85b 32.4–45.9 Ba-140 (12.8 d/4.3 mo) 6.5 6.4 4.59 Cs-136 (12.98 d/4.3 mo) 0.644a Ce-141 (32.5 d/10.8 mo) 5.3 5.3 5.40 Ru-103 (39.4 d/1 y 1 mo) >4.6 4.5 4.59 Sr-89 (50.6 d/1.39 y) ∼3.1 3.1 2.19 Zr-95 (64.0 d/1.75 y) 5.3 5.3 4.59 Cm-242 (162.8 d/4.6 y) ∼0.024 0.024 0.025 Ce-144 (284 d/7.8 y) ∼3.1 3.1 3.78 Ru-106 (367 d/10 y) >1.97 2.0 0.81 Cs-134 (2.06 y/20.6 y) ∼1.5 1.5 ― 1.19–1.30 Kr-85 (10.7 y/107 y) 0.89 ― ― 0.89 Pu-241 (14.7 y/147 y) ∼0.16 0.16 0.078 Sr-90 (28.5 y/285 y) ∼0.27 0.27 0.22 Cs-137 (30.1 y/301 y) ∼2.3 l2.3 c 1.89–2.30 Pu-238 (86.4 y/864 y) 0.001 0.001 ― 0.0001 Pu-240 (6,553 y/65,530 y) 0.001 0.001 0.001 Pu-239 (24,100 y/241,000 y) 0.023 0.001 0.0001 aCort and Tsaturov (1998). bNesterenko (1996)―more than 100. cNesterenko (1996)―total emission of Cs-136 and Cs-137 is up to 420 ×1015 Bq (1.14 × 106 Ci). 1.4. Ecological Features of Contamination The three most important factors in connection with the Chernobyl contamination for nature and public health are: spotty/uneven deposits of contamination, the impact of “hot particles,” and bioaccumulation of radionuclides (also see Chapter III). 1.4.1. Uneven/Spotty Contamination Until now the uneven/spotty distribution of the Chernobyl radioactive fallout has attracted too little attention. Aerogamma studies, upon which most maps of contamination are based, give only average values of radioactivity for 200–400 m of a route, so small, local, highly radioactive “hot spots” can exist without being marked. The character of actual contamination of an area is shown on Figure 1.15. As can be seen, a distance of 10 m can make a sharp difference in radionuclide concentrations. “Public health services of the French department Vosges found out that a hog hit by one of local hunters ‘was glowing.’ Experts, armed with supermodern equipment, conveyed a message even more disturbing: practically the entire mountain where the dead animal had just run is radioactive at a level from 12,000 to 24,000 Bq/m2. For comparison, the European norm is 600 Bq/m2. It was remembered that radioactivemushroomswere found 20 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 1.15. Spotty concentration (Ci/km2) of Cs-137 (above) and Ce-144 (below) in the forest bedding in the 30-km Chernobyl zone. Scale 1:600 (Tscheglov, 1999). in these forests last autumn. The level of Cs-137 in chanterelles, boleros and stalks of mushrooms exceeded the norm by approximately forty times . . .” (Chykin, 1997) There is still uncertainty in regard to contamination not only by Cs-137 and Sr-90, but also by other radionuclides, including beta and alpha emitters. Detailed mapping of territories for the varying spectra of radioactive contamination could not be done owing to the impossibility of fast remote detection of beta and alpha radionuclides. Typical Chernobyl hot spots measure tens to hundreds of meters across and have levels Yablokov & Nesterenko: Contamination through Time and Space 21 of radioactivity ten times higher than the surrounding areas. The concentration density of Cs-137 can have several different values even within the limits of the nutrient area of a single tree (Krasnov et al., 1997). In Poland, Ru-106 was the predominant hot spot nuclide in 1986, although a few hot spots were due to Ba-140 or La-140 (Rich, 1986). Figure 1.16. shows distinct large-scale spotty radioactive distribution of Sb, Cs, and Ag in areas of continental Greece. 1.4.2. Problem of “Hot Particles” A fundamental complexity in estimating the levels of Chernobyl radioactive contamination is the problem of so-called “hot particles” or “Chernobyl dust.”When the reactor exploded, it expelled not only gases and aerosols (the products of splitting of U (Cs-137, Sr-90, Pu, etc.), but also particles of U fuel melted together with other radionuclides―firm hot particles. Near the Chernobyl NPP, heavy large particles of U and Pu dropped out. Areas of Hungary, Germany, Finland, Poland, Bulgaria, and otherEuropean countries sawhot particles with an average size of about 15 μm. Their activity mostly was determined to be (UNSCEAR, 2000) Zr-95 (half-life 35.1 days), La-140 (1.68 days), and Ce-144 (284 days). Some hot particles included beta-emitting radionuclides such as Ru-103 and Ru-106 (39.3 and 368 days, respectively) and Ba-140 (12.7 days). Particles with volatile elements that included I-131, Te- 132, Cs-137, and Sb-126 (12.4 days) spread over thousands of kilometers. “Liquid hot particles” were formed when radionuclides became concentrated in raindrops: “Hot particles” were found in new apartment houses in Kiev that were to be populated in the autumn of 1986. In April andMay they stood without roofs or windows, so they absorbed a lot of a radioactive dust, which we found in concrete plates of walls and ceilings, in the carpenter’s room, under plastic covers on a floor, etc. For the most part these houses are occupied by staff of the Chernobyl atomic power station. While planning occupancy the special dosimeter commands I developed (I then was the deputy chief engineer of Chernobyl NPP on radiation safety and was responsible for the personnel in areas found to be contaminated) carried out a radiation check on the apartments. As a result of thesemeasurements I sent a report to the Governmental Commission advising of the inadmissibility of inhabiting these “dirty” apartments. The sanitation service of the Kiev municipality . . . answered with a dishonest letter in which it agreed that there was radioactivity in these apartments, but explained it away as dirt that was brought in by tenants.” (Karpan, 2007 by permission) Radioactivity of individual hot particles reached 10 kBq.When absorbed into the body (with water, food, or inhaled air), such particles generate high doses of radiation even if an individual is in areas of low contamination. Fine particles (smaller than 1 μm) easily penetrate the lungs, whereas larger ones (20–40 μm) are concentrated primarily in the upper respiratory system (Khruch et al., 1988; Ivanov et al., 1990; IAEA, 1994). Studies concerning the peculiarities of the formation and disintegration of hot particles, their properties, and their impact on the health of humans and other living organisms are meager and totally inadequate. 1.5. Changes in the Radionuclide Dose Spectrum To understand the impact of Chernobyl contamination on public health and the environment it is necessary to consider the essential changes in the radionuclide spectrum during of the first days, weeks, months, and decades after the Chernobyl catastrophe. The maximum level of activity from Chernobyl’s fallout in the first days and weeks, which was due mostly to short-lived radionuclides, exceeded background levels by more than 10,000-fold (Krishev and Ryazantsev, 2000; and many others). Today radioactive contamination is only a 22 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 1.16. Maps of the Chernobyl fallout: (A) Sb-124, 125; (B) Cs-137; and (C) Ag- 125m in areas of continental Greece (by permission of S. E. Simopoulos, National Technical University of Athens; arcas.nuclear.ntua.gr/apache2-default/radmaps/page1.htm). Yablokov & Nesterenko: Contamination through Time and Space 23 Figure 1.16. Continued. small part of all the radiation emitted during the catastrophe. Based on data from Sweden and Finland, ratios of Cs-137 and other radionuclide fallout in the first days and weeks allows for reconstruction of the relative value of the various nuclides that make up the total external dose (Figure 1.17). During the first days after the explosion the share of total external radiation due to Cs-137 did not exceed 4%, but the level of radiation from I-131, I-133, Te-129, Te-132, and several other radionuclides was hundreds of times higher. Within the succeeding months and the first year after the explosion the major external radiation was due to isotopes of Ce-141, Ce- 144, Ru-103, Ru-106, Zr-95, Ni-95, Cs-136, and Np-239. Since 1987, most external radiation levels have been defined by Cs-137, Sr-90, and Pu. Today these radionuclides, which are found mostly in soil, seriously impact agricultural production (for details see Chapters III.9 and IV.13). Timescales of radiation contamination can be determined by an analysis of tooth enamel. Such analyses were conducted by experts with theGerman group “Physicians of theWorld for the Prevention of Nuclear War.” They tested Figure 1.17. Dynamics of radioisotope structure of Chernobyl’s contamination, percentage of total activity (Yablokov, 2002, from Sokolov and Krivolutsky, 1998). 24 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences the teeth of 6,000 children and found that children born soon after the Chernobyl catastrophe had 10 times more Sr-90 in their teeth compared with children born in 1983 (Ecologist, 2000). Problem of Americium-241. The powerful alpha radiation emitter Am-241, formed as a result of the natural disintegration of Pu-241, is a very important factor in the increasing levels of contamination in many areas located up to 1,000 km from the Chernobyl NPP. The territory contaminated by Pu today, where the level of alpha radiation is usually low, will again become dangerous as a result of the future disintegration of Pu-241 to Am-241 in the ensuing tens and even hundreds of years (see also Chapter III.9). An additional danger of Am-241 is its higher solubility and consequent mobility into ecosystems compared with Pu. 1.6. Lead Contamination During operations to quench the fires in the fourth reactor of the Chernobyl NPP, helicopters dumped 2,400 tons of Pb into the reactor (Samushia et al., 2007; UNSCEAR, 2000); according to other data, the figure was 6,720 tons (Nesterenko, 1997). During several subsequent days, a significant part of the Pb was spewed out into the atmosphere as a result of its fusion, boiling, and sublimation in the burning reactor. Moreover, Pb poisoning is dangerous in itself, causing, for example, retardation in children (Ziegel and Ziegel, 1993; and many others). 1. Blood Pb levels in both children and adults in Belarus have noticeably increased over the last years (Rolevich et al., 1996). In the Brest Province of Belarus, for example, of 213 children studied, the level of Pb was 0.109 ± 0.007 mg/liter, and about half of these children had levels of 0.188 ± 0.003 mg/liter (Petrova et al., 1996), whereas the World Health Organization (WHO) normfor children is no more than 0.001 mg/liter. 2. In Ukraine in the Poles’e District of Kiev Province, levels of Pb in the air breathed by operators of agricultural machinery was up to 10 times or more, exceeding maximumpermissible concentrations. Increased levels of Pb were apparent in the soil and atmosphere and in the urine and the hair of adults and children in Kiev soon after the explosion (Bar’yakhtar, 1995). 3. Pb contamination added to radiation causes harm to living organisms (Petin and Synsynys, 1998). Ionizing radiation causes biochemical oxidation of free radicals in cells. Under the influence of heavy metals (such as Pb) these reactions proceed especially intensively. Belarussian children contaminated with both Cs-137 and Pb have an increased frequency of atrophic gastritis (Gres and Polyakova, 1997). 1.7. Evaluation of Chernobyl’s Population Doses The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and WHO (Chernobyl Forum, 2005) estimated a collective dose for Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia as 55,000 persons/Sv. By other more grounded estimates (see Fairlie and Sumner, 2006) this collective dose is 216,000– 326,000 persons/Sv (or even 514,000 persons/ Sv only for Belarus; National Belarussian Report, 2006). The worldwide collective dose from the Chernobyl catastrophe is estimated at 600,000–930,000 persons/Sv (Table 1.6). However, it is now clear that these figures for collective doses are considerably underestimated. 1.8. How Many People Were and Will Be Exposed to Chernobyl’s Contamination? The first official forecasts regarding the health impact of the Chernobyl catastrophe Yablokov & Nesterenko: Contamination through Time and Space 25 TABLE 1.6. Total Collective Effective Dose (persons/ Sv) of Additional Irradiation from the Chernobyl Catastrophe (Fairlie and Sumner, 2006) U.S. Department of Energya UNSCEARb Belarus, Ukraine, 326,000 216,000 European Russia Other European countries 580,000 318,000 Rest of the world 28,000 66,000 Total 930,000 600,000 aAnspaugh et al. (1988). bBennett (1995, 1996). included only several additional cases of cancer over a period of some 10 years. In 20 years it has become clear that no fewer than 8 million inhabitants of Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia have been adversely affected (Table 1.7). One must understand that in areas contaminated above 1Ci/km2 (a level that undoubtedly has statistical impact on public health) there are no fewer than 1 million children, and evacuees and liquidators have had no fewer than 450,000 children. It is possible to estimate the number of people living in areas subject to Chernobyl fallout all over the world. Some 40% of Europe has been exposed to Chernobyl’s Cs-137 at a level 4–40 kBq/m2 (0.11–1.08 Ci/km2; see Table 1.2). Assuming that about 35% of the European population lives in this territory (where radionuclides fell on sparsely populated mountain areas) and counting the total European population at the end of the 1980s, we can calculate that nearly 550 million people are contaminated. It is possible to consider that about 190 million Europeans live in noticeably contaminated areas, and nearly 15 million in the areas where the Cs-137 contamination is higher than 40 kBq/m2 (1.08 Ci/km2). Chernobyl fallout contaminated about 8% of Asia, 6% of Africa, and 0.6% of North TABLE 1.7. Population Suffering from the Chernobyl Catastrophe in Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia Individuals, 103 Group Country Different sources Cardis et al., 1996 Evacuated and movedb Belarus 135,000a 135,000 Ukraine 162,000a ― Russia 52,400a ― Lived in territory contaminated by 270,000 Cs-137 > 555 kBq|m2 (>15 Ci/km2) Lived in territory contaminated by Belarus 2,000,000a 6,800,000 7Cs-137 > 37 kBq/m2 (>1 Ci/km2) Ukraine 3,500,000a ― Russia 2,700,000a ― Liquidators Belarus 130,000 200,000 (1986–1987) Ukraine 360,000 ― Russia 250,000 ― Other countries Not less than 90,000c ― Total 9,379,400 7,405,000 aReport of the UN Secretary General (2001). Optimization of international efforts in study, mitigation, and minimization of consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe (http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/ N01/568/11/PDF/N0156811.pdf>). bEvacuated from city of Pripyat and the railway station at Janov: 49,614; evacuated from 6 to 11 days from 30-km zone in Ukraine: 41,792, in Belarus: 24,725 (Total 116, 231); evacuated 1986–1987 from territories with density of irradiation above 15 Ci/km2―Ukraine: 70,483, Russia: 78,600, Belarus: 110,275. The total number of people forced to leave their homes because of Chernobyl contamination was nearly 350,400. cKazakhstan: 31,720 (Kaminsky, 2006), Armenia: >3,000 (Oganesyan et al., 2006), Latvia: >6,500, Lithuania: >>7,000 (Oldinger, 1993). Also in Moldova, Georgia, Israel, Germany, the United States, Great Britain, and other countries. 26 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 1.8. Estimation of the Population (103) outside of Europe Exposed to Chernobyl Radioactive Contamination in 1986 Share of the Population total Chernobyl Total population, under fallout of Continent Cs-137 fallout,% end of 1980s 1–40 kBq/m2 Asia 8 2,500,000,000 Nearly 150,000,000 Africa 6 600,000,000 Nearly 36,000,000 America 0.6 170,000,000 Nearly 10,000,000 Total 14.6% 3,270,000,000 Nearly 196,000,000 America, so by similar reasoning it appears that outside of Europe the total number of individuals living in areas contaminated by Chernobyl Cs-137 at a level up to 40 kBq/m2 could reach nearly 200 million (Table 1.8). Certainly, the calculated figures in Table 1.8 are of limited accuracy. The true number of people living in 1986 in areas outside of Europe with noticeable Chernobyl contamination can be no fewer than 150 million and nomore than 230 million. This uncertainty is caused, on the one hand, by calculations that do not include several short-lived radionuclides, such as I-131, I-133, Te-132, and some others, which result in much higher levels of radiation than that due to Cs-137. These include Cl-36 and Te-99 with half-lives of nearly 30,000 years and more than 21,000 years, respectively (Fairlie and Sumner, 2006). The latter isotopes cause very low levels of radiation, but it will persist for many millennia. On the other hand, these calculations are based on a uniform distribution of population, which is not a legitimate assumption. In total, in 1986 nearly 400 million individuals (nearly 205 million in Europe and 200 million outside Europe) were exposed to radioactive contamination at a level of 4 kBq/m2 (0.1 Ci/km2). Other calculations of populations exposed to Chernobyl radiation have been based on the total collective dose. According to one such calculation (Table 1.9) the number of people who were exposed to additional radiation at a level higher than 2.5 × 10−2 mSv might be more than 4.7 billion and at a level of higher than 0.4 mSv more than 605 million. 1.9. Conclusion Most of the Chernobyl radionuclides (up to 57%) fell outside of the former USSR and caused noticeable radioactive contamination over a large area of the world―practically the entire Northern Hemisphere. TABLE 1.9. Population Suffering from Chernobyl Radioactive Contamination at Different Levels of Radiation Based on Collective Doses (Fairlie, 2007) Number of Average individual Group individuals dose, mSv USSR liquidatorsa 240,000 100 Evacuees 116,000 33 USSR heavily contaminated areas 270,000 50 USSR less contaminated areas 5,000,000 10 Other areas in Europe 600,000,000 ≥0.4 Outside Europe 4,000,000,000 ≥2.5 × 10−2 aPresumably 1986–1987 (A.Y.). Yablokov & Nesterenko: Contamination through Time and Space 27 Declarations that Chernobyl radioactivity adds only 2% to the natural radioactive background on the surface of the globe obscures the facts because this contamination exceeded the natural background in vast areas, and in 1986 up to 600 million men, women, and children lived in territories contaminated by Chernobyl radionuclides at dangerous levels of more than 0.1 Ci/km2. Chernobyl radioactive contamination is both dynamic and long term. The dynamic is delineated as follows: First is the natural disintegration of radionuclides so that levels of radioactive contamination in the first days and weeks after the catastrophe were thousands of times higher than those recorded 2 to 3 years later. Second is the active redistribution of radionuclides in ecosystems (for details see Chapter III). 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Presentation of Chairman of the State Committee on the Chernobyl Catastrophe’s Consequences. Concluding Conference of the International Chernobyl Forum (www-ns. iaea.org/downloads/rw/conferences/Chernobyl). Tscheglov, A. I. (1999). Biogeochemistry of Technogenic Radionuclides in Forest Ecosystems: Materials from 10 Years of Investigation in the Chernobyl Zone (“Nauka,” Moscow): 268 pp. (in Russian). UNSCEAR (1988). UN Scientific Committee on the Effect of Atomic Radiation. Report to the General Assembly. Annex: Sources, Effects and Risks of Ionizing Radiation (UN, New York): 126 pp. UNSCEAR (2000). UN Scientific Committee on the Effect of Atomic Radiation. Report to the General Assembly. Annex J. Exposures and Effects of the Chernobyl Accident (UN, New York): 130 pp. Vukovic, Z. (1996). Estimate of the radio-silver release from Chernobyl. J. Env. Radioact. 34(2): 207–209. Xiang, L. (1998). Dating sediments on several lakes inferred from radionuclide profiles. J. Env. Sci. 10: 56– 63. Yablokov, A. V. (2002). Myth on Safety of Low Doses of Radiation (Center for Russian Environmental Policy, Moscow): 180 pp. (in Russian). Yablokov, A., Labunska, I. & Blokov, I. (Eds.) (2006). The Chernobyl Catastrophe: Consequences forHuman Health (Greenpeace International, Amsterdam): 138 pp. Zhuravkov, V. V. & Myronov, V. P. (2005). Using GIStechnology for estimation of Republic Belarus contamination by iodine radionuclide during active period of the accident. Trans. Belarus Acad. Eng. 2(20): 187–189 (in Russian). Ziegel,H. & Ziegel, A. (Eds.) (1993). Some Problems in Heavy Metals Toxicology (Mir,Moscow, Transl. fromEnglish): 367 pp. (in Russian). CHERNOBYL Chapter II. Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for Public Health Alexey B. Nesterenko,a Vassily B. Nesterenko,a,† and Alexey V. Yablokovb aInstitute of Radiation Safety (BELRAD), Minsk, Belarus bRussian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia †Deceased Key words: Chernobyl; secrecy; irradiation; health statistics Chernobyl: Ann. N.Y. Acad. Sci. 1181: 31–220 (2009). doi: 10.1111/j.1749-6632.2009.04822.x C 2009 New York Academy of Sciences. 31 CHERNOBYL 2. Chernobyl’s Public Health Consequences Some Methodological Problems Alexey V. Yablokov Problems complicating a full assessment of the effects from Chernobyl included official secrecy and falsification of medical records by the USSR for the first 3.5 years after the catastrophe and the lack of reliable medical statistics in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia. Official data concerning the thousands of cleanup workers (Chernobyl liquidators) who worked to control the emissions are especially difficult to reconstruct. Using criteria demanded by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the World Health Organization (WHO), and theUnited Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) resulted in marked underestimates of the number of fatalities and the extent and degree of sickness among those exposed to radioactive fallout from Chernobyl. Data on exposures were absent or grossly inadequate, while mounting indications of adverse effects became more andmore apparent. Using objective information collected by scientists in the affected areas―comparisons ofmorbidity and mortality in territories characterized by identical physiography, demography, and economy, which differed only in the levels and spectra of radioactive contamination― revealed significant abnormalities associated with irradiation, unrelated to age or sex (e.g., stable chromosomal aberrations), as well as other genetic and nongenetic pathologies. The first official forecasts of the catastrophic health consequences of the Chernobyl meltdown noted only a limited number of additional cases of cancer over the first decades. Four years later, the same officials increased the number of foreseeable cancer cases to several hundred (Il’in et al., 1990), at a time when there were already 1,000 people suffering from Chernobyl-engendered thyroid cancer. Twenty years after the catastrophe, the official position of the Chernobyl Forum (2006) is that about 9,000 related deaths have occurred and some 200,000 people have illnesses caused by the catastrophe. A more accurate number estimates nearly 400 million human beings have been exposed Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow,Russia.Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ecopolicy.ru to Chernobyl’s radioactive fallout and, for many generations, they and their descendants will suffer the devastating consequences. Globally, adverse effects on public health will require special studies continuing far into the future. This review concerns the health of the populations in the European part of the former USSR (primarily, Ukraine, Belarus, and European Russia), for which a very large body of scientific literature has been published of which but little is known in the Western world. The aim of the present volume is not to present an exhaustive analysis of all available facts concerning Chernobyl’s disastrous effects―analyzing all of the known effects of the Chernobyl catastrophe would fill many full-size monographs―but rather to elucidate the known scale and spectrum of its consequences. 32 Yablokov: Public Health Consequences of Chernobyl 33 2.1. Difficulties in Obtaining Objective Data on the Catastrophe’s Impact For both subjective and objective reasons, it is very difficult to draw a complete picture of Chernobyl’s influence on public health. The subjective reasons include: 1. The official secrecy that the USSR imposed on Chernobyl’s public health data in the first days after themeltdown, which continued for more than 3 years―until May 23, 1989, when the ban was lifted. During those 3 years an unknown number of people died from early leukosis. Secrecy was the norm not only in the USSR, but in other countries as well, including France, Great Britain, and even the United States. After the explosion, France’s official Service Central de Protection Contre les Radiations Ionisantes (SCPRI) denied that the radioactive cloud had passed over France (CRIIRAD, 2002) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture failed to disclose that dangerous levels of Chernobyl radionuclides had been found in imported foods in 1987 and 1988. The first public announcement of these contaminations was not made until 8 years later (RADNET, 2008, Sect. 6 and Sect. 9, part 4). 2. The USSR’s official irreversible and intentional falsification of medical statistics for the first 3.5 years after the catastrophe. 3. The lack of authentic medical statistics in the USSR and after its disintegration in 1991, as well as in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia, including health data for hundreds of thousands of people who left the contaminated territories. 4. The expressed desire of national and international official organizations and the nuclear industry to minimize the consequences of the catastrophe. The number of persons added to the Chernobyl state registers continues to grow, even during the most recent years, which casts doubt on the completeness and accuracy of documentation. Data about cancer mortality and morbidity are gathered from many and various sources and are coded without taking into account standard international principles . . . public health data connected to the Chernobyl accident are difficult to compare to official state of health statistics . . . (UNSCEAR, 2000, Item 242, p. 49). The situation of the liquidators is indicative. Their total number exceeds 800,000 (see Chapter I).Within the first years after the catastrophe it was officially forbidden to associate the diseases they were suffering from with radiation, and, accordingly, their morbidity data were irreversibly forged until 1989. EXAMPLES OF OFFICIAL REQUIREMENTS THAT FALSIFIED LIQUIDATORS’ MORBIDITY DATA: 1. “. . . For specified persons hospitalized after exposure to ionizing radiation and having no signs or symptoms of acute radiation sickness at the time of release, the diagnosis shall be ‘vegetovascular dystonia.’” [From a letter from the USSR’s First DeputyMinister of Public Health O. Shchepin, May 21, 1986, # 02–6/83–6 to Ukrainian Ministry of Public Health (cit. by V. Boreiko, 1996, pp. 123–124).] 2. “. . . For workers involved in emergency activities who do not have signs or symptoms of acute radiation sickness, the diagnosis of vegetovascular dystonia is identical to no change in their state of health in connection with radiation (i.e., for all intents and purposes healthy vis-`a-vis radiation sickness). Thus the diagnosis does not exclude somatoneurological symptoms, including situational neurosis . . ..” [From a telegram of the Chief of the Third Main Administration of the USSR’s Ministry of Health, E. Shulzhenko, # “02 DSP”-1, dated January 4, 1987 (cit. by L. Kovalevskaya, 1995, p. 189).] 3. “(1) For remote consequences caused by ionizing radiation and a cause-and-effect relationship, it is necessary to consider: leukemia or leukosis 5–10 years after radiation in doses exceeding 50 rad. (2) The presence of acute somatic illness and activation of chronic disease in 34 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences persons who were involved in liquidation and who do not have ARS (acute radiation sickness –Ed.), the effect of ionizing radiation should not be included as a causal relationship. (3) When issuing certificates of illness for persons involved in work on ChNPP who did not suffer ARS in point “10” do not mention participation in liquidation activities or the total dose of radiation that did not reach a degree of radiation sickness.” [From an explanatory note of the Central Military-Medical Commission of theUSSR Ministry of Defense, # 205 dated July 8, 1987, directed by the Chief of 10thMMC Colonel V. Bakshutov to the military registration and enlistment offices (cit. by L. Kovalevskaya, 1995, p. 12).] Data from the official Liquidators Registers in Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus cannot be considered reliable because the status of “liquidator” conveyed numerous privileges. We do not know if an individual described as a “liquidator” was really directly exposed to radiation, and we do not know the number of individuals who were in the contaminated zone for only a brief time. At the same time, liquidators who served at the site and were not included in official registers are just now coming forward. Among them are the military men who participated in the Chernobyl operations but lack documentation concerning their participation (Mityunin, 2005). For example, among nearly 60,000 investigated military servicemen who participated in the clean-up operations in the Chernobyl zone, not one (!) had notice of an excess of the then-existing “normal” reading of 25 R on his military identity card. At the same time a survey of 1,100 male Ukrainian military clean-up workers revealed that 37% of them have clinical and hematological characteristics of radiation sickness, which means that these men received more than 25 R exposure (Kharchenko et al., 2001). It is not by chance that 15 years after the catastrophe up to 30% of Russian liquidators did not have radiation dose data on their official certificates (Zubovsky and Smirnova, 2000). Officially it is admitted that “the full-size personal dosimeter control of liquidators in the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant (ChNPP) zone managed to be adjusted only for some months” (National Russian Report, 2001, p. 11). It was typical to use so-called “group dosimetry” and “group assessment.” Even official medical representatives recognize that a number of Russian liquidators could have received doses seven times (!) higher than 25 cGy, the level specified in the Russian state register (Il’in et al., 1995). Based on official data, this evidence makes the liquidators’ “official” dose/sickness correlation obsolete and unreliable. TWO EXAMPLES OF CONCEALMENT OF TRUE DATA ON THE CATASTROPHE’S CONSEQUENCES 1. “(4) To classify information on the accident. . . (8) To classify information on results of medical treatment. (9) To classify information on the degree of radioactive effects on the personnel who participated in the liquidation of the ChNPP accident consequences.” [From the order by the Chief of Third Main Administration of the USSR’s Ministry of Health E. Shulzhenko concerning reinforcing the secrecy surrounding the activities on liquidation of the consequences of the nuclear accident in ChNPP, #U-2617-S, June 27, 1986 (cit. by L. Kovalevskaya, 1995, p. 188).] 2. “(2) The data on patients’ records related to the accident and accumulated inmedical establishments should have a ‘limited access’ status. And data generalized in regional andmunicipal sanitary control establishments, . . . on radioactive contamination of objects, environment (including food) that exceeds maximum permissible concentration is ‘classified’.” [From Order # 30-S by Minister of Health of Ukraine A. Romanenko on May 18, 1986, about reinforcing secrecy (cit. by N. Baranov’ska, 1996, p. 139).] Comparison of the data received via individual biodosimetry methods (by the number of chromosomal aberrations and by electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) dosimetry) has shown that officially documented doses of radiation can be both over- and underestimated Yablokov: Public Health Consequences of Chernobyl 35 (Elyseeva, 1991; Vinnykov et al., 2002; Maznik et al., 2003; Chumak, 2006; and others). The Chernobyl literature widely admits that tens of thousands of the Chernobyl liquidators who worked in 1986–1987, were irradiated at levels of 110–130 mSv. Some individuals (and, accordingly, some groups) could have received doses considerably different than the average. All of the above indicates that from a strictly methodological point of view, it is impossible to correlate sickness among liquidators with the formally documented levels of radiation. Official data of thyroid-dosimetric and dosimetric certification in Ukraine were revised several times (Burlak et al., 2006). In addition to the subjective reasons noted above, there are at least two major objective reasons for the difficulty in establishing the true scale of the catastrophe’s impact on public health. The first impediment is determining the true radioactive impact on individuals and population groups, owing to the following factors: • Difficulty in reconstructing doses from the radionuclides released in the first days, weeks, and months after the catastrophe. Levels of radioisotopes such as I-133, I- 135, Te-132, and a number of other radionuclides having short half-lives were initially hundreds and thousand of times higher than when Cs-137 levels were subsequently measured (see Chapter I for details). Many studies revealed that the rate of unstable and stable chromosome aberrations is much higher―by up to one to two orders of magnitude―than would be expected if the derived exposures were correct (Pflugbeil and Schmitz-Feuerhake, 2006). • Difficulty in calculating the influence of “hot particles” for different radionuclides owing to their physical and chemical properties. • Difficulty determining levels of external and internal radiation for the average person and/or group because “doses” were not directly measured and calculations were based on dubious assumptions. These assumptions included an average consumption of a set of foodstuffs by the “average” person, and an average level of external irradiation owing to each of the radionuclides. As an example, all official calculations of thyroid irradiation in Belarus were based on about 200,000 measurements done in May–June 1986 on fewer than 130,000 persons, or only about 1.3% of the total population. All calculations for internal irradiation of millions of Belarussians were made on the basis of a straw poll of several thousand people concerning their consumption of milk and vegetables (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). Objective reconstruction of received doses cannot be done on the basis of such data. • Difficulty determining the influence of the spotty distribution of radionuclides (specific for each one; see Chapter I for details) and, as a result, the high probability that the individual doses of personal radiation are both higher and lower than “average” doses for the territory. • Difficulty accounting for all of themultiple radionuclides in a territory. Sr-90, Pu, and Am can also contaminate an area counted as contaminated solely by Cs-137. For instance, in 206 samples of breast milk, from six districts of the Gomel, Mogilev, and Brest provinces (Belarus), where the official level of radiation was defined only by Sr-90 contamination, high levels of Cs-137 were also found (Zubovich et al., 1998). • Difficulty accounting for the movement of radionuclides from the soil to food chains, levels of contamination for each animal species and plant cultivar. The same difficulties exist for different soil types, seasons, and climatic conditions, as well as for different years (see Chapter III of this volume for details). • Difficulty determining the health of individuals who have moved away from contaminated areas. Even considering 36 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences the incomplete official data for the period 1986–2000 for only Belarus, nearly 1.5 million citizens (15% of the population) changed their place of residence. For the period 1990–2000 more than 675,000 people, or about 7% of the population left Belarus (National Belarussian Report, 2006). The second objective barrier to determining the true radioactive impact on individuals and/or population groups is the inadequacy of information and, in particular, incomplete studies of the following: • Specificity of the influence of each radionuclide on an organism, and their effect in combination with other factors in the environment. • Variability of populations and individuals in regard to radiosensitivity (Yablokov, 1998; and others). • The impact of the ultralow doses (Petkau, 1980; Graeub, 1992; Burlakova, 1995; ECRR, 2003). • The influences of internally absorbed radiation (Bandazhevsky et al., 1995; Bandazhevsky, 2000). The above are the factors that expose the scientific fallacy in the requirements outlined by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the World Health Organization (WHO), and the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) and similar official national bodies that are associated with the nuclear industry. They demand a simple correlation―“a level of radiation and effect”―to recognize a link to adverse health effects as a consequence of Chernobyl’s radioactive contamination. It is methodologically incorrect to combine imprecisely defined ionizing radiation exposure levels for individuals or groups with the much more accurately determined impacts on health (increases in morbidity and mortality) and to demand a “statistically significant correlation” as conclusive evidence of the deleterious effects from Chernobyl. More and more cases are coming to light in which the calculated radiation dose does not correlate with observable impacts on health that are obviously due to radiation (IFECA, 1995; Vorob’iev and Shklovsky-Kodry, 1996; Adamovich et al., 1998; Drozd, 2002; Lyubchenko, 2001; Kornev et al., 2004; Igumnov et al., 2004; and others). All of these factors do not prove the absence of radiation effects but do demonstrate the inaccurate methodology of the official IAEA, WHO, and UNSCEAR approach. 2.2. “Scientific Protocols” According to the Chernobyl Forum (2006), a common objection to taking into account the enormous body of data on the public health consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe in Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus is that they were collected without observing the “scientific protocols” that are the norms forWestern science. Usually this means that there was no statistical processing of the received data. Thus, valid distinctions among compared parameters, as for groups from heavily contaminated versus those from less contaminated territories or for groups from areas with different levels of radiation, have not demonstrated statistical significance. In the last decade―a sufficient time span for effects to become manifest―as information has accumulated, a range of values has been found to be within the limits of true “statistical significance.” One of the authors has considerable experience in statistical processing of biological material―the review Variability of Mammals (Yablokov, 1976) contains thousands of data calculations of various biological parameters and comparisons. In other reviews as Introduction into Population Phenetics (Yablokov and Larina, 1985) and Population Biology (Yablokov, 1987) methodical approaches were analyzed to obtain reliable statistically significant conclusions for various types of biological characteristics. Generalizing these and other factors concerning statistical Yablokov: Public Health Consequences of Chernobyl 37 processing of biological and epidemiological data, it is possible to formulate four positions: 1. The calculation “reliability of distinctions by Student,” devised about a century ago for comparison of very small samples, is not relevant for large-size samples. When the size of the sample is comparable to the entire assembly, average value is an exact enough parameter. Many epidemiological studies of Chernobyl contain data on thousands of patients. In such cases the averages show real distinctions among the compared samples with high reliability. 2. To determine the reliability of distinctions among many-fold divergent averages, it is not necessary to calculate “standard errors.” For example, why calculate formal “significance of difference” among liquidators’s morbidities for 1987 and 1997 if the averages differ tenfold? 3. The full spectrum of the factors influencing one parameter or another is never known, so it does not have a great impact on the accuracy of the distinct factors known to the researcher. Colleagues from the nuclear establishment have ostracized one of the authors (A.Y.) for citing in a scientific paper the story from the famous novel Chernobyl Prayer (English translation Voices from Chernobyl, 2006) by Svetlana Aleksievich. Ms. Aleksievich writes of a doctor seeing a lactating 70-year-old woman in one Chernobyl village. Subsequently well-founded scientific papers reported the connection between radiation and abnormal production of prolactin hormone, a cause of lactation in elderly women. 4. When the case analysis of individual unique characteristics in a big data set does not fit the calculation of average values, it is necessary to use a probability approach. In some modern epidemiological literature the “case-control” approach is popular, but it is also possible to calculate the probability of the constellations of very rare cases on the basis of previously published data. Scientific research methodology will be always improved upon, and today’s “scientific protocols” with, for example, “confidence intervals” and “case control,” are not perfect. It is correct and justified for the whole of society to analyze the consequences of the largest-scale catastrophe in history and to use the enormous database collected by thousands of experts in the radioactively contaminated territories, despite some data not being in the form of Western scientific protocols. This database must be used because it is impossible to collect other data after the fact. The doctors and scientists who collected such data were, first of all, trying to help the victims, and, second, owing to the lack of time and resources, not always able to offer their findings for publication. It is indicative that many of the medical/epidemiological conferences in Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia on Chernobyl problems officially were termed “scientific and practical” conferences. Academic theses and abstracts from these conferences were sometimes unique sources of information resulting from the examination of hundreds of thousands of afflicted individuals. Although the catastrophe is quickly and widely being ignored, this informationmust bemade available to the world. Some very important data that were released during press conferences and never presented in any scientific paper are cited in this volume. Mortality and morbidity are unquestionably higher among the medical experts who worked selflessly in the contaminated territories and were subject to additional radiation, including exposure to radioactive isotopes from contaminated patients. Many of these doctors and scientists died prematurely, which is one more reason that the medical results from Chernobyl were never published. The data presented at the numerous scientifically practical Chernobyl conferences in Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia from 1986 to 1999 were briefly reported in departmental 38 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences periodic journals andmagazines and in various collections of papers (“sborniks”), but it is impossible to collect them again. We must reject the criticism of “mismatching scientific protocols,” and search for ways to extract the valuable objective information from these data. In November 2006 the German Federal Committee on Ionizing Radiation organized the BfS-Workshop on Chernobyl Health Consequences in Nuremberg. It was a rare opportunity for experts with differing approaches to have open and in-depth discussions and analyze the public health consequences of the catastrophe. One conclusion reached during this meeting is especially important for the past Chernobyl material: it is reasonable to doubt data lacking Western scientific protocols only when studies using the same or similar material diverge. From both scientific and social-ethical points of view, we cannot refuse to discuss data that were acquired in the absence of strict scientific protocols. 2.3. Dismissing the Impact of Chernobyl Radionuclides Is a Fallacy Natural ionizing radiation has always been an element of life on Earth. Indeed, it is one of the main sources of on-going genetic mutations―the basis for natural selection and all evolutionary processes. All life on Earth― humans included―evolved and adapted in the presence of this natural background radiation. Some have estimated that “the fallout from Chernobyl adds only about 2% to the global radioactive background.” This “only” 2% mistakenly looks trivial: for many populations in theNorthernHemisphere the Chernobyl doses could bemany times higher compared with the natural background, whereas for others (mostly in the Southern Hemisphere) it can be close to zero. Averaging Chernobyl doses globally is like averaging the temperature of hospital patients. Another argument is that there are many places around of the world where the natural radioactive background is many times greater than the average Chernobyl fallouts and as humans successfully inhabit such areas, the Chernobyl radioactive fallout is not so significant. Let us discuss this argument in detail. Humans have a similar level of individual variation of radiosensitivity as do voles and dogs: 10–12% of humans have lower (and about 10–14% have a higher one) individual radiosensitivity than everyone else (Yablokov, 1998, 2002). Experiments on mammalian radiosensitivity carried out on voles showed that it requires strong selection for about 20 generations to establish a less radiosensitive population (Il’enko and Krapivko, 1988). If what is true for the experimental vole populations is also true for humans in Chernobyl contaminated areas, it means that in 400 years (20 human generations) the local populations in the Chernobylcontaminated areas can be less radiosensitive than they are today. Will individuals with reduced radioresistance agree that their progeny will be the first to be eliminated from populations? One physical analogy can illustrate the importance of even the smallest additional load of radioactivity: only a few drops of water added to a glass filled to the brim are needed to initiate a flow. The same few drops can initiate the same overflow when it is a barrel that is filled to the brim rather than a glass. Natural radioactive background may be as small as a glass or as big as a barrel. Irrespective of its volume, we simply do not know when only a small amount of additional Chernobyl radiation will cause an overflow of damage and irreversible change in the health of humans and in nature. All of the above reasoning makes it clear that we cannot ignore the Chernobyl irradiation, even if it is “only” 2% of the world’s average background radiation. 2.4. Determining the Impact of the Chernobyl Catastrophe on Public Health It is clear that various radionuclides caused radiogenic diseases owing to both internal and Yablokov: Public Health Consequences of Chernobyl 39 external radiation. There are several ways to determine the influence of such radiation: • Compare morbidity and mortality and such issues as students’ performance in different territories identical in environmental, social, and economic features, but differing in the level of radioactive contamination (Almond et al., 2007). This is the most usual approach in the Chernobyl studies. • Compare the health of the same individuals (or genetically close relatives―parents, children, brothers, and sisters) before and after irradiation using health indices that do not reflect age and sex differences, for example, stable chromosomal aberrations. • Compare the characteristics, mostly morbidity, for groups with different levels of incorporated radionuclides. In the first few years after the catastrophe, for 80–90% of the population, the dose of internal radiation was mostly due to Cs-137; thus for those not contaminated with other radionuclides, comparison of diseases in people with different levels of absorbed Cs-137 will give objective results of its influence.As demonstrated by thework of the BELRAD Institute (Minsk), this method is especially effective for children born after the catastrophe (see Chapter IV for details). • Document the aggregation of clusters of rare diseases in space and time and compare them with those in contaminated territories (e.g., study on the specific leukoses in the Russian Bryansk Province; Osechinsky et al., 1998). • Document the pathological changes in particular organs and subsequent diseases and mortality with the levels of incorporated radionuclides, for instance, in heart tissue in Belarus’ Gomel Province (Bandazhevski, 2000). It is methodologically flawed for some specialists to emphasize “absence of proof” and insist on “statistically significant” correlation between population doses and adverse health effects. Exact calculations of population dose and dose rate are practically impossible because data were not accurately collected at the time. If we truly want to understand and estimate the health impact of the Chernobyl catastrophe in a methodologically correct manner, it will be demonstrated in populations or intrapopulation group differences varying by radioactive levels in the contaminated territories where the territories or subgroups are uniform in other respects. References Adamovich, V. L., Mikhalev, V. P. & Romanova, G. A. (1998). Leucocytic and lymphocytic reactions as factors of the population resistance. Hematol. Transfusiol. 43(2): 36–42 (in Russian). Aleksievich, Sv. (2006). Voices from Chernobyl: The Oral History of the Nuclear Disaster (Picador, New York): XIII + 236 pp. Almond, D. V., Edlund, L. & Palmer, M. (2007). Chernobyl’s subclinical legacy: Prenatal exposure to radioactive fallout and school outcomes in Sweden. NBER Working Paper No. W13347 (//www. ssrn.com/abstract=1009797). Bandazhevsky, Yu. I. (2000). Medical and Biological Effects of Incorporated Radio-cesium (BELRAD, Minsk): 70 pp. (in Russian). Bandazhevsky, Yu. I., Lelevich, V. V., Strelko, V. V., Shylo, V. V., Zhabinsky, V. N., et al. (1995). Clinical and Experimental Aspects of the Effect of Incorporated Radionuclides Upon the Organism (Gomel Medical Institute, Gomel): 128 pp. (in Russian). Baranov’ska,N. P. (Ed.) (1996).Chernobyl Tragedy: Documents and Materials (“Naukova Dumka,” Kiev): 784 pp. Boreiko, V. Y. (1996). Stifling the Truth about Chernobyl:White Spots of the USSR EnvironmentalHistory―Russia, Ukraine (Ecological Cultural Center, Kiev) 2: pp. 121–132 (in Russian). Borysevich, N. Y. & Poplyko, I. Y. (2002). 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Verification of the Chernobyl Registry dosimetric data as a resource to support an efficient dosimetric solution for post-Chernobyl health effects studies. International Conference. Health Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Strategy of Recovery (Abstracts, Kiev): pp. 2–3 (in Russian). CRIIRAD (2002). Contaminations Radioactives, Atlas France et Europe. Paris, A. (Ed.) (Yves Michel Editions, Barretsur- Meouge): 196 pp. Drozd, V. M. (2002). Thyroid system conditions in children irradiated in utero. Inform. Bull. 3: Biological Effects of a Low Dose of Radiation (Belarussian Committee on Chernobyl Children, Minsk): pp. 23–25 (in Russian). ECRR (2003). Recommendations of the European Committee on Radiation Risk: Health Effects of Ionizing Radiation Exposure at Low Doses for Radiation Protection Purposes (Green Audit Books, Aberystwyth): 186 pp. Elyseeva, I. M. (1991). Cytogenetic effects observed in different cohorts suffering from the Chernobyl accident. M.D. Thesis. (Moscow): 24 pp. (in Russian). Graeub, K. (1992).The Petkau Effect: Nuclear Radiation, People and Trees (FourWalls EightWindows, New York): 259 pp. IFECA (1995). Medical Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident. Results of IFECA Pilot Projects andNational Programmes. ScientificReport (WHO, Geneva): 560 pp. Igumnov, S. A., Drozdovich, V. V., Kylominsky, Ya. L., Sekach,N. S.&Syvolobova, L.A. (2004). Intellectual development after antenatal irradiation: Ten-year prospective study. Med. Radiol. Radiat. Safety 49(4): 29–35 (in Russian). Il’enko, A. I. & Krapivko, T. P. (1988). Impact of ionizing radiation on rodent metabolism. Trans. USSR Acad. Sci., Biol. 1: 98–106 (in Russian). Il’in, L. A., Balonov, M. I. & Buldakov, L. A. (1990). Radio-contamination patterns and possible health consequences of the accident at the Chernobyl nuclear power station. J. Radiol. Protect. 10: 3–29 (in Russian). Il’in, L. A., Kryuchkov, V. P., Osanov, D. P. & Pavlov, D. A. (1995). 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United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation. Sources and Effects of Ionizing Radiation. Annex G (United Nations, New York). Vinnykov, V. A., Maznik, N. A. & Myzyna, V. S. (2002). International Conference. Genetic Consequences of Extraordinary Radioactive Situations (Peoples’ Friendship University, Moscow): pp. 25–26 (in Russian). Vorob’ev, A. I. & Shklovsky-Kodry, I. E. (1996). Tenth Chernobyl anniversary. What to do? Hematol. Transfusiol. 41(6): 9–10 (in Russian). Yablokov, A. V. (1976). Variability of Mammals (Amerind, New Delhi): XI + 350 pp. Yablokov, A. V. (1987). Population Biology: Progress and Problems of Studies of Natural Populations. Advanced Scientific Technologies, USSR, Biology (Mir, Moscow): 304 pp. Yablokov, A. V. (1998). Some problems of ecology and radiation safety. Med. Radiol. Radiat. Safety 43(1): 24– 29 (in Russian). Yablokov, A. V. (2002). Myth on Safety of the Low Doses of Radiation (Center for Russian Environmental Policy, Moscow): 180 pp. (in Russian). Yablokov, A. V. & Laryna, N. I. (1985). Introduction into Population Phenetics: A New Approach to Natural Population Studies (“Vysshaya Shkola,” Moscow): 160 pp. (in Russian). Zubovich, V. K., Petrov, G. A., Beresten, S. A., Kil’chevskaya, E. V. & Zemskov, V. N. (1998). Human milk and babies’ health in the radioactive contaminated areas of Belarus. Public Health 5: 28–30 (in Russian). Zubovsky, G. & Smirnova, N. (2000). Chernobyl catastrophe and your health. RussianChernobyl 4, 6, 11 (//www.portalus.ru/modules/ecology/print.php? subaction=snowfull&id) (in Russian). CHERNOBYL 3. General Morbidity, Impairment, and Disability after the Chernobyl Catastrophe Alexey V. Yablokov In all cases when comparing the territories heavily contaminated by Chernobyl’s radionuclides with less contaminated areas that are characterized by a similar economy, demography, and environment, there is a marked increase in general morbidity in the former. Increased numbers of sick and weak newborns were found in the heavily contaminated territories in Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia. There is no threshold for ionizing radiation’s impact on health. The explosion of the fourth reactor of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) dispersed an enormous amount of radionuclides (see Chapter I for details). Even the smallest excess of radiation over that of natural background will statistically (stochastically) affect the health of exposed individuals or their descendants, sooner or later. Changes in general morbidity were among the first stochastic effects of the Chernobyl irradiation. In all cases when territories heavily contaminated by Chernobyl radionuclides are compared with less contaminated areas that are similar in ethnography, economy, demography, and environment, there is increased morbidity in the more contaminated territories, increased numbers of weak newborns, and increased impairment and disability. The data on morbidity included in this chapter are only a few examples from many similar studies. 3.1. Belarus 1. The general morbidity of children noticeably increased in the heavily contaminated territories. This includes deaths from common Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia. Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ecopolicy.ru as well as rare illnesses (Nesterenko et al., 1993). 2. According to data from the Belarussian Ministry of Public Health, just before the catastrophe (in 1985), 90% of children were considered “practically healthy.” By 2000 fewer than 20% were considered so, and in the most contaminated Gomel Province, fewer than 10% of children were well (Nesterenko, 2004). 3. From 1986 to 1994 the overall death rate for newborns was 9.5%. The largest increase (up to 205%), found in the most contaminated Gomel Province (Dzykovich et al., 1996), was due primarily to disease among the growing number of premature infants. 4. The number of children with impaired physical development increased in the heavily contaminated territories (Sharapov, 2001). 5. Children from areas with contamination levels of 15–40 Ci/km2 who were newborn to 4 years old at the time of the catastrophe have significantly more illnesses than those from places with contamination levels of 5– 15 Ci/km2 (Kul’kova et al., 1996). 6. In 1993, only 9.5% of children (0 to 4 years old at the time of the catastrophe) were healthy in areas within the Kormyansk and Chechersk districts of Gomel Province, where soil Cs-137 levels were higher than 5 Ci/km2. Some 37% of the children there suffer from chronic diseases. The annual increase in disease (per 1,000, for 16 classes of illnesses) in the 42 Yablokov: Morbidity, Impairment, and Disability after Chernobyl 43 TABLE 3.1. Radioactive and Heavy Metal Contamination in Children from the Heavily and Less Contaminated Areas (Arinchin et al., 2002) Heavily contaminated: 73 boys, Less contaminated: 101 boys, 60 girls, avg. age 10.6 years 85 girls, avg. age 9.5 years First survey (a) Three years later (b) First survey (c) Three years later (d) mSv 0.77 0.81 0.02∗∗ 0.03∗∗∗ Pb, urine, mg/liter 0.040 0.020∗ 0.017∗∗ 0.03∗ Cd, urine, mg/liter 0.035 0.025 0.02∗∗ 0.015 Hg, urine, mg/liter 0.031 0.021∗ 0.022∗∗ 0.019 ∗b-a, d-c (P 5 Ci/km2), was 1.5–3.3 times the provincial level as well as the level across Russia (Fetysov, 1999; Kuiyshev et al., 2001). In 2004 childhood morbidity in these districts was double the average for the province (Sergeeva et al., 2005). 4. Childhood morbidity in the contaminated districts of Kaluga Province 15 years after the catastrophe was noticeably higher (Ignatov et al., 2001). Figure 3.5. Invalidism as a result of nonmalignant diseases in Ukrainian liquidators (1986―1987) from 1988 to 2003 (National Ukrainian Report, 2006). Yablokov: Morbidity, Impairment, and Disability after Chernobyl 49 TABLE 3.10. Initially Diagnosed Children’s Morbidity (M ± m per 1,000) in the Contaminated Districts of Kaluga Province, 1981–2000 (Tsyb et al., 2006) Districts 1981–1985 1986–1990 1991–1995 1996–2000 Three heavily contaminated 128.2 ± 3.3 198.6 ± 10.8∗∗ 253.1 ± 64.4∗∗ 130.1 ± 8.5 Three less contaminated 130.0 ± 6.4∗ 171.6 ± 9.0∗ 176.3 ± 6.5∗ 108.9 ± 16.8 Province, total 81.5 ± 6.3 100.4 ± 5.6 121.7 ± 3.2 177.1 ± 10.0 ∗Significantly different from province’s average; ∗∗significantly different from province’s average and from the period before the catastrophe. 5. Initially diagnosed childhood illnesses measured in 5-year periods for the years from 1981 to 2000 show an increase in the first two decades after the catastrophe (Table 3.10). 6. The frequency of spontaneous abortions and miscarriages and the number of newborns with low birth weight were higher in the more contaminated Klintsy andNovozybkov districts of Bryansk Province (Izhevsky and Meshkov, 1998). 7. The number of low-birth-weight children in the contaminated territories was more than 43%; and the risk of birth of a sick child in this area was more than twofold compared with a control group: 66.4 ± 4.3% vs. 31.8 ± 2.8% (Lyaginskaya et al., 2002). 8. Children’s disability in all of Bryansk Province in 1998–1999 was twice that of three of the most contaminated districts: 352 vs. 174 per 1,000 (average for Russia, 161; Komogortseva, 2006). 9. The general morbidity of adults in 1995– 1998 in the districts with Cs-137 contamination of more than 5 Ci/km2 was noticeably higher than in Bryansk Province as a whole (Fetysov, 1999; Kukishev et al., 2001). 10. The general morbidity of theRussian liquidators (3,882 surveyed) who were “under the age of 30” at the time of the catastrophe increased threefold over the next 15 years; in the group “31–40 years of age” the highestmorbidity occurred 8 to 9 years after the catastrophe (Karamullin et al., 2004). 11.Themorbidity of liquidators exceeds that of the rest of the Russian population (Byryukov et al., 2001). 12. In Bryansk Province there was a tendency toward increased general morbidity in liquidators from 1995 to 1998 (from 1,506 to 2,140 per 1,000; Fetysov, 1999). 13. All the Russian liquidators, mostly young men, were initially healthy.Within 5 years after the catastrophe 30% of them were officially recognized as “sick”; 10 years after fewer than 9% of them were considered “healthy,” and after 16 years, only up to 2% were “healthy” (Table 3.11). 14. The total morbidity owing to all classes of illnesses for the Russian liquidators in 1993–1996 was about 1.5 times above that for corresponding groups in the population (Kudryashov, 2001; Ivanov et al., 2004). 15. The number of diseases diagnosed in each liquidator has increased: up until 1991 each liquidator had an average of 2.8 diseases; in 1995, 3.5 diseases; and in 1999, 5.0 diseases (Lyubchenko and Agal’tsov, 2001; Lyubchenko, 2001). 16. Invalidism among liquidators was apparent 2 years after the catastrophe and increased torrentially (Table 3.12). TABLE 3.11. State of Health of Russian Liquidators: Percent Officially Recognized as “Sick ” (Ivanov et al., 2004; Prybylova et al., 2004) Years after the catastrophe Percent “sick” 0 0 5 30 10 90–92 16 98–99 50 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 3.12. Disability in Liquidators (%) Compared to Calculated Radiation Doses, 1990–1993 (Ryabzev, 2008) Disabled (%) Year 0–5 cGy 5–20 cGy >20 cGy 1990 6.0 10.3 17.3 1991 12.5 21.4 31.1 1992 28.6 50.1 57.6 1993 43.5 74.0 84.7 17. In 1995 the level of disability among liquidators was triple that of corresponding groups (Russian Security Council, 2002), and in 1998 was four times higher (Romamenkova, 1998). Some 15 years after the catastrophe, 27% of the Russian liquidators became invalids at an average age of 48 to 49 (National Russian Report, 2001). By the year 2004 up to 64.7% of all the liquidators of working age were disabled (Zubovsky and Tararukhina, 2007). 3.4. Other Countries 1. FINLAND. There was an increase in the number of premature births just after the catastrophe (Harjulehto et al., 1989). 2. GREAT BRITAIN. In Wales, one of the regionsmost heavily contaminated by Chernobyl fallout, abnormally low birth weights (less than 1,500 g) were noted in 1986–1987 (Figure 3.6). Figure 3.6. Percent of newborns with birth weight less than 1,500 g from 1983 to 1992 (top curve) and a level of Sr-90 in soil (bottom curve) in Wales (Busby, 1995). 3. HUNGARY. Among infants born in May– June 1986 there was a significantly higher number of low-birth-weight newborns (Wals and Dolk, 1990). 4. LITHUANIA. Among liquidators (of whom 1,808 survived) morbidity was noticeably higher among thosewho were 45 to 54 years of age during their time in Chernobyl (Burokaite, 2002). 5. SWEDEN. The number of newborns with low birth weight was significantly higher in July 1986 (Ericson and Kallen, 1994). ∗∗∗∗∗∗ It is clear that there is significantly increased general morbidity in territories heavily contaminated by the Chernobyl fallout and higher rates of disability among liquidators and others who were exposed to higher doses of radiation than the general population or corresponding nonradiated groups. Certainly, there is no direct proof of the influence of the Chernobyl catastrophe on these figures, but the question is: What else can account for the increased illness and disability that coincide precisely in time and with increased levels of radioactive contamination, if not Chernobyl? The IAEA and WHO suggested (Chernobyl Forum, 2006) that the increased morbidity is partly due to social, economic, and psychological factors. Socioeconomic factors cannot be the reason because the compared groups are identical in social and economic position, natural surroundings, age composition, etc. and differ only in their exposure to Chernobyl contamination. Following scientific canons such as Occam’s Razor, Mills’s canons, and Bradford Hill criteria, we cannot discern any reason for this level of illness other than the radioactive contamination due to the Chernobyl catastrophe. References Akulich, N. S. & Gerasymovich, G. I. (1993). 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RemoteMedical Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe (“Viribus Unitis,”Moscow): 154 pp. (in Russian). Lyubchenko, P. N. & Agal’tsov, M. V. (2001). Pathologic findings in Chernobyl liquidators over a period of 15 years. In: Lyubchenko, P. N. (Ed.) RemoteMedical Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe (“Viribus Unitis,” Moscow): pp. 26–27 (in Russian). Lukyanova, E. M., Stepanova, E. I., Antipkin, Yu. G. & Nagornaya, A. M. (1995). Children’s health. In: Bar’yakhtar, V. G. (Ed.). Chernobyl Catastrophe. Historiography, Social, Economical, Geochemical, Medical and Biological Consequences (“Naukova Dumka,” Kiev): 558 pp. (in Russian). Lyaginskaya, A. M., Osypov, V. A., Smirnova, O. V., Isichenko, I. B. & Romanova, S. V. (2002). Reproductive function of Chernobyl liquidators and health of their children. Med. Radiol. Radiat. Security 47(1): 5–10 (in Russian). Medical Consequences (2003). Medical Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident. 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Radio-ecological situation in Ukraine and the state of health of the victims of the Chernobyl catastrophe on the threshold of the third decade. International Conference. Health Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Strategy of Recovery. May 29–June 3, 2006, Kiev, Ukraine (Abstracts, Kiev): pp. 16–17 (//www.physiciansofchernobyl. org.ua/magazine/PDFS/si8_2006/T) (in Russian). Prybylova, N. N., Sydorets, V. M., Neronov, A. F. & Ovsyannikov, A. G. (2004). Results of observations of Chernobyl liquidators (16th year data). In: 69th Science Session of the Kursk Medical University and Department of Medical and Biological Sciences of the Central- Chernozem Scientific Center of the Russian Academy Medical Sciences (Collection of Papers, Kursk) 2: pp. 107–108 (in Russian). Prysyazhnyuk, A. Ye., Grishchenko, V. G., Fedorenko, Z. P., Gulak, L. O. & Fuzik, M. M. (2002). Review of epidemiological finding in study of medical consequences of the Chernobyl accident in Ukrainian population. 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(2006). Health of Belarussian people affected by the Chernobyl catastrophe. International Conference. Health Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Strategy of Recovery.May 29–June 3, 2006, Kiev, Ukraine (Abstracts, Kiev): pp. 16–17 (//www.physiciansofchernobyl.org.ua/magazine/ PDFS/si8_2006/T). Stepanova, E. (2006a). Results of 20-years of observations of children’s health who suffered due to the Chernobyl accident International Conference. Twenty Years after the Chernobyl Accident: Future Outlook. April 24–26, 2006, Kiev, Ukraine. Contributed Papers (HOLTEH, Kiev) 1: pp. 95–99 (//www.tesecint. org/T1.pdf). Stepanova, E. I. (2006b). Results of 20 years of study of Ukrainian children’s health affected by the Chernobyl catastrophe. International Conference. Health Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Strategy of Recovery. May 29–June 3, 2006, Kiev, Ukraine (Abstracts, Kiev): pp. 16–17 (//www.physiciansofchernobyl. org.ua/magazine/PDFS/si8_2006/T). Stepanova, E. I. & Davydenko, O. A. (1995). Children’s hemopoietic system reactions due to the impact of the Chernobyl accident. Third Ukrainian Congress on Hematological Transfusions, May 23– 25, 1995, Sumy, Ukraine (Abstracts, Kiev): p. 134 (in Ukrainian). Stepanova, E., Kondrashova, V., Galitchanskaya, T. & Vdovenko, V. (1998). Immune deficiency status in 54 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences prenatally irradiated children. Brit. J. Haemat. 10: 25. Sychik, S. I. & Stozharov, A. N. (1999). Perinatal irradiation assessment of function of critical organs and systems in children long after the Chernobyl catastrophe. Rad. Biol. Radioecol. 6: 128–136 (in Russian). TASS (1998). After the Chernobyl accident Ukrainian children’s morbidity increased 6 times. United News- List, Kiev, April 6. Tsimlyakova, L. M. & Lavrent’eva, E. B. (1996). Results of 10-year cohort observation of children irradiated after the Chernobyl accident. Hematol.Transfus. 41(6): 11–13 (in Russian). Tsyb, A. F. (1996). Chernobyl traces in Russia. “Tverskaya, 13” 17 (Moscow), p. 5 (in Russian). Tsyb, A. F., Ivanov, V. K., Matveenko, E. G., Borovykova, M. P., Maksyutov, M. A. & Karelo, A. M. (2006). Analysis of medical consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe in children who live in contaminated territories in order to develop strategy and tactics for special dispensation. Scientific and Practical Conference. Twenty Years after the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Biological and Social Lessons. June 5, 2006, Moscow (Materials, Moscow): pp. 269–277 (in Russian). Ushakov, I. B., Arlashchenko, N. I., Dolzhanov, A. J. & Popov, V. I. (1997). Chernobyl: Radiation Psychophysiology and Ecology of the Person (SSRI Aviation and Space Medicine, Moscow): 247 pp. (in Russian). Voronetsky, B. K., Porada, N. E., Gutkovsky, I. A. & Blet’ko, T. V. (1995). Morbidity of children inhabiting territories with radionuclide contamination. International Scientific and Practical Conference Devoted to the Fifth Anniversary, of the Gomel Medical Institute, November 9–10, 1995. Gomel (Materials, Gomel): pp. 9–10 (in Russian). Wals, Ph. de & Dolk, H. (1990). Effect of the Chernobyl radiological contamination on human reproduction in Western Europe. Progr. Chem. Biol. Res. 340: 339– 346. Zakrevsky, A. A., Nykulyna, L. I. & Martynenko, L. G. (1993). Early postnatal adaptation of newborns whose mothers were impacted by radiation. Scientific and Practical Conference. Chernobyl and Public Health (Abstracts, Kiev) 1: pp. 116–117 (in Russian). Zapesochny, A. Z., Burdyga, G. G. & Tsybenko, M. V. (1995). Irradiation in utero and intellectual development: Complex science-metrical analysis of information flow. International Conference. Actual and Prognostic Infringements of Physical Health after the Nuclear Catastrophe in Chernobyl. May 24–28, 1995, Kiev, Ukraine (Materials, Kiev): 311–312 (in Russian). Zubovsky, G. A. & Tararukhyna, O. B. (2007). Morbidity among persons exposed to radiation as a result of the Chernobyl nuclear reactor accident. In: Blokov, I., Sadownichik, T., Labunska, I. & Volkov, I. (Eds.). The Health Effects on the Human Victims of the Chernobyl Catastrophe (Greenpeace International, Amsterdam): pp. 147–151. CHERNOBYL 4. Accelerated Aging as a Consequence of the Chernobyl Catastrophe Alexey V. Yablokov Accelerated aging is one of the well-known consequences of exposure to ionizing radiation. This phenomenon is apparent to a greater or lesser degree in all of the populations contaminated by the Chernobyl radionuclides. 1. Children living in all the Belarussian territories heavily contaminated byChernobyl fallout evidence a characteristic constellation of senile illnesses (Nesterenko, 1996; and many others). 2. Children from the contaminated areas of Belarus have digestive tract epithelium characteristic of senile changes (Nesterenko, 1996; Bebeshko et al., 2006). 3. Of 69 children and teenagers hospitalized in Belarus from 1991 to 1996 diagnosed with premature baldness (alopecia), 70% came from the heavily contaminated territories (Morozevich et al., 1997). 4. The biological ages of inhabitants from the radioactive contaminated territories of Ukraine exceed their calendar ages by 7 to 9 years (Mezhzherin, 1996). The same phenomenon is observed in Russia (Malygin et al., 1998). 5. Men and women categorized as middle aged living in territories with Cs-137 contamination above 555 kBq/m2 died from heart attacks 8 years younger than the average person in Belarus (Antypova and Babichevskaya, 2001). 6. Inhabitants of Ukrainian territories heavily contaminated with radiation developed abnormalities of accommodation Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia. Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ ecopolicy.ru and other senile eye changes (Fedirko, 1999; Fedirko and Kadochnykova, 2007). 7. Early aging is a typical characteristic seen in liquidators, and many of them develop diseases 10 to 15 years earlier than the average population. The biological ages of liquidators calculated by characteristics of aging are 5 to 15 years older than their calendar ages (Gadasyna, 1994; Romanenko et al., 1995; Tron’ko et al., 1995; Ushakov et al., 1997). 8. Chernobyl radiation induced premature aging of the eyes (Fedirko and Kadochnykova, 2007). 9. Presenile characteristics of liquidators include (Antypova et al., 1997a,b; Zhavoronkova et al., 2003; Kholodova and Zubovsky, 2002; Zubovsky and Malova, 2002; Vartanyan et al., 2002; Krasylenko and Eler Ayad, 2002; Kirke, 2002; Stepanenko, 2003; Kharchenko et al., 1998, 2004; Druzhynyna, 2004; Fedirko et al., 2004; Oradovskaya et al., 2006): • Multiple illnesses characteristic of senility in individuals at early ages (10.6 diseases diagnosed in one liquidator is 2.4 times higher that the age norm). • Degenerate and dystrophic changes in various organs and tissues (e.g., osteoporosis, chronic cholecystitis, pancreatitis, fatty liver, and renal dystrophy). • Accelerated aging of blood vessels, including those in the brain, leading to senile 55 56 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences encephalopathy in those 40 years of age, and generalized arteriosclerosis. • Ocular changes, including early senile cataracts and premature presbyopia. • Decline in higher mental function characteristic of senility. • Development of Type II diabetes in liquidators younger than 30 years of age. • Loss of stability in the antioxidant system. • Retina vessel arteriosclerosis. • Hearing and vestibular disorders at younger ages. 10. Evidence of accelerated biological time in liquidators is the shortened rhythm of intracircadian arterial pressure (Talalaeva, 2002). 11. Findings indicating accelerated aging in practically all liquidators are changes in blood vessel walls leading to the development of atherosclerosis. Changes are also found in epithelial tissue, including that of the intestines (Tlepshukov et al., 1998). 12. An accelerated rate of aging, measured in 5-year intervals, marked by biological and cardiopulmonary changes (and for 11 years by physiological changes) was found in 81% of men and 77% of women liquidators (306 surveyed). Liquidators younger than 45 years of age were more vulnerable. The biological age of liquidators who worked at the Chernobyl catastrophe site in the first 4 months after the meltdown exceeds the biological age of those who labored there subsequently (Polyukhov et al., 2000). 13. It is proposed that the accelerated occurrence of age-related changes in organs of liquidators is a radiation-induced progeroid syndrome (Polyukhov et al., 2000; Bebeshko et al., 2006). References Antypova, S. I. & Babichevskaya, A. I. 2001. Belarussian adult mortality among the evacuees. Third International Conference. Medical Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe: The Results of 15 Years of Investigation. June 4–8, 2001, Kiev, Ukraine (Materials, Kiev): pp. 152– 153 (in Russian). Antypova, S. I.,Korzhunov, V. M., Polyakov, S. M. & Furmanova, V. B. (1997a). Liquidators’ health problems In: Medical Biological Effects and Ways to Overcome the Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident. (Collection of Papers Dedicated to the Tenth Anniversary of the Chernobyl Accident, Minsk/Vitebsk): pp. 3–6 (in Russian). Antypova, S. I., Korzhunov, V. M. & Suvorova, I. V. (1997b). Liquidators’ tendency to develop chronic non-specific illnesses. Scientific and Practical Conference. Actual Problems of Medical Rehabilitation of Victims of the Chernobyl Catastrophe. June 30, 1997, Minsk. (Collection of Papers Dedicated to the Tenth Anniversary of the Republic’s Radiation Medicine Dispensary, Materials, Minsk): pp. 59–60 (in Russian). Bebeshko, V., Bazyka, D., Loganovsky, K., Volovik, S. & Kovalenko, A. et al. (2006). Does ionizing radiation accelerate aging phenomena? International Conference. Twenty Years after Chernobyl Accident: FutureOutlook. April 24–26, 2006, Kiev, Ukraine. Contributed Papers (HOLTEH, Kiev) 1: pp. 13–18 (//www.tesecint. org/T1.pdf). Druzhynyna, I. V. (2004). Condition of liquidators’ mandibles. Inter-Region Inter-Institute Scientific Student Conference, Perm’ April 5–7, 2004 (Materials, Perm’/Izhevsk) 1: pp. 53–54 (in Russian). Fedirko, P. (1999). Chernobyl accident and the eyes: Some results of a prolonged clinical investigation. Ophthalmol. 2: 69–73. Fedirko, P.&Kadochnykova, I. (2007). Risks of eye pathology in victims of the Chernobyl catastrophe. In: Blokov, I., Sadownichik, T., Labunska, I. & Volkov, I. (Eds.), The Health Effects of the Human Victims of the Chernobyl Catastrophe (Greenpeace International, Amsterdam): pp. 16–24. Fedirko, P. A., Mitchanchuk, N. S. & Kholodenko, T. Yu. (2004). Atherosclerotic changes of the aorta and eye vessels, and acoustic and vestibular disorders as a syndrome of premature aging in liquidators (clinical experimental study). J. Otolarygolog. 4: 44–49 (in Russian). Gadasyna, A. (1994). Chernobyl tightens spring of life. Izvestiya (Moscow) July 22, p. 3. Kharchenko, V. P., Kholodova, N. B. & Zubovsky, G. A. (2004). Clinical and psycho-physical correlates of premature aging after low dose irradiation. All-Russian Scientific Conference. Medical Biological Problems of Radioactive and Chemical Protection. May 20– 21, 2004, St. Petersburg (Materials, St. Petersburg): pp. 208–210 (in Russian). Yablokov: Accelerated Aging as a Consequence of Chernobyl 57 Kharchenko, V. P., Rassokhin, B. M. & Zubovsky, G. A. (1998). Importance of bone-densimetry to evaluate the mineral content of liquidator’s vertebrae. In: Lyubchenko, P. N. (Ed.), Results and Problems of Medical Observation of Health Status of Liquidators Long after the Catastrophe (MONIKI, Moscow): pp. 103–108 (in Russian). Kholodova, N. B. & Zubovsky, G. A. (2002). Polymorbidity as syndrome of premature aging after low dose irradiation. Clinic. Gerontol. 8(8): 86–88 (in Russian). Kirke, L. (2002). Early development of some diseases in liquidators. Clinic. Gerontol. 8(8): 83–84 (in Russian). Klempartskaya, I.N. (1964). Endogenous Infection in the Pathogenesis of Radiation Sickness (“Medicina,”Moscow): 179 pp. (in Russian). Krasylenko, E. P. & Eler Ayad, M. S. (2002). Age characteristics and correlation of cerebral hemodynamics in persons with high risk to develop cerebral vascular pathology. Aging Longev. Problem 11(4): 405–416 (in Russian). Malygin, V. L., Atlas, E. E. & Zhavoronkova, V. A. (1998). Psychological health of the population in radioactive contaminated territories (psycho-physiological study). In: International Conference of Psychiatry, Moscow (Materials, Moscow): pp. 87–88 (in Russian). Mezhzherin, V.A. (1996). Civilization and Noosphera. Book 1 (“Logos,” Kiev): 144 pp. (in Russian). Morozevich,T.S., Gres’,N. A.,Arynchyn, A.N.&Petrova, V. S. (1997). Some eco-pathogenic problems seen in hair growth abnormalities in Byelorussian children. Scientific and Practical Conference. Actual Problems of Medical Rehabilitation of the Population Suffering from the Chernobyl Catastrophe. June 30, 1997, Minsk. Dedicated to the Tenth Anniversary of the Republic’s Radiation Medicine Dispensary (Materials, Minsk): pp. 38–39 (in Russian). Nesterenko, V. B. (1996). Scale and Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for Belarus, Ukraine and Russia (Pravo and Economica, Minsk): 72 pp. (in Russian). Oradovskaya, I. V., Vykulov, G. Kh., Feoktystov, V. V. & Bozheskaya, N. V. (2006). Delayed medical consequences in liquidators: Results of 20 years of monitoring. International Conference. Twenty Years after Chernobyl: Ecological and Social Lessons. June 5, 2006, Moscow (Materials, Moscow): pp. 145–166 (in Russian). Polyukhov, A. M., Kobsar, I. V., Grebelnik, V. I. & Voitenko, V. P. (2000). Accelerated occurrence of age-related organ changes in Chernobyl workers: A radiation-induced progeroid syndrome? Exper. Gerontol. 35(1): 105–115 (in Russian). Romanenko, A. E., Pyatak, O. A. & Kovalenko, A. L. (1995). Liquidators’ health. 2.2. In: Bar’yakhtar, V. G. (Ed.), Chernobyl Catastrophe: History, Social, Economical, Geochemical, Medical and Biological Consequences (“Naukova Dumka,” Kiev) (//www.stopatom. slavutich.kiev/1.htm) (in Russian). Stepanenko, I. V. (2003). Results of immunological characters and blood pH in liquidators. Laborat. Diagnost. 3: 21–23 (in Russian). Talalaeva, G. V. (2002). Changes of biological time in liquidators. Herald Kazhakh. Nat. Nucl. Cent. 3: 11–17 (in Russian). Tlepshukov, I. K., Baluda, M. V. & Tsyb, A. F. (1998). Changes in homeostasis in liquidators. Hematol. Transfusiol. 43(1): 39–41 (in Russian). Tron’ko, N. D., Cheban, A. K., Oleinik, V. A. & Epshtein, E. V. (1995). Endocrine system. In: Bar’yakhtar, V. G. (Ed.), Chernobyl Catastrophe: Historiography, Social, Economical, Geochemical, Medical and Biological Consequences (“Naukova Dumka”, Kiev): pp. 454–456 (in Russian). Ushakov, I. B., Arlashchenko, N. I., Dolzhanov, A. J. & Popov,V. I. (1997). Chernobyl: Radiation Psychophysiology andEcology of the Person (Institute ofAviation and Space Medicine, Moscow): 247 pp. (in Russian). Vartanyan, L. S., Gurevich, S. M., Kozachenko, A. I., Nagler, L. G. & Burlakova, E. B. (2002). Long-term effects of lowdose of ionizing radiation on the human anti-oxidant system. Rad. Biol. Radioecol. 43(2): 203– 205 (in Russian). Zhavoronkova, L. A., Gabova, A. V., Kuznetsova, G. D., Sel’sky, A. G. & Pasechnik, V. I. et al. (2003). Postradiation effect on inter-hemispheric asymmetry via EEG and thermographic characteristics. J. High Nervous Activit. 53(4): 410–419 (in Russian). Zubovsky, G. A. & Malova, Yu. V. (2002). Aging abnormalities in liquidators. Clinic. Gerontol. 8(8): 82–83 (in Russian). CHERNOBYL 5. Nonmalignant Diseases after the Chernobyl Catastrophe Alexey V. Yablokov This section describes the spectrum and the scale of the nonmalignant diseases that have been found among exposed populations. Adverse effects as a result of Chernobyl irradiation have been found in every group that has been studied. Brain damage has been found in individuals directly exposed―liquidators and those living in the contaminated territories, as well as in their offspring. Premature cataracts; tooth and mouth abnormalities; and blood, lymphatic, heart, lung, gastrointestinal, urologic, bone, and skin diseases afflict and impair people, young and old alike. Endocrine dysfunction, particularly thyroid disease, is far more common than might be expected, with some 1,000 cases of thyroid dysfunction for every case of thyroid cancer, a marked increase after the catastrophe. There are genetic damage and birth defects especially in children of liquidators and in children born in areas with high levels of radioisotope contamination. Immunological abnormalities and increases in viral, bacterial, and parasitic diseases are rife among individuals in the heavily contaminated areas. For more than 20 years, overall morbidity has remained high in those exposed to the irradiation released by Chernobyl. One cannot give credence to the explanation that these numbers are due solely to socioeconomic factors. The negative health consequences of the catastrophe are amply documented in this chapter and concern millions of people. 5.1. Blood and Lymphatic System Diseases For both children and adults, diseases of the blood and the circulatory and lymphatic systems are among the most widespread consequences of the Chernobyl radioactive contamination and are a leading cause of morbidity and death for individuals who worked as liquidators. 5.1.1. Diseases of the Blood and Blood-Forming Organs 5.1.1.1. Belarus 1. The incidence of diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs was 3.8-fold higher Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia. Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ecopolicy.ru among evacuees 9 years after the catastrophe. It was 2.4-fold higher for inhabitants of the contaminated territories than for all of the population of Belarus; these rates were, respectively, 279, 175, and 74 per 10,000 (Matsko, 1999). 2. In 1995, for the Belarus liquidators, incidence of diseases of the blood and bloodforming organs was 4.4-fold higher than for corresponding groups in the general population (304 and 69 per 10,000; Matsko, 1999; Kudryashov, 2001). 3. The incidence of hematological abnormalities was significantly higher among 1,220,424 newborns in the territories contaminated by Cs-137 at levels above 1 Ci/km2 (Busuet et al., 2002). 4. Incidence of diseases of the blood and the lymphatic system was three- to five-fold higher in the most contaminated Stolinsk and Luninetsk districts in Brest Province in 1996 than in less contaminated districts (Gordeiko, 1998). 58 Yablokov: Nonmalignant Diseases after Chernobyl 59 TABLE 5.1. Statistics of the Annual Cases of Belarussian Children with Depression of the Blood-Forming Organs after the Catastrophe (Gapanovich et al., 2001) 1979–1985 1986–1992 1993–1997 Number of cases 9.3 14.0 15.6 Cases per 10,000 0.60 ± 0.09 0.71 ± 0.1∗ 1.00 1.46∗ 1.73∗ ∗p 15 Ci/km2) there was a significantly lower level of C3 component cells (Zafranskaya et al., 1995). 6. Myelotoxic activity of the blood (MTA) and the number of T lymphocytes were significantly lower in multiple sclerosis patients from areas with Cs-137 contamination from 5–15 Ci/km2 (Fyllypovich, 2002). 7. Absolute and relative numbers of lymphocytes, as a percent of basophilic cells were significantly higher among adults and teenagers living in Gomel Province territories with a level of Cs-137 contamination from 15–40 Ci/km2 (Miksha and Danylov, 1997). 8. Evacuees and those still living in heavily contaminated territories have a significantly lower percent of leukocytes, which have expressed pan-D cellularmarker CD3 (Baeva and Sokolenko, 1998). 9. The leukocyte count was significantly higher among inhabitants of Vitebsk and Gomel provinces who developed infectious diseases in the first 3 years after the catastrophe compared with those who already were suffering fromthese diseases (Matveenko et al., 1995). 10. The number of cases of preleukemic conditions (myelodysplastic syndrome and aplastic anemia) increased significantly during the first 11 years after the catastrophe (Table 5.1). 11. Significant changes in the structure of the albumin layer of erythrocyte membranes (increased cell fragility) occurred in liquidators’ children born in 1987 (Arynchin et al., 1999). 12. There is a correlation between increased Fe-deficient anemia in Belarus and the level of radioactive contamination in the territory (Dzykovich et al., 1994; Nesterenko, 1996). In the contaminated areas of Mogilev Province the number of people with leukopenia and anemia increased sevenfold from 1986 to 1988 compared to 1985 (Gofman, 1994). 13. Primary products of lipid oxidation in the plasma of children’s blood (0 to 12 months) from Mogilev (Krasnopolsk District), Gomel (Kormyansk District), and Vitebsk (Ushachy District) provinces contaminated with Cs-137 statistically significantly declined from 1991 to 1994. The amount of vitamins A and E in babies’ blood from the more contaminated territories (up to 40 Ci/km2) decreased 2.0- to 2.7-fold (Voznenko et al., 1996). 14. Children from Chechersk District (Gomel Province) with levels of 15–40 Ci/km2 of Cs-137 and from Mtzensk and Bolkhovsk districts (Oryol Province, Russia) with levels of 1–15 Ci/km2 have lipid oxidation products that are two- to sixfold higher. The levels of irreplaceable bioantioxidants (BAO) were twoto threefold lower than norms for the corresponding age ranges. Contaminated children have rates of metabolism of BAO two- to tenfold higher than the age norms (Baleva et al., 2001a). 15. For boys irradiated in utero there was a reduction in direct and an increase in free bilirubin in blood serum over 10 years. For girls there was a reduced concentration of both direct and indirect bilirubin (Sychik and Stozharov, 1999a,b). 5.1.1.2. Ukraine 1. Children in the heavily contaminated territories have a level of free oxidizing radicals in their blood that is significantly higher than in those in the less contaminated territories: 1,278 ± 80 compared with 445 ± 36 measured as impulses per minute (Horishna, 2005). 60 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 2. Children of liquidators living in the contaminated territories had two- to threefold higher blood and blood-forming-organ morbidity compared to children from noncontaminated territories (Horishna, 2005). 3. Diseases of the blood and circulatory system for people living in the contaminated territories increased 11- to 15-fold for the first 12 years after the catastrophe (1988–1999; Prysyazhnyuk et al., 2002). 4. In 1996, morbidity of the blood-forming organs in the contaminated territories was 2.4- fold higher than for the rest of Ukraine (12.6 and 3.2 per 10,000; Grodzinsky, 1999). 5. For the first 10 years after the catastrophe the number of cases of diseases of blood and blood-forming organs among adults in the contaminated territories of Zhytomir Province increased more than 50-fold: from 0.2 up to 11.5% (Nagornaya, 1995). 6. For a decade after the catastrophe, morbidity of the blood and blood-forming organs in adults and teenagers living in contaminated territories increased 2.4-fold: from 12.7 in 1987 to up to 30.5 per 10,000 in 1996. For the remaining population of Ukraine this level remained at the precatastrophe level (Grodzinsky, 1999). 7. During the acute iodic period (the first months after the catastrophe) abnormal blood cell morphology was found in more than 92% of 7,200 surveyed children living in the area, and 32% of them also had abnormal blood counts. Abnormalities included mitochondrial swelling and stratification of nuclear membranes, expansion of the perinuclear spaces, pathological changes in cell surfaces, decreased concentration of cellular substances, and increase in the volume of water. The last is an indication of damage to the cellular membranes (Stepanova and Davydenko, 1995). 8. During 1987–1988 qualitative changes in blood cells were found in 78.3% of children from zones with radiation levels of 5–15 Ci/km2 (Stepanova and Davydenko, 1995). 9. In the contaminated territories, anemia was found in 11.5% of 1,926 children examined in 1986–1998 (Bebeshko et al., 2000). 5.1.1.3. Russia 1. Diseases of the blood and blood-forming organs caused much greater general morbidity in children from contaminated areas (Kulakov et al., 1997). 2. Morbidity owing to abnormalities of the blood and the circulatory system has more than doubled in children in the contaminated districts of Tula Province and has increased in all the contaminated districts in comparison with the period before the catastrophe (Sokolov, 2003). 3. In 1998 the annual general morbidity from blood, blood-forming organs, and the circulatory system of children in the contaminated districts of Bryansk Province significantly exceeded the provincial level (19.6 vs. 13.7 per 1,000; Fetysov, 1999a). 4. For liquidators, the morbidity from blood and blood-forming organs grew 14.5-fold between 1986 and 1993 (Baleva et al., 2001). 5. Critically low lymphocyte counts were seen in children in the contaminated districts of Bryansk Province over a 10-year survey after the catastrophe (Luk’yanova and Lenskaya, 1996). 6. In almost half of the children, blood hemoglobin levels exceeded 150 g/liter in the settlements of Bryansk Province that had high levels of Cs-137 soil contamination and a level of contamination from Sr-90 (Lenskaya et al., 1995). 7. Individuals living in the contaminated areas have fewer lymphocytes with adaptive reaction, and the number of people with higher lymphocytes radiosensitivity increased (Burlakova et al., 1998). 8. The numbers of leukocytes, erythrocytes, lymphocytes, and thrombocytes in liquidators’ peripheral blood were markedly different (Tukov et al., 2000). The number of large granulocytic lymphocytes decreased by 60–80% 1 month after the liquidators began work and Yablokov: Nonmalignant Diseases after Chernobyl 61 TABLE 5.2. Dynamics of the Interrelation by Lymphopoietic Type (in %, See Text) in Russian Liquidators (Karamullin et al., 2004) Lymphopoietic types Time after the catastrophe Quasi-normal Hyperregeneratory Hyporegeneratory 0 to 5 years 32 55 13 5 to 9 years 38 0 62 10 to 15 years 60 17 23 Control group 76 12 12 stayed at a lower level for at least 1 year (Antushevich and Legeza, 2002). 9. The glutathione level in blood proteins and cytogenic characteristics of lymphocytes were markedly different in children born 5 to 7 years after the catastrophe in the contaminated Mtsensk and Bolkhov districts, Oryol Province, Russia, and in Chechersk District, Gomel Province, Belarus (Ivanenko et al., 2004). 10. In the contaminated territories of Kursk Province changes in lymphocyte counts and functional activity and the number of circulating immune complexes were seen in the blood of children 10 to 13 years of age and in pregnant women (Alymov et al., 2004). 11. Significant abnormal lymphocytes and lymphopenia was seen more often in children in the contaminated territories (Sharapov, 2001; Vasyna et al., 2005). Palpable lymph nodes occurred with greater frequency and were more enlarged in the heavily contaminated territories. Chronic tonsillitis and hypertrophy of the tonsils and adenoids were found in 45.4% of 468 children and teenagers examined (Bozhko, 2004). 12. Among the liquidators, the following parameters of the blood and lymphatic system were significantly different from controls: • Average duration of nuclear magnetic resonance relaxation (NPMR) of blood plasma (Popova et al., 2002). • Receptor–leukotrene reaction of erythrocyte membranes (Karpova and Koretskaya, 2003). • Quantity of the POL by-products (by malonic aldehyde concentration) and by viscosity of membranes and on a degree of the lipids nonsaturation (Baleva et al., 2001a). • Imbalance of the intermediate-size molecules in thrombocytes, erythrocytes, and blood serum (Zagradskaya, 2002). • Decreased scattering of the granular component of lymphocyte nuclei reduction of the area and perimeter of the perigranular zones; and increased toothlike projection of this zone (Aculich, 2003). • Increased intravascular thrombocyte aggregation (Tlepshukov et al., 1998). • Increased blood fibrinolyic activity and fibrinogen concentration in blood serum (Tlepshukov et al., 1998). 13. Liquidators’ lymphopoesis remained nonfunctional 10 years after the catastrophe (Table 5.2). It is known that Japanese juvenile atomic bomb victims suffer from diseases of the bloodforming organs 10 times more often than control groups, even in the second and third generations (Furitsu et al., 1992). Thus it can be expected that, following the Chernobyl catastrophe, several more generations will develop blood-forming diseases as a result of the radiation. 5.1.2. Cardiovascular Diseases Cardiovascular diseases are widespread in all the territories contaminated by Chernobyl emissions. 62 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 5.1.2.1. Belarus 1. Cardiovascular disease increased nationwide three- to fourfold in 10 years compared to the pre-Chernobyl period and to an even greater degree in the more heavily contaminated areas (Manak et al., 1996; Nesterenko, 1996). 2. Impaired cardiovascular homeostasis is characteristic for more newborns in the first 4 days of life in districts with contamination levels higher than 15–40 Ci/km2 (Voskresenskaya et al., 1996). 3. Incidence of hemorrhages in newborns in the contaminated Chechersky District of the Gomel Province is more than double than before the catastrophe (Kulakov et al., 1997). 4. Correlated with levels of radiation, changes in the cardiovascular system were found in more than 70% of surveyed children aged 3 to 7 years from contaminated territories of Gomel Province (Bandazhevskaya, 1994). 5. In 1995, cardiovascular system morbidity among the population in the contaminated territories and evacuees was threefold higher than for Belarus as a whole (4,860 and 1,630 per 100,000; Matsko, 1999). 6. More than 70% of newborn to 1-yearold children in territories with Cs-137 soil contamination of 5–20 Ci/km2 have had cardiac rhythm abnormalities (Tsybul’skaya et al., 1992; Bandazhevsky, 1997). Abnormalities of cardiac rhythm and conductivity correlated with the quantity of incorporated radionuclides (Bandazhevsky et al., 1995; Bandazhevsky 1999). There were significantly higher incidence and persistence of abnormalities of cardiac rhythm in patients with ischemic heart disease in contaminated territories (Arynchyna and Mil’kmanovich, 1992). 7. Both raised and lowered arterial blood pressure were found in children and adults in the contaminated areas (Sykorensky and Bagel, 1992; Goncharik, 1992; Nedvetskaya and Lyalykov, 1994; Zabolotny et al., 2001; and others). Increased arterial pressure occurred significantly more often in adults in the Mogilev Province, where contamination was above 30 Ci/km2 (Podpalov, 1994). Higher arterial pressure in children correlated with the quantity of the incorporated Cs-137 (Bandazhevskaya, 2003; Kienya and Ermolitsky, 1997). 8. Compared to healthy children, brain arterial vessels in children 4 to 16 years old were more brittle among children in contaminated areas in Gomel (Narovlyansky, Braginsk, El’sk, andKhoiniky districts), Mogilev (Tchernikovsk, Krasnopol’sk, and Slavgorodsk districts), and Brest provinces (Arynchin et al., 1996, 2002; Arynchin, 1998). 9. Morbidity of the circulatory system among children born to irradiated parents was significantly higher from 1993 to 2003 (National Belarussian Report, 2006). 10. The volume of blood loss during Caesarean birth was significantly higher for women from Gomel Province living in the territories contaminated by Cs-137 at levels of 1– 5 Ci/km2 compared to those from uncontaminated areas (Savchenko et al., 1996). 11. Blood supply to the legs, as indicated by vasomotor reactions of the large vessels,was significantly abnormal for girls age 10 to 15 years who lived in areas with a level of Cs-137 contamination higher than 1–5 Ci/km2 compared with those in the less contaminated territories (Khomich and Lysenko, 2002; Savanevsky and Gamshey, 2003). 12. The primary morbidity of both male and female liquidators was high blood pressure, acute heart attacks, cerebrovascular diseases, and atherosclerosis in of the arms and legs, which increased significantly in 1993–2003, including in the young working group (National Belarussian Report, 2006). 13. In the observation period 1992–1997 there was a 22.1% increase in the incidence of fatal cardiovascular disease among liquidators compared to 2.5% in the general population (Pflugbeil et al., 2006). Yablokov: Nonmalignant Diseases after Chernobyl 63 TABLE 5.3. Cardiovascular Characteristics of Male Liquidators in Voronezh Province (Babkin et al., 2002) Inhabitants of Liquidators contaminated Control Parameter (n = 56) territory (n = 60) (n = 44) AP–a systole 151.9 ± 1.8∗ 129.6 ± 2.1 126.3 ± 3.2 AP–diastole 91.5 ± 1.5∗ 83.2 ± 1.8 82.2 ± 2.2 IBH, % 9.1∗ 46.4 33.3 Insult, % 4.5∗ 16.1∗ 0 Thickness of carotid wall, mm∗ 1.71 ± 0.90∗ 0.81 ± 0.20 0.82 ± 0.04 Overburdening heredity, % 25 25 27.3 ∗Statistically significant differences from control group. 5.1.2.2. Ukraine 1. Themorbidity fromcirculatory diseases in 1996 in the contaminated territories was 1.5- fold higher than in the rest of Ukraine (430 vs. 294 per 10,000; Grodzinsky, 1999). 2. Symptoms of early atherosclerosis were observed in 55.2% of children in territories contaminated at a level of 5–15 kBq \m2 (Burlak et al. 2006). 3. Diseases of the cardiovascular system occurred significantly more often in children irradiated in utero (57.8 vs. 31.8%, p 5 Ci/km2) Districts of Bryansk Province, 1995–1998 (Fetysov, 1999b: table 6.2) Number of cases District 1995 1996 1997 1998 Klymovo 600.5 295.9 115.1 52.3 Novozybkov 449.0 449.5 385.9 329.4 Klintsy 487.6 493.0 413.0 394.3 Krasnogorsk 162.2 306.8 224.6 140.1 Zlynka 245.1 549.3 348.7 195.0 Southwest∗ 423.4 341.0 298.7 242.7 ∗All heavily contaminated districts. boys who were born in Voronezh Province in 1986 were significantly shorter than boys of the same age who were born in 1983, most probably owing to thyroid hormone imbalance (Ulanova et al., 2002). 7. In 1998 every third child in the city of Yekaterinburg, located in the heavily industrialized Ural area that was exposed to Chernobyl fallout, had abnormal thyroid gland development (Dobrynina, 1998). 5.3.2.4. Other Countries POLAND. Of the 21,000 individuals living in the southeast part of the country contaminated by Chernobyl fallout who were examined, every second woman and every tenth child had an enlarged thyroid. In some settlements, thyroid gland pathology was found in 70% of the inhabitants (Associated Press, 2000). 5.3.3. Conclusion Despite information presented so far, we still do not have a total global picture of all of the people whose hormone function was impaired by radiation from the Chernobyl catastrophe because medical statistics do not deal with such illnesses in a uniform way. At first sight some changes in endocrine function in those subjected to Chernobyl radiation were considered controversial. We have learned, however, that hormone function may be depressed in a territory with a low level of radioactive contamination and increased owing to an increasing dose rate in a neighboring contaminated area. Diseases of the same organ may lead to opposing signs and symptoms depending upon the timing and extent of the damage. With the collection of new data, we hope that such contradictions can be resolved. Careful research may uncover the explanation as to whether the differences are due to past influences of different isotopes, combinations of different radioisotopes, timing of exposures, adaptation of various organs, or factors still to be uncovered. Yablokov: Nonmalignant Diseases after Chernobyl 87 The analysis of remote, decades-old data, from the southern Ural area contaminated by radioactive accidents in the 1950s and 1960s indicates that low-dose irradiation in utero, which was similar to that from Chernobyl, may cause impairment of neuroendocrine and neurohumoral regulation. Using those data, researchers reported vertebral osteochondrosis, osteoarthritic deformities of the extremities, atrophic gastritis, and other problems in the exposed population (Ostroumova, 2004). An important finding to date is that for every case of thyroid cancer there are about 1,000 cases of other kinds of thyroid gland pathology. In Belarus alone, experts estimate that up to 1.5 million people are at risk of thyroid disease (Gofman, 1994; Lypyk, 2004). From the data collected from many different areas by many independent researchers, the spectrum and the scale of endocrine pathology associated with radioactive contamination are far greater than had been suspected. It is now clear that multiple endocrine illnesses caused by Chernobyl have adversely affected millions of people. 5.4. Immune System Diseases One result ofmany studies conducted during the last few years in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia is the clear finding that Chernobyl radiation suppresses immunity―a person’s or organism’s natural protective system against infection and most diseases. The lymphatic system―the bone marrow, thymus, spleen, lymph nodes, and Peyer’s patches―has been impacted by both large and small doses of ionizing radiation from the Chernobyl fallout. As a result, the quantity and activity of various groups of lymphocytes and thus the production of antibodies, including various immunoglobulins, stem cells, and thrombocytes, are altered. The ultimate consequences of destruction of the immune system is immunodeficiency and an increase in the frequency and seriousness of acute and chronic diseases and infections, as is widely observed in the Chernobyl-irradiated territories (Bortkevich et al., 1996; Lenskaya et al., 1999; and others). The suppression of immunity as a result of this radioactive contamination is known as “Chernobyl AIDS.” On the basis of review of some 150 scientific publications the conclusion is that depression of thymus function plays the leading role in postradiation pathology of the immune system (Savyna and Khoptynskaya, 1995). Some examples of adverse effects of Chernobyl contamination on the immune system as well as data showing the scale of damage to the health of the different populations are described in what follows. 5.4.1. Belarus 1. Among 3,200 children who were examined from 1986 to 1999 there was a significant decrease in B lymphocytes and subsequently in T lymphocytes, which occurred within the first 45 days after the catastrophe. In the first 1.5 months, the level of the G-immunoglobulin (IgG) significantly decreased and the concentration of IgA and IgM as circulating immune complexes (CIC) increased. Seven months after the catastrophe there was a normalization of most of the immune parameters, except for the CIC and IgM. From 1987 to 1995 immunosuppression was unchanged and a decrease in the number of T cells indicators was seen. A total of 40.8 ± 2.4% of children from the contaminated territories had high levels of IgE, rheumatoid factor, CIC, and antibodies to thyroglobulin. This was especially prominent in children from the heavily contaminated areas. The children also had increased titers of serum interferon, tumor necrosis factor (TNF-a), R-proteins, and decreased complement activity. From 1996 to 1999 T cell system changes showed increased CD3+ and CD4+ lymphocytes and significantly decreased CD22 and HLA-DR lymphocytes. Children from areas heavily contaminated with Cs-137 had significantly more eosinophils, eosinophilic 88 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences protein X concentration in urine, and eosinophilic cation protein concentration in serum (Tytov, 2000). 2. There was a strong correlation between the level of Cs-137 contamination in the territories and the quantity of the D25+ lymphocytes, as well as concentration-specific IgE antibodies to grass and birch pollen (Tytov, 2002). 3. There was an increasing concentration of the thyroid autoantibodies in 19.5% of “practically healthy” children and teenagers living in Khoiniky District, Gomel Province. The children and teenagers with thyroid autoimmune antibodies living in the contaminated territories have more serious and more persistent changes in their immune status (Kuchinskaya, 2001). 4. The number of B lymphocytes and the level of serum IgG began to increase in children from the contaminated areas of the Mogilev and Gomel provinces a year after the catastrophe. The children were 2 to 6 years of age at the time of the catastrophe (Galitskaya et al., 1990). 5. In children from the territories of Mogilev Province contaminated by Cs-137 at levels higher than 5 Ci/km2 there was a significant decrease in cellularmembrane stability and impaired immunity (Voronkin et al., 1995). 6. The level of T lymphocytes in children who were 7 to 14 years of age at the time of the catastrophe correlated with radiation levels (Khmara et al., 1993). 7. Antibody formation and neutrophilic activity were significantly lower for the first year of life in newborns in areas with Cs-137 levels higher than 5 Ci/km2 (Petrova et al., 1993). 8. Antitumor immunity in children and evacuees was significantly lower in heavily contaminated territories (Nesterenko et al., 1993). 9. Immune system depression occurred in healthy children in the Braginsk District near the 30-km zone immediately after the catastrophe with normalization of some parameters not occurring until 1993 (Kharytonik et al., 1996). 10. Allergy to cow’s milk proteins was found in more children living in territories more heavily contaminated by Sr-90 than in children from less contaminated areas: 36.8 vs. 15.0% (Bandazhevsky et al., 1995; Bandazhevsky, 1999). 11. Among 1,313 children examined from an area contaminated by Cs-137 at a level of 1–5 Ci/km2 some developed immune system problems, which included lowered neutrophil phagocytic activity, reduced IgA and IgM, and increased clumping of erythrocytes (Bandazhevsky et al., 1995). 12. The immune changes in children of Gomel Province are dependent upon the spectrum of radionuclides: identical levels of Sr- 90 and Cs-137 radiation had different consequences (Evets et al., 1993). 13. There was correlation among children and adults between the level of radioactive contamination in an area and the expression of the antigen APO-1/FAS (Mel’nikov et al., 1998). 14. There are significant competing differences in the immune status of children from territories with different Cs-137 contamination loads (Table 5.30). 15. Levels of immunoglobulins IgA, IgM, IgG, and A(sA) in mother’s milk were significantly lower in the contaminated areas. Acute respiratory virus infections (ARV), acute bronchitis, acute intestinal infections, and anemia were manifoldly higher in breast-fed babies from the contaminated areas (Zubovich et al., 1998). 16. Significant changes in cellular immunity were documented in 146 children and teenagers operated on for thyroid cancer in Minsk.These changes included: decrease in the number of T lymphocytes (in 30% of children and 39% of teens), decreased levels of B lymphocytes (42 and 68%), decreased T lymphocytes (58 and 67%), high titers of antibodies to thyroglobulin (ATG), and neutrophilic leukocytosis in 60% of the children (Derzhitskaya et al., 1997). 17. Changes in both cellular and humoral immunity were found in healthy adults living in territories with a high level of contamination (Soloshenko, 2002; Kyril’chik, 2000). Yablokov: Nonmalignant Diseases after Chernobyl 89 TABLE 5.30. Immune Status of Children with Frequent and Prolonged Illnesses from the Contaminated Territories of Belarus (Gurmanchuk et al., 1995) District/radiation level Parameters of immunity Pinsk, Brest Province, 1–5 Ci/km2 (n = 67) Number of T lymphocytes, T suppressors (older children), suppression index, T helpers (all groups) is lowered. The level of the CIC, IgM (all groups), and IgA (children up to 6 years of age) is raised. Bragin, Gomel Province, 40–80 Ci/km2 (n = 33) Number of T lymphocytes is raised (all groups), fewer T-lymphocyte helpers (older children), increased T suppressors (in oldest children). Krasnopolsk, Mogilev Province, up to 120 Ci/km2 (n = 57) All children have humoral cellular depression, fewer B lymphocytes, CIC levels raised, complement overactive, and levels of IgG and IgA phagocyte activity lowered. 18. The levels of IgA, IgG, and IgM immunoglobulins were increased in the postpartum period in women from districts in Gomel and Mogilev provinces contaminated with Cs- 137 at a level higher than 5 Ci/km2 and the immune quality of their milk was lowered (Iskrytskyi, 1995). The quantity of IgA, IgG, and IgM immunoglobulins and secretory immunoglobulin A(sA) were reduced in women in the contaminated territories when they began lactating (Zubovich et al., 1998). 19. The number of T and B lymphocytes and phagocytic activity of neutrophilic leukocytes was significantly reduced in adults from the contaminated areas (Bandazhevsky, 1999). 20. Significant changes in all parameters of cellular immunity (in the absence of humoral ones) were found in children born to liquidators in 1987 (Arynchin et al., 1999). 21. A survey of 150 Belarus liquidators 10 years after the catastrophe showed a significant decrease in the number of T lymphocyte, T suppressor, and T helper cells (Table 5.31). 22. In a group of 72 liquidators from 1986, serum levels for autoantibodies to thyroid antigens (thyroglobulin and microsomal fraction of thyrocytes) were raised 48%. Autoantibodies to lens antigen were increased 44%; to CIC, 55%; and to thyroglobulin, 60%. These shifts in immune system function are harbingers of pathology of the thyroid gland and crystalline lens of the eye (Kyseleva et al., 2000). 5.4.2. Ukraine 1. Immune deficiency was seen in 43.5% of children radiated in utero (vs. 28.0% in the control group; P 15 Evacuees 1993 136 190 226 355 1994 146 196 366 425 1995 147 n/a n/a 443 8. Eye disease significantly increased from 1993 to 2003 among children 10 to 14 years of age born to irradiated parents (National Belarussian Report, 2006). 9. The level of absorbed Cs-137 correlates with the incidence of cataracts in children from the Vetka District, Gomel Province (Bandazhevsky, 1999). 10. From 1993 to 1995, cataracts were markedly more common in the more contaminated territories and among evacuees than in the general population (Table 5.51). 11. Eye diseases were more common in the more contaminated districts of Gomel Province and included cataracts, vitreous degeneration, and refraction abnormalities (Bandazhevsky, 1999). 12. Bilateral cataracts occurred more frequently in the more contaminated territories (54 vs. 29% in controls; Arynchin and Ospennikova, 1999). 13. Crystalline lens opacities occur more frequently in the more radioactive contaminated territories (Table 5.52) and correlate with the level of incorporated Cs-137 (Figure 5.11). 14. Increased incidence of vascular and crystalline lens pathology, usually combined with neurovascular disease, was found in 227 surveyed liquidators and in the population of contaminated territories (Petrunya et al., 1999). 15. In 1996, incidence of cataracts among Belarussian evacuees from the 30-km zone was more than threefold that in the population as a whole: 44.3 compared to 14.7 per 1,000 (Matsko, 1999). TABLE 5.52. Incidence (%) of Opacities in Both Crystalline Lenses among Children Living in Territories with Various Levels of Contamination, 1992 (Arynchin and Ospennikova, 1999) Incidence of opacities, % 1–5 6–10 >10 Brest Province, 57.5 17.9 6.7 137–377 kBq/m2 (n = 77) Vitebsk Province, 60.9 7.6 1.1 3.7 kBq/m2 (n = 56) 16. From 1993 to 2003 cataract morbidity increased 6%annually amongmale liquidators (National Belarussian Report, 2006). 5.8.2.2. Ukraine 1. A survey of pregnant women, maternity patients, newborns, and children in contaminated territories in the Polessk District, Kiev Province (soil Cs-137 contamination 20– 60 Ci/km2) showed an increase in the number of sensory organ development defects, including congenital cataracts in neonates (Kulakov et al., 2001). 2. Hearing disorders are found in more than 54% of inhabitants of the contaminated territories, a level noticeably higher than that of the general population (Zabolotny et al., 2001). Figure 5.11. Number of bilateral lens opacities and level of incorporated Cs-137 in Belarussian children (Arynchin and Ospennikova, 1999). 114 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 3. In 1991 a group of 512 children 7 to 16 years of age from four villages in the Ivankiv District, Kiev Province, was examined. The villages differed only in the degree of Cs-137 contamination of the soil: (a) First village: average 12.4 Ci/km2 (maximum 8.0 Ci/km2; 90% of the territory, 5.4 Ci/km2). (b) Second village: average 3.11 Ci/km2 (maximum 13.8 Ci/km2; 90% of the territory, 4.62 Ci/km2). (c) Third village: average 1.26 Ci/km2 (maximum 4.7 Ci/km2; 90% of the territory, 2.1 Ci/km2). (d) Fourth village: average 0.89 Ci/km2 (maximum 2.7 Ci/km2; 90% of the territory, 1.87 Ci/km2). Typical lens pathologies were detected in 51% of those examined, and the incidence of lens pathology was higher in villages with higher levels of soil contamination. Atypical lens pathologies were observed in 61 children (density of the posterior subcapsular layers, dimness in the form of small spots and points between the posterior capsule and the core, and vacuoles) and were highly (r = 0.992) correlated with the average and maximum levels of soil contamination. In 1995 the incidence of atypical lens pathologies in the first and second villages (with average soil contamination over 2 Ci/km2) increased significantly to 34.9%. Two girls (who had early changes of cortical layer density in 1991) were diagnosed with dim vision, suggesting the development of involutional cataracts (Fedirko and Kadoshnykova, 2007). 4. In 1992–1998 children from Ovruch City (soil Cs-137 contamination 185–555 kBq/m2) had significantly higher subclinical lens changes (234 per 1,000, of 461 examined) than children from Boyarka City (soil Cs-137 contamination 37–184.9 kBq/m2 or 149 per 1,000, of 1,487 examined). In Ovruch the incidence of myopia and astigmatism was significantly higher (Fedirko and Kadoshnykova, 2007). 5. Children who were exposed before they were 5 years of age have more problems with eye accommodation (Burlak et al., 2006). 6. Individuals from contaminated territories and liquidators had premature involutional and dystrophic changes in the eyes, development of ocular vascular diseases, increasing incidence of chorioretinal degeneration such as age-dependent macular degeneration (AMD), and benign neoplasm of the eyelids. Central chorioretinal degeneration with clinical symptoms of AMD was the most frequently occurring formof delayed retinal pathology: 136.5± 10.7 per 1,000 in 1993 and 585.7 ± 23.8 per 1,000 in 2004. Involutional cataracts increased from 294.3±32.0 per 1,000 in 1993 to 766.7± 35.9 per 1,000 in 2004 (Fedirko, 2002; Fedirko and Kadoshnykova, 2007). 7. Individuals from contaminated territories and liquidators had a marked decrease in ocular accommodation (Sergienko and Fedirko, 2002). 8. In the heavily contaminated territories, among 841 adults examined from 1991 to 1997, retinal pathologies, involutional cataracts, chronic conjunctivitis, and vitreous destruction were observed more often than in the less contaminated areas, and cataracts were seen in persons younger than 30 years of age, which has never been observed in less contaminated areas (Fedirko and Kadochnykova, 2007). 9. The occurrence of involutional cataracts in the contaminated territories increased 2.6- fold from 1993 to 2004: from 294.3 ± 32.0 to 766.7 ± 35.9 per 1,000 (Fedirko, 1999). 10. Among 5,301 evacuees examined, eye pathology was diagnosed in 1,405. One cataract occurred for every four cases of other eye pathologies (Buzunov et al., 1999). 11. Two new syndromes have been seen in liquidators and in those from the contaminated territories: • Diffraction grating syndrome, in which spots of exudate are scattered on the central part of the retina. This was observed in liquidators who were within direct sight Yablokov: Nonmalignant Diseases after Chernobyl 115 of the exposed core of the fourth reactor (Fedirko, 2002). • Incipient chestnut syndrome, named for the shape of a chestnut leaf, expressed as new chorioretinopathy, changes of retinal vessels with multiple microaneurisms, dilations, and sacs in the retinal veins around the macula (Fedirko, 2000). 12. The frequency of central chorioretinal degradation increased among the liquidators 4.3-fold from 1993 to 2004: from 136.5 ± 10.7 to 585.7 ± 23.8 per 1,000 (Buzunov and Fedirko, 1999). 13. The incidence of cataracts was significantly higher for male liquidators compared with female liquidators (Ruban, 2001). 14. Retinal pathology was markedly higher than the norm among 2002 liquidators’ children who were born after the catastrophe and examined between 1999 and 2006 (Fedirko and Kadoshnykova, 2007). 5.8.2.3. Russia 1. A survey of pregnant women, maternity patients, newborns, and children in the Mtsensk and Volkhovsk districts, Orel Province, contaminated with Cs-137 levels of 1–5 and 10–15 Ci/km2 showed an increase in the number of sensory organ developmental deficiencies, including congenital cataracts in neonates (Kulakov et al., 2001). 2. A total of 6.6% of 182 surveyed liquidators had cataracts (Lyubchenko and Agal’tsev, 2001). 3. More than 52% of 500 surveyed liquidators had retinal vascular abnormalities (Nykyforov and Eskin, 1998). 4. Some 3% of liquidators under 40 years of age had cataracts, an incidence 47-fold that in a similar age group of the general population; 4.7% had glaucoma (Nykyforov and Eskin, 1998). 5. Between 46 and 69% of surveyed liquidators had some hearing disorder (Zabolotny et al., 2001; Klymenko et al., 1996). Liquidators suffer from defects in different parts of the auditory system resulting in progressive hearing loss and a stuffy sensation and noise in the ears (Zabolotny et al., 2000). 6. High-frequency audiometry revealed that the most abnormalities occurred in liquidators with vocal problems (Kureneva and Shidlovskaya, 2005). 5.8.2.4. Other Countries 1. ISRAEL. A 2-year follow-up study of immigrants to Israel from the Former Soviet Union revealed that the proportion of those reporting chronic visual and hearing problems was statistically higher for immigrants from contaminated territories (304 individuals) compared with immigrants from noncontaminated (217 individuals) and other areas (216 individuals; Cwikel et al., 1997). 2. NORWAY. Cataracts in newborns occurred twice as often 1 year after the catastrophe (Irgens et al., 1991). 5.8.3. Conclusion There is little doubt that specific organic central and peripheral nervous system damage affecting various cognitive endpoints, as observed in both individuals from the contaminated territories and liquidators, is directly related to Chernobyl’s ionizing radiation. In differing degrees, these conditions affect all liquidators and practically every person living in the contaminated territories. Among the consequences of the damage to the nervous system caused by the Chernobyl catastrophe are cognitive, emotional, and behavioral disorders. Adverse effects also include neurophysiological abnormalities in the prenatally exposed and neurophysiological, neuropsychological, and neuroimaging abnormalities in liquidators, manifested as left frontotemporal limbic dysfunction, schizophreniform syndrome, chronic fatigue syndrome, and, combined with psychological stress, indications of schizophrenia and related disorders. 116 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Only after 2000 did medical authorities begin to recognize the radiogenic origin of a universal increase in cataracts among liquidators and evacuees from the Chernobyl territories. Official recognition occurred 10 years (!) after doctors began to sound the alarm and 13 years after the problem was first registered. 5.9. Digestive System and Visceral Organ Diseases Digestive system diseases are among the leading causes of illness in the contaminated territories. Compared to other illnesses, it is more difficult to classify these with certainty as being caused by a radiogenic component; however, the collected data from the contaminated territories point to a solid basis for such a conclusion. 5.9.1. Belarus 1. The number of digestive organ malformations in newborns increased in the contaminated territories (Kulakov et al., 2001). 2. There was a twofold general increase in chronic gastritis in Brest Province in 1996 compared to 1991. In 1996 the occurrence of chronic gastritis in children was up to threefold higher in the heavily contaminated territories than in the less contaminated areas. In the Stolinsk District in 1996 the incidence of this disease was more than fourfold that seen in 1991 (Gordeiko, 1998). 3. Of 135 surveyed juvenile evacuees from Bragin City and the highly contaminated territories of Stolinsk District, Brest Province, 40% had gastrointestinal tract illnesses (Belyaeva et al., 1996). 4. Of 2,535 individuals examined in 1996, digestive system illnesses were the first cause of general morbidity in teenage evacuees (556 per 1,000; Syvolobova et al., 1997). 5. Digestive systemmorbidity increased from 4.6% in 1986 to 83.5% in 1994 andwas the second cause of overallmorbidity of children in the Luninetsk District, Brest Province (Voronetsky et al., 1995). 6. Of 1,033 children examined in the heavily contaminated territories from 1991 to 1993 there was a significantly higher incidence of serious caries and lowered acid resistance of tooth enamel (Mel’nichenko and Cheshko, 1997). 7. Chronic upper gastrointestinal disease was common in children of liquidators (Arynchin et al., 1999). 8. Gastrointestinal tract pathology is connected to morphologic and functional thyroid gland changes in children from territories contaminated by Cs-137 at levels of 1–15 Ci/km2 (Kapytonova et al., 1996). 9. Digestive diseases in adults and liquidators are more common in the contaminated territories. From 1991 to 1996 stomach ulcers among the population increased 9.6%, while among liquidators the increase was 46.7% (Kondratenko, 1998). 10. In 1995, the incidence of diseases of the digestive system among liquidators and evacuees in the contaminated territories was 4.3- and 1.8-fold higher than in the general population of the country: respectively, 7,784; 3,298; and 1,817 per 100,000 (Matsko, 1999). 11. Ten years after the catastrophe digestive illnesses were fourfold more common among liquidators than in the general adult population of the country (Antypova et al., 1997a). 12. From 1991 to 2001 digestive system illnesses among liquidators increased 1.65-fold (Borisevich and Poplyko, 2002). 13. Of 2,653 adults and teenagers examined, the incidence of acute hepatitis-B, chronic hepatitis-C, and hepatic cirrhosis diseases was significantly higher in the heavily contaminated territories of Gomel Province than in the less contaminated Vitebsk Province. By 1996 the incidence of these diseases had increased significantly, with chronic hepatitis in liquidators 1.6-fold higher than in 1988–1995 (Transaction, 1996). Yablokov: Nonmalignant Diseases after Chernobyl 117 5.9.2. Ukraine 1. The number of digestive system diseases in children rose markedly within the first 2 years after the catastrophe (Stepanova, 1999; and others). 2. The incidence of digestive diseases in children correlated with the level of contamination of the area (Baida and Zhirnosekova, 1998). 3. Premature tooth eruption was observed in girls born to mothers irradiated during childhood (Tolkach et al., 2003). 4. Tooth caries in boys and girls as young as 1 year are more common in the contaminated territories (Tolkach et al., 2003). 5. Digestive system morbidity in children more than doubled from 1988 to 1999―4,659 compared to 1,122 per 10,000 (Korol et al., 1999; Romanenko et al., 2001). 6. Children irradiated in utero had significantly higher incidence of gastrointestinal tract pathology than controls―18.9 vs. 8.9% (Stepanova, 1999). 7. Atrophy of the stomach mucosa occurred five times more often, and intestinal metaplasia twice as often in children living in areas contaminated at a level of 5–15 kBq/m2 than in a control group (Burlak et al., 2006). 8. In 1987 and 1988 functional digestive tract illnesses were prevalent in evacuees’ children, and from 1989 to 1990 allergies, dyspeptic syndromes, and biliary problems were rampant (Romanenko et al., 1995). 9. Peptic ulcer, chronic cholecystitis, gallstone disease, and pancreatitis occurred noticeably more often in inhabitants of territories with higher levels of contamination (Yakymenko, 1995; Komarenko et al., 1995). 10. From 1993 to 1994 digestive system diseases were second among overall morbidity (Antypova et al., 1995). 11. There were significantly increased levels of hepatic, gallbladder, and pancreatic diseases in 1993 and 1994 in the heavily contaminated territories (Antypova et al., 1995). 12. Digestive systemmorbidity in adult evacuees considerably exceeds that of the general population of the country (Prysyazhnyuk et al., 2002). 13. In 1996 digestive system morbidity of inhabitants in territories with contamination greater than 15 Ci/km2 was noticeably higher than for the country as a whole (281 vs. 210 cases per 1,000; Grodzinsky, 1999). 14. Only 9% of the liquidators evaluated in 1989 and 1990 had normal stomach and duodenal mucous membranes (Yakymenko, 1995). 15. The incidence of stomach ulcers among Ukrainian liquidators in 1996 was 3.5-fold higher than the country average (Serdyuk and Bobyleva, 1998). 16. In 1990 ulcers and gastric erosion were found in 60.9% of liquidators (Yakymenko, 1995). 17. After the catastrophe pancreatic abnormalities in liquidators were diagnosed through echograms (Table 5.53). 18. In 7 to 8 years after the catastrophe up to 60% of the liquidators examined had chronic digestive system pathology, which included structural, motor, and functional secretory disorders of the stomach. For the first 2.5 to 3 years inflammation was the most prevalent symptom, followed by indolent erosive hemorrhagic ulcers (Romanenko et al., 1995). TABLE 5.53. Pancreatic Echogram Abnormalities in Male Ukrainian Liquidators (% of Those Examined) (Komarenko et al., 2002; Komarenko and Polyakov, 2003) 1987–1991 1996–2002 Thickening 31 67 Increased echo density 54 81 Structural change 14 32 Contour change 7 26 Capsular change 6 14 Pancreatic duct dilatation 4 10 All echogram abnormalities 37.6 (1987) 87.4 (2002) 118 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 19. In 7 to 8 years after the catastrophe liquidators had increasing numbers of hepatobiliary illnesses, including chronic cholecystitis, fatty liver, persistent active hepatitis, and chronic hepatitis (Romamenko et al., 1995). 5.9.3. Russia 1. Children and the teenagers living in the contaminated territories have a significantly higher incidence of dental caries (Sevbytov, 2005). 2. In Voronez Province there was an increased number of odontomas in children who were born after 1986.Tumorswere foundmore often in girls and the complex form was most common (Vorobyovskaya et al., 2006). 3. Periodontal pathology was more common in children from contaminated territories and occurredmore often in children born after the catastrophe (Sevbytov, 2005). 4. Children whowere irradiated in utero in the contaminated territories are significantly more likely to develop dental anomalies (Sevbytov, 2005). 5. The frequency of the occurrence of dental anomalies is markedly higher in children in the more contaminated territories. Of 236 examined who were born before the catastrophe 32.6% had normal dentition, whereas of 308 examined who were born in the same territories after the catastrophe only 9.1% had normal structure (Table 5.54). 6. The incidence of general and primary digestive system diseases in children in the heavily contaminated districts of Bryansk Province is noticeably higher than the average for the province and for Russia as a whole (Tables 5.55 and 5.56). 7. In general, digestive system morbidity in adults increased in the majority of the heavily contaminated districts of Bryansk Province (except in the Krasnogorsk District). This increase occurred against a background of reduced morbidity in the province and across Russia (Table 5.57). TABLE 5.54. Incidence of Dental Anomalies (%) among Children Born before and after the Catastrophe Exposed to Different Levels of Contamination in Tula and Bryansk Provinces∗ (Sevbytov et al., 1999) 15 Ci/km2 5 Ci/km2) and in 30 less contaminated districts (15 Ci/km2 3.87 (3.06 – 4.76) 7.09 (4.88 – 8.61) ∗All differences are significant. 128 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 5.73. Comparison of the Incidence (per 1, 000) of Strictly Registered Congenital Malformations, Medical Abortuses, and Fetuses in Minsk Compared with Gomel and Mogilev Provinces Contaminated at Levels above 15 Ci/km2 (Lazjuk et al., 1999) Territories/period Minsk Contaminated districts Congenital 1980–1985, 1986∗–1996, 1986∗–1995, malformations n = 10,168 n = 20,507 n = 2,701 All CMs 5.60 4.90 7.21∗∗ CNS anomalies 0.32 0.53 0.54 Polydactyly 0.63 0.53 0.79 Multiple limb 0.07 0.10 0.28 defects ∗Second half 1986; ∗∗p 15 194.6 ± 8.6 304.1 ± 16.5∗ 221.0 ± 8.6 303.9 ± 5.1∗ ∗P 1.08 Ci/km2) and that themortality risk is only half that determined in the Chernobyl region, that is, 17 deaths per 1,000 inhabitants (better food and better medical and socioeconomic situations), up until 2004, we can expect an additional 170,000 deaths in Europe outside the Former Soviet Union owing to Chernobyl. • Let us further assume that for the other 150 million Europeans living in territories with a Cs-137 ground contamination below 40 kBq/m2 (see Chapter 1 for details) the additional mortality will be 10-fold less (i.e., 1.7 deaths per 1,000 in 1990– 2004). Then we can expect 150,000 × 1.7 or 255,000 more deaths in the rest of Europe. • Assuming that 20% of the radionuclides released from the Chernobyl reactor were deposited outside Europe (see Chapter 1) and that the exposed population was 190 million, with a risk factor of 1.7 per 1,000 as before, we could have expected an additional 323,000 cancer deaths outside Europe until 2004. Thus the overall mortality for the period from April 1986 to the end of 2004 from the Chernobyl catastrophe was estimated at 985,000 additional deaths. This estimate of the number of additional deaths is similar to those of Gofman (1994a) and Bertell (2006).Aprojection for amuch longer period―formany future generations―is very difficult. Some counterdirected aspects of such prognoses are as follows: • Given the half-life of the two main radionuclides (Cs-137 and Sr-90) of approximately 30 years each, the radionuclide load in the contaminated territories will decrease about 50% for each human generation. The concentrations of Pu, Cl-36, and Tc-99 will remain practically the same virtually forever (half-lives consequently more than 20,000 and 200,000 years), and the concentration of Am-241, which is a decay product of Pu-241, will increase over several generations. Yablokov: Mortality after Chernobyl 211 • The genetic damage among descendants of irradiated parents will propagate in the population and will carry through many (at least seven) generations. • Fertility is known to decrease after exposure to radiation (Radzikhovsky and Keisevich, 2002). • A radiation adaptation process may occur (the effect is known from experiments with mammals) (Yablokov, 2002). 7.8. Conclusion There are many findings of increased antenatal, childhood, and general mortality in the highly contaminated territories that are most probably associated with irradiation from the Chernobyl fallout. Significant increases in cancer mortality were observed for all irradiated groups. 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Publ. Health 3: 18– 20 (in Russian). Tymonin, L. (2005). Letters from the Chernobyl Zone: Nuclear Age Impact on the Lives of the People of Tolyatti City (“Agny,” Tolyatti): 199 pp. (in Russian). Ulstein, M., Jensen, T. S., Irgens, L. M., Lie, R. T. & Sivertsen, E. M. (1990). Outcome of pregnancy in one Norwegian county 3 years prior 216 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences to and 3 years subsequent to the Chernobyl accident. Acta Obstet. Gynecol. Scand. 6: 277– 280. Utka, V. G., Scorkyna, E. V. & Sadretdynova, L. Sh. (2005). Medical-demographic dynamics in South- Western districts of Bryansk area. International Science and Practical Conference. Chernobyl 20 Years After: Social and Economic Problems and Perspectives for Development of Affected Territories (Materials, Bryansk): pp. 201–203 (in Russian). WHO (2006). Health Effects of the Chernobyl Accident and Special Health Care Programmes. Report of the UN Chernobyl Forum Expert Group “Health” (2006). Bennett, B., Repacholi, M. & Carr, Zh. (Eds.) (WHO, Geneva): 167 pp. (//www.who.int/ ionizing_radiation/chernobyl/WHO%20Report% 20on%20Chernobyl%20Health%20Effects%20July %2006.pdf). Whyte, R. K. (1992). First day neonatal mortality since 1935: Re-examination of the Cross hypothesis. Brit. Med. J. 304: 343–346. Yablokov, A. V. (2002). Myth on the Safety of Low Doses of Radiation (Center for Russian Environmental Policy, Moscow): 179 pp. (in Russian). CHERNOBYL Conclusion to Chapter II Morbidity and prevalence of the separate specific illnesses as documented in Chapter II, parts 4, 5, 6, and 7 still do not give a complete picture of the state of public health in the territories affected by Chernobyl. The box below documents the health of the population in the small Ukrainian district of Lugini 10 years after the catastrophe. Lugini is located about 110 km southwest of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant in Zhytomir Province and has radioactive contamination at a level above 5 Ci/km2. There are tens of similarly contaminated territories in Belarus, Ukraine, European Russia, Sweden, Norway, Turkey, Austria, South Germany, Finland, and other European countries. However, Lugini is unique not only because the same medical staff used the same medical equipment and followed the same protocols that were used before and after the catastrophe, but also because the doctors collected and published these facts (Godlevsky and Nasvit, 1999). DETERIORATION IN PUBLIC HEALTH IN ONE UKRAINIAN DISTRICT 10 YEARS AFTER THE CATASTROPHE District Lugini (Ukraine). The population in 1986: 29,276 persons, in 1996: 22,552 (including 4,227 children). Out of 50 villages 22 were contaminated in 1986 at a level 1–5 Ci/km2 and 26 villages at a level under 1 Ci/km2. Lifespan from the time of diagnosis of lung or stomach cancer: Years 1984–1985: 38–62 months Years 1995–1996: 2–7.2 months Initial diagnosis of active tuberculosis (percentage of primary diagnosed tuberculosis): Years 1985–1986: 17.2–28.7 per 100,000 Years 1995–1996: 41.7–50.0 per 100,000 Endocrine system diseases in children: Years 1985–1990: 10 per 1,000 Years 1994–1995: 90–97 per 1,000 Cases of goiter, children: Up to 1988: not found Years 1994–1995: 12–13 per 1,000 Neonatal mortality (0–6 days after birth): Years 1984–1987: 25–75 per 1,000 live births Years 1995–1996: 330–340 per 1,000 live births General mortality: Year 1985: 10.9 per 1,000 Year 1991: 15.5 per 1,000 Life expectancy: Years 1984–1985: 75 years Years 1990–1996: 65 years Figure 1 presents data on the annual number of newborns with congenital malformations in Lugini districts. There was an increase in the number of such cases seen despite a 25% decrease in the total of Lugini population from 1986 to 1996. In the radioactive-contaminated territories there is a noticeable increase in the incidence of a number of illnesses and in signs and symptoms that are not in official medical statistics. Among them there are abnormally poor increase in children’s weight, delayed recovery after illnesses, frequent fevers, etc. (see Chapter II.5, Section 5.2). The Chernobyl catastrophe has endowed world medicine with new terms, among them: • The syndrome known as “vegetovascular dystonia” (autonomic nervous system dysfunction): functional disturbance of nervous regulation of the cardiovascular system with various clinical findings arising on a background of stress. • The syndrome known as “incorporated long-living radionuclides” (Bandazhevsky, 1999) that includes pathology of the cardiovascular, nervous, endocrine, reproductive, and other systems as the result of the 217 218 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 1. Absolute number of the congenital developmental anomalies in newborns in Lugini District, Zhytomir Province, Ukraine, from 1983 to 1996 (Godlevsky and Nasvit, 1999). accumulation of more than 50 Bq/kg of Cs-137 and Sr-90 in a person. • The syndrome known as “sharp inhalation effect of the upper respiratory path” (Chuchalin, 2002): a combination of a rhinitis, scratchy throat, dry cough, and shortness of breath with physical activity connected to the impact of inhaled radionuclides, including “hot particles.” Some of the earlier known syndromes have an unprecedented wide incidence of occurrence. Among them is the syndrome known as “chronic fatigue” (Lloyd et al., 1988), which manifests as tiredness, disturbed dreams, periodic depression and dysphoria, fatigue without cause, impaired memory, diffuse muscular pains, pains in large joints, shivering, frequent mood changes, cervical lymph node sensitivity, and decreased body mass. It is postulated that these symptoms are a result of impaired immune system function in combination with disorders of the temporal–limbic parts of the central nervous system. These include: (a) the syndrome called “lingering radiating illness” (Furitsu et al., 1992; Pshenichnykov, 1996), a combination of unusual weariness, dizziness, trembling, pains in the back, and a humeral belt, originally described in the hibakusha (survivors of Hiroshima and Nagasaki) and (b) the syndromes comprising choreoretinopathy, changes in retinal vessels, called “incipient chestnut syndrome” and “diffraction grating syndrome” (Fedirko, 1999, 2002). Among conditions awaiting full medical description are other constellations of diseases, including “irradiation in utero,” “Chernobyl AIDs,” “Chernobyl heart,” “Chernobyl dementia,” and “Chernobyl legs.” Chernobyl’s radioactive contamination at levels in excess of 1 Ci/km2 (as of 1986–1987) is responsible for 3.8–4.4% of the overall mortality in areas of Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus. In several other European countries with contamination levels around 0.5 Ci/km2 (as of 1986–1987), the mortality is about 0.3–0.7% (see Chapter II.7). Reasonable extrapolation for additional mortality in the heavily contaminated territories of Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus brings the estimated death toll to about 900,000, and that is only for the first 15 years after the Chernobyl catastrophe. Chernobyl’s contribution to the generalmorbidity is the determining factor in practically all territories with a level of contamination higher than 1 Ci/km2. Chronic diseases of various etiologies became typical not only for liquidators but also for the affected populations and appear to be exacerbated by the radioactive contamination. Polymorbidity, the presence of multiple diseases in the same individual, has become a common feature in the contaminated territories. It appears that the Chernobyl cancer toll is one of the soundest reasons for the “cancer Yablokov et al.: Conclusion to Chapter II 219 epidemic” that has been afflicting humankind since the end of the 20th century. Despite the enormous quantity of data concerning the deterioration of public health in the affected territories, the full picture of the catastrophe’s health impact is still far from complete. To ascertain the total complex picture of the health consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe we must, first of all: • Expand, not reduce, as was recently done in Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus, medical, biological, and radiological studies. • Obtain correct reconstruction of individual doses, differentiated by the contribution of various radionuclides from both internal and external irradiation levels, ascertain personal behavior and habits, and have a mandatory requirement to determine correct doses based on chromosome and tooth enamel analysis. • Perform comparative analyses of monthly medical statistics before and after the catastrophe (especially for the first years after the catastrophe) for the administrative units (local and regional) that were contaminated with various levels of particular radionuclides. The constantly growing volume of objective scientific data about the negative consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe for public health, not only for the Former Soviet Union but also in Sweden, Switzerland, France, Germany, Italy, Turkey, Finland, Moldova, Romania, The Czech Republic, and other countries are not a cause for optimism (details in Chapter II, parts 4–7). Without special largescale programs of mitigation and prevention of morbidity and consequent mortality, the Chernobyl-related diseases linked to contamination that began some 23 years ago will continue to increase. There are several signals to alert public health personnel in territories that have been contaminated by the Chernobyl fallout in Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia: • An absence of a correlation between current average annual doses with doses received in 1986–1987. • Anoticeable growing contribution to a collective dose for individuals in zones with a low level of contamination. • Increasing (instead of decreasing as was logically supposed) levels of individual irradiation for many people in the affected territories. • A need to end the demand for a 20-year latency period for the development of cancer (skin, breast, lung, etc.). Different cancers have different latencies following exposure to various and differing carcinogenic exposures. Juvenile victims are an obvious example. As a result of prolonged immune system suppression there will be an increase in many illnesses. As a result of radiation damage to the central nervous system in general and to temporal–limbic structures in the brain there will bemore and more people with problems of intellectual development that threatens to cause loss of intellect across the population. As a result of radio-induced chromosomal mutations a spectrum of congenital illnesses will become widespread, not only in the contaminated territories but also with migration over many areas and over several generations. References Bandazhevsky, Yu. I. (1999). Pathology of incorporated ionizing radiation (Belarussian Technological University, Minsk): 136 pp. (in Russian). Chernobyl Forum (2005). Chernobyl’s Legacy: Health, Environmental and Socio-economic Impacts. Highlights of the Chernobyl Forum Studies (IAEA, Vienna): 47 pp. Chuchalin, A. G. (2002). Functional condition of liquidators’ pulmonary system: 7-years follow up study. Pulmonology 4: 66–71 (in Russian). Fedirko, P. (1999). Chernobyl accident and the eye: some results of a prolonged clinical investigation. Ophthalmology 2: 69–73. Fedirko, P. (2002). Clinical and epidemiological studies of eye occupational diseases in the Chernobyl accident victims (peculiarities and risks of eye 220 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences pathology formation, prognosis). M.D. Thesis (Institute of Occupational Health, Kiev): 42 pp. (in Ukrainian). Furitsu, K., Sadamori, K., Inomata, M. & Murata S. (1992). Underestimated radiation risks and ignored injuries of atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The Investigative Committee of Hibakusha of Hannan Chuo Hospital: 24 pp. Godlevsky, I. & Nasvit, O. (1999). Dynamics of Health Status of Residents in the Lugini District after the Accident at the ChNPS. In: Imanaka, T. (Ed.). Recent Research Activities about the Chernobyl NPP Accident in Belarus, Ukraine and Russia. KURRI-KR-79 (Kyoto University, Kyoto): pp. 149–157. Lloyd, A. R., Hales, J. P. & Gandevia S. C. (1988). Muscle strength, endurance and recovery in the postinfection fatigue syndrome. J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiat. 51(10): 1316–1322. Pshenichnykov, B. V. (1996). Low dose radioactive irradiation and radiation sclerosis (“Soborna Ukraina,” Kiev): 40 pp. (in Russian). CHERNOBYL Chapter III. Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for the Environment Alexey V. Yablokov,a Vassily B. Nesterenko,b and Alexey V. Nesterenkob aRussian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia bInstitute of Radiation Safety (BELRAD), Minsk, Belarus Key words: Chernobyl; radionuclides; radiolysis; soil; water ecosystems; bioaccumulation; transition ratio; radiomorphosis The level of radioactivity in the atmosphere, water, and soil in the contaminated territories will determine the eventual level of radiation of all living things, both directly and via the food chain. Patterns of radioactive contamination essentially change when the radionuclides are transferred by water, wind, and migrating animals. Land and bodies of water that were exposed to little or no contamination can become much more contaminated owing to secondary transfer. ManyRussian-language publications have documented such radionuclide transfers, as well as changes in concentration and bioaccumulation in soil and water affecting various animals and plants (see, e.g., the reviews by Konoplya and Rolevich, 1996; Kutlachmedov and Polykarpov 1998; Sokolov and Kryvolutsky, 1998; Kozubov and Taskaev, 2002). The influence of Chernobyl radionuclide fallout on ecosystems and populations of animals, plants, and microorganisms is well documented. In Chapters I and II we repeatedly emphasize that we do not present all of the available data on the consequences of Chernobyl, but only selected parts to reflect the many problems and to show the enormous scale of the contamination. In Chapter III as well we have included only part of thematerial concerning the impact of the catastrophe on the biosphere―on fauna and flora, on water, air, and soil.We emphasize that like the consequences for public health, which are not declining but rather increasing in scope and severity, the consequences for nature are neither fully documented nor completely understood and may also not decline. Cs-137 is removed from ecological food chains a hundred times more slowly than was predicted right after the catastrophe (Smith et al., 2000; and others). “Hot” particles have disintegrated much more rapidly than expected, leading to unpredictable secondary emissions from some radionuclides. Sr-90 and Am-241 are moving through the food chains much faster than predicted because they are so water soluble (Konoplya, 2006; Konoplya et al., 2006; and many others). Chernobyl radioactive contamination has adversely affected all biological aswell as nonliving components of the environment: the atmosphere, surface and ground waters, and soil. References Konoplya, E. F. (2006). Radioecological, medical and biological consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe. In: Fifth Congress of Radiation Research on Radiobiology, Radioecology and Radiation Safety, April 10–14, 2006, Moscow, (Abstracts, Moscow) 2: pp. 101–102 (in Russian). Konoplya, E. F. & Rolevich, I. V. (Eds.) (1996). Ecological, Biological,Medical, Sociological and Economic Consequences of Chernobyl Catastrophe in Belarus (Minsk): 281 pp. (in Russian). Konoplya, E. F., Kudryashov, V. P. & Grynevich, S. V. (2006). Formation of air radioactive contamination in Belarus after the Chernobyl catastrophe. International Scientific and Practical Conference. Chernobyl: Ann. N.Y. Acad. Sci. 1181: 221–286 (2009). doi: 10.1111/j.1749-6632.2009.04830.x c 2009 New York Academy of Sciences. 221 222 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Twenty Years of Chernobyl Catastrophe: Ecological and Sociological Lessons. June 5, 2006, Moscow (Materials, Moscow): pp. 91–96 (//www. ecopolicy. ru/upload/File/conferencebook_2006.pdf) (in Russian). Kozubov, G. M. & Taskaev, A. I. (2002). Radiobiological Study of Conifers in a Chernobyl Catastrophic Area (“DIK,” Moscow): 272 pp. (in Russian). Kutlachmedov, Yu. A. & Polykarpov, G. G. (1998). Medical and Biological Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident (“Medecol,” Kiev): 172 pp. (in Russian). Smith, J. T., Comans, R. N. J., Beresford, N. A., Wright, S. M., Howard, B. J. & Camplin,W. C. (2000). Contamination: Chernobyl’s legacy in food and water. Nature 405: p. 141. Sokolov, V. E. & Kryvolutsky, D. A. (1998). Change in Ecology and Biodiversity after a Nuclear Disaster in the Southern Urals (“Pentsoft,” Sofia/Moscow): 228 pp. CHERNOBYL 8. Atmospheric, Water, and Soil Contamination after Chernobyl Alexey V. Yablokov, Vassily B. Nesterenko, and Alexey V. Nesterenko Air particulate activity over all of the Northern Hemisphere reached its highest levels since the termination of nuclear weapons testing―sometimes up to 1 million times higher than before the Chernobyl contamination. There were essential changes in the ionic, aerosol, and gas structure of the surface air in the heavily contaminated territories, as measured by electroconductivity and air radiolysis. Many years after the catastrophe aerosols from forest fires have dispersed hundreds of kilometers away. The Chernobyl radionuclides concentrate in sediments, water, plants, and animals, sometimes 100,000 times more than the local background level. The consequences of such a shock on aquatic ecosystems is largely unclear. Secondary contamination of freshwater ecosystems occurs as a result of Cs-137 and Sr-90 washout by the high waters of spring. The speed of vertical migration of different radionuclides in floodplains, lowland moors, peat bogs, etc., is about 2–4 cm/year. As a result of this vertical migration of radionuclides in soil, plants with deep root systems absorb them and carry the ones that are buried to the surface again. This transfer is one of the important mechanisms, observed in recent years, that leads to increased doses of internal irradiation among people in the contaminated territories. 8.1. Chernobyl’s Contamination of Surface Air Data below show the detection of surface air contamination practically over the entire Northern Hemisphere (see Chapter I for relevant maps). 8.1.1. Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia There are many hundreds of publications about specific radionuclide levels in the Former Soviet Union territories―of which the data below are only examples. 1. Immediately after the first explosion in the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) on Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia. Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ecopolicy.ru April 26, 1986, the concentrations of the primary radionuclides changed drastically from place to place and from day to day (Table 8.1). 2. Table 8.2 indicates the dynamics of the average annual concentration of some radionuclides in the atmosphere near the Chernobyl NPP. 3. There were essential changes in the ionic, aerosol, and gas structure of the surface air in the catastrophe zone. A year later, within a 7-km zone of the Chernobyl NPP, the electroconductivity of the air at ground level was 240–570 times higher than in the less contaminated territories several hundred kilometers away (Smirnov, 1992). Outside of the 30-km zone air radiolysis depressed the ecosystems. Concentrations of ionized surface air in the contaminated territories near the Chernobyl NPP repeatedly exceeded this level in Kaluga Province, Russia, and Zhytomir Province, Ukraine, by 130- to 200-fold (Kryshev and Ryazantsev, 2000). 223 224 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 8.1. Concentration (Bq/m3) of Some Radionuclides on April 29–May 1, 1986, in Belarus (Minsk City) and Ukraine, Kiev Province (Kryshev and Ryazantsev, 2000) Baryshevka, Minsk City, Kiev Province, Radionuclide April 28–29 April 30–May 1 Te-132 74 3,300 I-131 320 300 Ba-140 27 230 Cs-137 93 78 Cs-134 48 52 Se-141 – 26 Se-144 – 26 Zr-95 3 24 Ru-103 16 24 4. From April to May 1986 surface air radioactivity in Belarus increased up to 1 million times. There was a subsequent gradual decrease until the end of 1986 and then the rate fell sharply. In the Berezinsk Nature Reserve (400 km from Chernobyl) on April 27–28, 1986, the concentrations of I- 131 and Cs-137 in the air reached 150– 200 Bq/m3 and 9.9 Bq/m3, respectively. In 1986 in Khoinyki, the midyear concentration of Cs-137 in the surface air was 3.2 × 10−2 Bq/m3 and in Minsk it was 3.8 × 10−3Bq/m3, levels that are 1,000 to 10,000 times higher than precatastrophe concentrations, which were below 10−6 Bq/m3. Midyear concentration of Pu-239 and Pu-240 in surface air in 1986 for Khoinyki was 8.3 × 10−6 Bq/m3 and for Minsk it was 1.1 × 10−6 Bq/ m3, levels that were 1,000 times higher than the precatastrophe concentrations, which were measured at less than 10−9 Bq/m3 (Gres’, 1997). The half-life period to cleanse the surface air of Pu-239 and Pu-240 was 14.2 months, and for Cs-137 it took up to 40 months (Nesterenko, 2005). Noticeably high levels of radionuclides in surface air were detected many years after the catastrophe (Figure 8.1). 5. Surface atmospheric radioactivity rises markedly after some agricultural work (tilling, TABLE 8.2. Dynamics of the Concentration of Some Radionuclides (Bq/m3) in the Chernobyl City Atmosphere, 1986–1991 (Kryshev et al., 1994) Year Sr-90 Ru-106 Cs-137 Se-144 1986, July– n/a 13,000 5,000 34,000 December 1987 n/a 4,000 2,000 12,000 1988 430 400 600 1,400 1989 130 – 90 160 1990 52 – 80 – 1991 52 – 100 – harrowing, etc.) and other dust-creating activities. There is a tendency for radionuclide levels in surface air to increase during the spring and summermonths, especially during dry weather. 6. Levels of radioactive contamination of the surface air in Belarus has three dynamic components: (1) the general radioecological situation; (2) cyclical, connected with seasonal changes (e.g., agricultural activities); and (3) incidental, as a consequence of numerous anthropogenic and natural factors. The incidental component was strongly demonstrated in 1992, when there were raging forest fires over all of Belarus. Their impact on the radioactive level in the atmosphere was so great that it led to a significant increase in the midyear concentration of radionuclides in surface air and most probably in human contamination via inhalation. In territories with a high density of ground-level radioactive contamination (in soil, water, vegetation) the hot air resulting from the fires caused radionuclides to be carried up to a height of 3 km and transported over hundreds of kilometers (Konoplia et al., 2006). 7. In Russia beta-activity originating from Chernobyl was detected several days after April 26, 1986, in Bryansk, Tula, Kaluga, Oryol, Voronezh, Smolensk, and Nizhni Novgorod (Gor’ky); also in Rostov, Tambov, and Penza provinces in the Karelia Republic in the European part of the county; in Ural (Sverdlovsk Province); and in the far eastern sector (Khabarovsk and Vladivostok), and in Yablokov et al.: Atmospheric, Water, and Soil Contamination 225 Figure 8.1. Dynamics of the radionuclides Pu-239, Pu-240, and Cs-137 in the surface air in Khoiniky, Belarus, 1990–2004 (Konoplya et al., 2006). some places wasmore than 10,000 times higher than the precatastrophe levels (Kryshev and Ryazantsev, 2000). 8. Several years after the catastrophe, secondary radioactive contamination from dust and aerosols became the important factor. On September 6, 1992, radioactive aerosols lifted by a strong wind from the 30-km Chernobyl zone reached the vicinity of Vilnius, Lithuania (about 300 km away) in 5–7 h, where the Cs- 137 concentration increased 100-fold (Ogorodnykov, 2002). The same scale of radionuclide dispersion occurs in the wake of forest fires that at times rage over large areas of the contaminated territories of Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine. 8.1.2. Other Countries Below are some examples of Chernobyl’s radioactive contamination of the atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphere. 1. CANADA. Three Chernobyl clouds entered eastern Canada: the first on May 6, 1986; the second around May 14; the third on May 25–26. The fallout included: Be-7, Fe-59, Nb-95, Zr-95, Ru-103, Ru-106, Cs-137, I-131, La-141, Ce-141, Ce-144, Mn-54, Co-60, Zn- 65, and Ba-140 (Roy et al., 1988). 2. DENMARK. From April 27 to 28 the mean air concentration of Cs-137 was 0.24 Bq/m3; Sr-90, 5.7mBq/m3; Pu-239+Pu-240, 51 Bq/m3; and Am-241, 5.2 μBq/m3 (Aarkrog, 1988). 3. FINLAND. The most detailed accounting of the Chernobyl radionuclide fallout during the first days after the catastrophe was in Sweden and Finland (Table 8.3). 4. JAPAN. Two Chernobyl radioactive clouds were detected over Japan: one at a height of about 1,500 m in the first days of May 1986 and the other at a height of more than 6,000 m at the end of May (Higuchi et al., 1988). Up to 20 radionuclides were detected in the surface air, including Cs-137, I-131, and Ru-103. TABLE 8.3. Airborne Radioactivity (mBq/m3) of 19 Radionuclides in Finland, Nurmijarvi, April 28, 1986 (Sinkko et al., 1987) Nuclide Activity Nuclide Activity I-131 223,000 Te-131m 1,700 I-133 48,000 Sb-127 1,650 Te-132 33,000 Ru-106 630 Cs-137 11,900 Ce-141 570 Cs-134 7,200 Cd-115 400 Ba-140 7,000 Zr-95 380 Te-129m 4,000 Sb-125 253 Ru-103 2,880 Ce-143 240 Mo-99 2,440 Nd-147 150 Cs-136 2,740 Ag-110m 130 Np-239 1,900 226 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Concentrations of Cs-131/Cs-134/Cs-137 in the surface air northwest of Japan increased more than 1,000 times (Aoyama et al., 1986; Ooe et al., 1988). Noticeable atmospheric Cs- 137 fallout was marked in Japan up through the end of 1988 (Aoyama et al., 1991). 5. YUGOSLAVIA. The increase in Pu-238/ P239-240 ratios in surface air at the Vinca- Belgrade site for May 1–15, 1986, confirms that Chernobyl was the source (Mani-Kudra et al., 1995). 6. SCOTLAND. The Chernobyl fallout on the evening of May 3 included Te-132, I-132, I- 131, Ru-103, Cs-137, Cs-134, and Ba-140/La- 140 (Martin et al., 1988). 7. UNITED STATES. Chernobyl’s radioactive clouds were noted in the Bering Sea area of the north Pacific (Kusakabe and Ku, 1988), and reached North America. The pathways of the Chernobyl plumes crossed the Arctic within the lower troposphere and the Pacific Ocean within the mid-troposphere. The first measured radiation arrived in the United States on May 10, and there was a second peak on May 20–23. The second phase yielded much higher Ru-103 and Ba-140 activity relative to Cs-137 (Bondietti et al., 1988; Bondietti and Brantley, 1986). The air particulate activity in the United States reached its highest level since the termination of nuclear weapons testing (US EPA, 1986). Examples of Chernobyl’s atmospheric contamination are presented in Table 8.4. Table 8.5 summarizes some examples of surface air contamination in several countries resulting from the Chernobyl catastrophe. Modern science is far from understanding or even being able to register all of the specific radiogenic effects for each of the Chernobyl radionuclides.However, the effects of the products of radiolysis from such huge atmospheric radiation fallout demands close attention. The term “atmospheric radiotoxins” appeared after the catastrophe (Gagarinsky et al., 1994). As noted earlier, radionuclide air dispersion may occur secondarily as a result of forest fires. TABLE 8.4. Examples of Surface Air Concentrations of I-131, Cs-131, Cs-137, and Cs-134 over the United States after the Chernobyl Catastrophe, May 1986 (Larsen and Juzdan, 1986; Larsen et al., 1986; US EPA, 1986; Toppan, 1986; Feely et al., 1988; Gebbie and Paris, 1986; Vermont, 1986) Radionuclide Location Activity I-131 New York, NY 20,720 μBq/m3 Rexburg, ID 11,390 μBq/m3 Portland, ME 2.9 pCi/m3 Augusta, ME 0.80 pCi/m3 Barrow, AL 218.7 fCi/m3 Mauna Loa, HI 28.5 fCi/m3 Cs-137 New York, NY 9,720 μBq/m3 Barrow, AL 27.6 fCi/m3 Mauna Loa, HI 22.9 fCi/m3 Cs-134 Mauna Loa, HI 11.2 fCi/m3 Barrow, AL 18.6 fCi/m3 Gross beta Portland, ME 1.031 pCi/m3 Lincoln, NE 14.3 pCi/m3 Vermont 0.113 pCi/m3 8.2. Chernobyl’s Contamination of Aquatic Ecosystems Chernobyl contamination traveled across the Northern Hemisphere for hours, days, and weeks after the catastrophe, was deposited via rain and snow, and soon ended up in bodies of water―rivers, lakes, and seas. Many Belarussian, Ukrainian, Russian, Latvian, and Lithuanian rivers were shown to be contaminated after the catastrophe, including the water basins of the Dnepr, Sozha, Pripyat, Neman, Volga, Don, and the Zapadnaya/Dvina- Daugava. 8.2.1. Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia 1. In the first days after the catastrophe (the period of primary aerosol contamination), the total activity in Pripyat River water near the Chernobyl NPP exceeded 3,000 Bq/liter. Only by the end of May 1986 had it decreased to 200 Bq/liter. The maximum concentration of Pu-239 in the Pripyat River was 0.37 Bq/liter. Yablokov et al.: Atmospheric, Water, and Soil Contamination 227 TABLE 8.5. Examples of Surface Air Concentrations of Some Radionuclides in the Northern Hemisphere after the Catastrophe, 1986 Radionuclide Concentration Location Date Reference I-131 223 Bq/m3 Nurmijarvi Apr. 28 RADNET, 2008 251 Bq/m3 Revelstoke, B.C., Canada May 13 176 Bq/m3 Quebec, Canada May 5–6 20.7 Bq/m3 New York, NY May 0.8 Bq/m3 Japan May 5 Imanaka and Koide, 1986 Cs-137 9.7 Bq/m3 Vienna Apr. 30 Irlweck et al., 1993 Ru-103 62.5 Bq/m3 Gross beta 160 Bq/m3 Bulgaria May 1 Pourchet et al., 1997 100 Bq/m3 Munich Apr. 30 Hotzl et al., 1987 Pu-239 + Pu-240 89 μBq/m3 Vienna May Irlweck et al., 1993 0.4 μBq/m3,∗ Paris Apr. 29–30 Thomas and Martin, 1986 ∗During 1984, total Pu-239 + Pu-240 activity was 1,000-fold less (10–40 nBq/m3). 2. From May to July 1986 the level of radiation in the northern part of the Kiev water reservoir was 100,000 times higher than the precatastrophe level (Ryabov, 2004). 3. Concentration of I-131 in surface water in Leningrad Province (Sosnovy Bor City) on May 2, 1986, was 1,300 Bq/liter and on May 4, 1986, it was 740 Bq/liter (Kryshev and Ryazantsev, 2000; Blynova, 1998). 4. During the first period after the catastrophe the littoral zone was heavily contaminated with radioactivity. In the years that followed bodies of water became secondarily contaminated as a result of the washout of Cs-137 and Sr-90 by spring highwaters and fromwoodland fire fallout (Ryabov, 2004). 5. In July 1986, the primary dose-forming radionuclides in clay in the bodies of water near the Chernobyl NPP were Ni-98 (27 kBq/kg), Ce-144 (20.1 kBq/kg), and Zr-96 (19.3 kBq/kg). In March–April 1987 the concentration of Ni-95 in aquatic plants there reached 29 kBq/kg and Zr-95 levels in fowl were up to 146 kBq/kg (Kryshev et al., 1992). 6. The Sr-90 contamination in the Dnepr River floodplain–lake ecosystem was concentrated primarily in bivalve mollusks, 10–40% concentrated in aquatic plants, about 2% in fish, 1–10% in gastropod mollusks, and less than 1% in plankton (Gudkov et al., 2006). 7. The Cs-137 in the Dnepr River floodplain–lake ecosystem was distributed as follows: 85–97% in aquatic plants, 1–8% in zoobenthos, 1–8% in fish, and about 1% in gastropod mollusks (Gudkov et al., 2006). 8. Owing to bioaccumulation, the amount of radionuclides can be thousands of times higher in plants, invertebrate, and fishes compared with concentrations in water (Table 8.6). 9. In contaminated territories with Cs-137 levels of 0.2 Ci/km2 the rate of transfer from water into turf plants can vary 15- to 60-fold from year to year (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). 10. More than 90% of the Pu + Am in aquatic ecosystems is in the sediment (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). 11. The Cs-137 and Sr-90 concentrations increased in underground water and correlated with the density of land contamination and zones of aeration. The highest level of Sr-90 (up to 2.7 Bq/liter) was observed in rivers that ran through the heavily contaminated territories. In the Pripyat River floodplains in the territories with land contamination greater than 1,480 kBq/km2 ground water activity reached 3.0 Bq/liter of Cs-137 and 228 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 8.6. Coefficients of Accumulation for Some Live Organisms∗ of Chernobyl Radionuclides in the Dnepr River and the Kiev Reservoir, 1986–1989 (Kryshev and Ryazantsev, 2000: tables 9.12, 9.13, 9.14; Gudkov et al., 2004) Fishes (bream, sander, Radionuclide Mollusks Water plants roach, silver bream) Ce-141, Ce-144 3,000–4,600 20,000–24,000 500–900 Ru-103, Ru-106 750–1,000 11,000–17,000 120–130 Cs-134, Cs-137 178–500 2,700–3,000 100–1,100 Zr-95 2,900 20,000 190 Ni-95 3,700 22,000 220 Sr-90 440–3,000 240 50–3,000 Pu ― 4,175 98 Am ― 7,458 1,667 I-131 120 60 2–40 ∗Concentration in aquatic flora and fauna as compared with concentration in water. 0.7 Bq/liter of S-90 (Konoplia and Rolevich, 1996). 12. During spring high waters Cs-137 that has accumulated in bottom sediments becomes suspended and leads to noticeably increased radioactivity in water. Up to 99% of Sr-90 migrates in a dissolved state (Konoplia and Rolevich, 1996). 13. Owing to its higher solubility, Sr-90 leaves river ecosystems much faster than Cs- 137. At the same time Cs-137 can accumulate up to 93 × 10−9 Ci/kg in grass and sod on flooded land (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). 14. The amount of Cs-137 and Sr-90 in water has decreased over time, but it has increased in aquatic plants and sediments (Konoplia and Rolevich, 1996). 15. More intensive radionuclide accumulation occurs in lake sediments owing to annual die-off of vegetation and the absence of drainage. In the 5 to 9 years after the catastrophe, in heavily weeded bodies of water there was a decrease in Cs-137 and Sr-90 in the water itself but a simultaneous increase in radioactivity in the sediment (Konoplia and Rolevich, 1996). 16. In the Svjetsko Lake (Vetka District, Belarus), total radionuclide concentration inwater measured 8.7 Bq/liter, in aquatic plants upto 3,700 Bq/kg, and in fish up to 39,000 Bq/kg (Konoplia and Rolevich, 1996). 8.2.2. Other Countries 1. FINLAND, FRANCE, AND CANADA. Data on some radionuclide concentrations in rainfall and surface water in Finland, France, and Canada are presented in Table 8.7. 2. GREAT BRITAIN (SCOTLAND). On the evening ofMay 3, one of the Chernobyl clouds contaminated the sea with Te-132/I-132, I- 131, Ru-103, Cs-137, Cs-134, and Ba-140/La- 140 totaling 7,000 Bq/liter (Martin et al., 1988). 3. GREECE. Composition of doseforming radionuclides and their activity in Greece in May 1986 are presented in Table 8.8. 4. NORTH SEA. In a North Sea sediment trap, the highest Chernobyl activity reached 670,000 Bq/kg, with Ru-103 being the most prevalent isotope (Kempe and Nies, 1987). Radionuclide levels in sea spume were several thousand times higher than in seawater in June of 1986. Cs-137 and Cs-134 quickly migrated to the sediments, whereas Ru-106 and Ag-110 lingered in the spume (Martin et al., 1988). 5. THE NETHERLANDS. I-131, Te-132, I-132, La-140, Cs-134, Cs-137, and Ru-103 were measured in rainwater in the Nijmegen area during May 1–21, 1986. The total activity on the first rainy day was of 9 kBq/liter Yablokov et al.: Atmospheric, Water, and Soil Contamination 229 TABLE 8.7. Rainfall and Surface Water Radionuclide Concentrations in Several Countries, 1986– 1987 Maximum Radionuclide concentration Location Date Reference Cs-137 5,300 Bq/m3∗ Finland 1986 Saxen and Aaltonen, 1987 325 mBq/liter Canada, Ontario May 1986 Joshi, 1988 700 Bq/liter France, Paris Apr. 29–30, 1986 Thomas and Martin, 1986 Sr-89 11,000 Bq/m3 Finland 1986 Saxen and Aaltonen, 1987 Te-132 7,400 Bq/liter France, Paris Apr. 29–30, 1986 Thomas and Martin, 1986 ∗About 1,000 times higher than the precatastrophe concentration, and up to 80 times higher than the highest values after the nuclear weapons test period in the 1960s. (2.7 kBq/liter for I-131 and 2.3 kBq/liter each for Te-132 and I-132). The total activity precipitated per square kilometer in this period was about 55 GBq (Beentjes and Duijsings, 1987). 6. POLAND. Average values of Pu-239 + Pu- 240 in the Polish economic zone of the Baltic Sea ranged from 30 to 98 Bq/m2 in three sampling locations. The highest concentration of Pu in sediment probably came from the Vistula River, which delivered 192 MBq of Chernobyl’s Pu-239 + Pu-240 to the Baltic Sea in 1989 (Skwarzec and Bojanowski, 1992). The total Cs-137 loading of Lake Sniardwy was estimated to average 6,100 Bq/m2 (Robbins and Jasinski, 1995). 7. SWEDEN. The annual mean concentration of Cs-137 (in Bq/kg) in surface water near Gotland Island from 1984 to 2004 is shown in Figure 8.2. TABLE 8.8. Composition and Activity of the Chernobyl Radioactive Fallout in Thessaloniki, Greece, (Total Wet Deposition, Bq/m2), May 5–6, 1986 (Papastefanou et al., 1988) Radionuclide Maximum concentration I-131 117,278 Te-132 70,700 I-132 64,686 Ru-103 48,256 Ba-140 35,580 Cs-137 23,900 La-140 15,470 Cs-134 12,276 8. TYRRHENIAN SEA. Concentration of Cs- 137 in surface water of the Tyrrhenian Sea rose significantly immediately after the catastrophe (Figure 8.3). 8.3. Chernobyl’s Contamination of the Soil Mantle The soilmantle will accumulate Chernobyl’s radionuclides with long half-lives for centuries. As in the previous review, this material is only a representative selection from the very large body of existing data. 8.3.1. Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia 1. Radionuclides on sod-podzol and heavily podzolized sandy clay soils move from the surface to the bottom soil layer during the course of time, resulting in the concentration of radionuclides in the root zone. It is in this way that soils with low surface contamination transfer radioactivity to the vegetative (and edible) parts of plants (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). 2. Plowed and natural pastures located 50 to 650 km from the Chernobyl site have levels of Cs-137 activity in the 1,000 to 25 kBq/m2 range in the upper soil layers (0–5 cm). Levels of contamination are higher in natural pastures as compared with plowed pastures, with the Sr-90 activity ranging from 1.4 to 40 kBq/m2 (Salbu et al., 1994). 230 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 8.2. The annual mean Cs-137 concentrations (in Bq/liter) in surface waters of East and West Gotland (sampling depth ≤10 m) from 1984 to 2004. Straight line―average pre-Chernobyl (1984–1985) level (HELCOM, 2006). 3. The soils most highly contaminated by I-131 are in northern Ukraine, eastern Belarus, and nearby provinces of Russia, but some “spots” of radioiodine soil contamination have been detected in many areas, including Kaliningrad Province on the Baltic shore (Makhon’ko, 1992). 4. In many areas up to hundreds of kilometers to the west, northwest, and northeast of the Chernobyl NPP the levels of Cs-137 soil contamination exceed 1,489 kBq/m2 (Kryshev and Ryazantsev, 2000). 5. In humid environments such as flood planes, lowland moors, and peat bogs vertical Figure 8.3. Concentration of Cs-137 (mBq/liter) in surface waters of the Tyrrhenian Sea, 1960–1995 (Europe Environmental Agency, 1999). migration is activated at different speeds for different radionuclides (Table 8.9). 6. Self-cleansing of soils by vertical migration of radionuclides can reach 2 to 4 cm/year (Bakhur et al., 2005). 7. The granular composition of soil and agrichemical soil characteristics modifies the transfer coefficient for Cs-137 (see Chapter 9). There is roughly a 10-fold variation (from 0.01 to 0.11 Bq/kg) in the degree of Cs- 137 transition from soil to beetroots depending on whether the soil is sod-podzol, loamy, sandy-clay, or sandy (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). Yablokov et al.: Atmospheric, Water, and Soil Contamination 231 TABLE 8.9. The Years Needed to Achieve a 50% Reduction in the Amount of Each Radionuclide in the Top (0–5 cm) Soil Layer in Areas 50 and 200 km from the Chernobyl NPP (National Belarussian Report, 2006) Years Radionuclide Up to 50 km Up to 200 km Pu-239, Pu-240 6–7 >50 Am-241 6–7 >50 Sr-90 7–12 7–12 Cs-137 10–17 24–27 8.3.2. Other Countries 1. AUSTRIA. The alpine regions were among the most heavily contaminated territories outside of the Former Soviet Union. In May 1986 in Salzburg Province the median Cs-137 surface deposition was about 31 kBq/m2 with maximum values exceeding 90 kBq/m2 (Lettner et al., 2007) or even 200 kBq/m2 (Energy, 2008). Ten years after the catastrophe 54% of Chernobyl-derived Cs-137 was 2 cm deeper into the soil layer in a spruce forest stand, with less than 3% having reached layers deeper than 20 cm. The average retention half-life of Cs- 137 was 5.3 years in the 0–5 cm layer, 9.9 years in the 5–10 cm layer, and 1.78 years in layers deeper than 10 cm (Strebl et al., 1996). 2. BULGARIA. Surface soil Cs-137 activity was up to 81.8 kBq/m2 in the most contaminated territories, which is eight times higher than the cumulative amount deposited during the peak period ofweapons testing (Pourchet et al., 1997). 3. CROATIA. In 1986 Cs-137 fallout deposit reached 6.3 kBq/m2 (Frani´c et al., 2006). 4.DENMARK.The totalmean Cs-137 and Sr- 90 deposits over Denmark reached 1.3 and 38 Bq/m2, respectively, as a result of Chernobyl. Most of the debris was deposited in the first half of May. In the Faeroe Islands the mean deposition of Cs-137 was 2 kBq/m2 and inGreenland it was up to 188 Bq/m2 (Aarkrog, 1988). 5. ESTONIA. The ground deposition from Chernobyl for Cs-137 was 40 kBq/m2 (Realo et al., 1995). 6. FRANCE. The maximal Cs-137 Chernobyl soil contamination reached up to 545 kBq/kg (CRII-RAD, 1988) and radioactivity from Chernobyl fallout in the French Alps reached 400 Bq/m2 (Pinglot et al., 1994). 7. GERMANY. Average ground deposition for total Cs was 6 kBq/m2 (Energy, 2008), and concentration of radionuclides in the southern part of the country was much higher (Table 8.10). 8. IRELAND. The initial Chernobyl fallout owing to Cs-137/Cs-134 reached a concentration of 14,200 Bq/m2, some 20-fold higher than the pre-catastrophe level (McAuley and Moran,1989). 9. ITALY. In the mountain area of Friuli- Venezia Giulia deposition of Cs-137 from Chernobyl ranged from 20 to 40 kBq/m−2. Concentration of Cs-137 in soil 0–5 cm deep declined only 20% in the first 5 years after the catastrophe (Velasko et al., 1997). 10. JAPAN. Up to 20 radionuclides were detected on the ground, including Cs-137, I-131, and Ru-103, with resulting levels of 414, 19, and 1 Bq/m2, respectively (Aoyama et al., 1987). 11. NORWAY. Many places in Norway were heavy contaminated after the catastrophe (Table 8.11). 12. POLAND. Soil in central Poland was contaminated by a wide spectrum of theChernobyl radionuclides (Table 8.12). In the northeastern part of the country Cs-134 + Cs-137 ground deposition levels were up to 30 kBq/m2 and I- 131 and I-132 deposition was up to 1MBq/m2 (Energy, 2008). 13. SWEDEN. The mean deposition of Chernobyl Cs-137 in the forest soils was above 50 kBq/m2 (McGee et al., 2000), and maximum Cs-134 + Cs-137 ground deposition was up to 200 kBq/m2 (Energy, 2008). 14.UNITEDKINGDOM. Examples of radioactive contamination in soil are presented in Table 8.13. Floodplain loading of Cs-137 in soil was up to 100 times greater than in soils above the floodplain (Walling and Bradley, 1988). OnMay 3, one of the Chernobyl clouds 232 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 8.10. Ground Deposition (kBq/m2) of Some Chernobyl Radionuclides in Germany, 1986 Radionuclide Location Concentration, max Reference Cs-137 Upper Swabia 43 Bilo et al., 1993 Bonn 1.38 Clooth and Aumann, 1990 Cs-134 + Cs-137 South Germany 60 Energy, 2008 Te-132 Munich∗ 120 Gogolak et al., 1986 ∗June 3, 1986; cumulative dry and wet deposition. TABLE 8.11. Examples of Cs-137 Ground Contamination after the Chernobyl Catastrophe in Norway, 1986 Maximum radioactivity Location Reference 22 kBq/kg∗ Stream gravel Hongve et al., 1995 500 kBq/m2∗ Average in sediment Hongve et al., 1995 22 Bq/kg Svalbard glaciers Pinglot et al., 1994 80 kBq/m2 Dovrefjell Solem and Gaare, 1992 54 kBq/m2 (mean) Southern Norway, grazing areas Staaland et al., 1995 200 kBq/m2∗ Soils in affected areas Blakar et al., 1992 ∗Cs-134 + Cs-137 contaminated the Scottish landscape with Te- 132/I-132, I-131, Ru-103, Cs-137, Cs-134, and Ba-140/La-140 totaling 41 kBq/m2 (Martin et al., 1988). 15. UNITED STATES. Observations of radionuclide contamination of U.S. soils from Chernobyl are listed in Table 8.14. Ground deposition for Cs-137 comes close to or exceeds the total weapons’ testing fallout (Dibb and Rice, 1988). The spectrum of Chernobyl’s soil contamination in the United States included TABLE 8.12. Spectrum and Activity of Chernobyl Radionuclides in Soil Samples (kBq/m2 in 0–5 cm Layer) in the Krakov Area, May 1, 1986 (Broda, 1987) Radionuclide Activity Radionuclide Activity Te-132 29.3 Ba-140 2.5 I-132 25.7 La-140 2.4 I-131 23.6 Mo-99 1.7 Te-129m 8.0 Ru-106 1.3 Ru-103 6.1 Sb-127 0.8 Cs-137 5.2 Cs-136 0.7 Cs-134 2.7 Total Up to 360 Ru-103, Ru-106, Cs-134, Cs-136, Cs-137, Ba- 140, La-140, I-132, Zr-95, Mo-95, Ce-141, and Ce-144 (Larsen et al., 1986). 16. Table 8.15 presents data on Cs-137 + Cs-134 contamination in several European countries. 8.4. Conclusion Chernobyl’s radioactive contamination has adversely affected all biological as well as nonliving components of the environment: the atmosphere, surface and ground waters, the surface and the bottom soil layers, especially in the heavily contaminated areas of Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia. Levels of Chernobyl’s radioactive contamination even in North America and eastern Asia are above the maximum levels that were found in the wake of weapons testing in the 1960s. Modern science is far fromunderstanding or even being able to register all of the radiological effects on the air, water, and soil ecosystems due to anthropogenic radioactive contamination. Yablokov et al.: Atmospheric, Water, and Soil Contamination 233 TABLE 8.13. I-131 and Cs-134/Cs-137 Soil Contamination (kBq/m2) from Chernobyl Radionuclides in Some Parts of the United Kingdom, 1986 Radionuclide Activity Location Date Reference I-131 26 Lerwick, Shetland May 1–6 Cambray et al., 1987 41 Holmrook, Cumbria Cs-137 7.4 Sellafield, Cumbria May Fulker, 1987 15 Ireland 1986 Rafferty et al., 1993 0.6 Berkeley, Gloucestershire May Nair and Darley, 1986 Cs-134/Cs-137 100 Scotland May Wynne, 1989 Gross beta 88.4 Strathclyde, Scotland May 6 RADNET, 2008 TABLE 8.14. Examples of Ground Deposition of Chernobyl Radionuclides (Dibb and Rice, 1988; Dreicer et al., 1986; Miller and Gedulig, 1986; Gebbie and Paris, 1986) Radionuclide Location Date, 1986 Activity Cs-137 Solomons Island, MD May 8–June 20 4,250 Bq/m2 Chester, NJ May 17 9.40 Bq/m2∗ Cs-134 Solomons Island, MD May 8–June 20 2,000 Bq/m2 Ru-103 Solomons Island, MD May 8–June 20 22,000 Bq/m2 Chester, NJ June 3 18.46 Bq/m2 Chester, NJ May 23 15 Bq/m2 I-131 Chester, NJ May 23 47.2 Bq/m2 Portland, OR May 11 9,157 pCi/m2 ∗Deposition on grass. Undoubtedly there are such changes and, owing to the amount of Chernobyl radionuclides that were added to the biosphere, the changes will continue for many decades. Contrary to the common view that the Chernobyl plumes contained mostly light and gaseous radionuclides, which would disappear without a trace into the Earth’s atmosphere, the available facts indicate that even Pu TABLE 8.15. Level of Ground Radioactive Contamination after the Chernobyl Catastrophe on British Embassy Territory in Some European Countries (http://members.tripod.com/∼BRuslan/ win/energe1.htm) Cs-134, Cs-137, Location kBq/m2 kBq/m2 Czech (Prague) 4.9 2.9 Hungary (Budapest) 8.8 5.3 Yugoslavia (Belgrade) 7.3 4.4 Romania (Bucharest) 4.3 2.6 Poland (Warsaw) 2.8 1.7 concentrations increased thousands of times at distances as far asmany thousands of kilometers away from Chernobyl. Common estimates of the level of radioactivity per liter or cubic or square meter mask the phenomenon of radionuclides concentrating (sometimes many thousands of times) in sediments, in sea spume, in soil microfilms, etc., through bioconcentration (for details seeChapters 9 and 10). This means that harmless looking “average” levels of radionuclides inevitably have a powerful impact on living organisms in the contaminated ecosystems. As a result of vertical migration of radionuclides through soil, they accumulate in plants with deep root systems. Absorbed by the roots, the buried radionuclides again rise to the surface and will be incorporated in the food chain. This transfer is one of the more important mechanisms observed in recent years that leads to increased internal irradiation for people in the all of the territories contaminated by nuclear fallout. 234 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences References Aarkrog, A. (1988). Studies of Chernobyl debris in Denmark. Env. Intern. 14(2): 49–155. Aoyama, M., Hirose, K. & Sugimura, Y. (1987). Deposition of gamma-emitting nuclides in Japan after the reactor-IV accident at Chernobyl. J. Radioanalyt. Nucl. Chem. 116(2): 291–306. Aoyama,M., Hirose, K. & Sugimura, Y. (1991). The temporal variation of stratospheric fallout derived from the Chernobyl accident. J. Env. Radioact. 13(2): 103– 116. Aoyama, M., Hirose, K., Suzuki, Y., Inoue, H. & Sugimura, Y. (1986). 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Coefficients of accumulation and transition ratios vary so much in time and space that it is difficult, if not impossible, to predict the actual levels of Cs-137, Sr-90, Pu-238, Pu- 239, Pu-240, and Am-241 at each place and time and for each individual plant or fungus. Chernobyl irradiation has caused structural anomalies and tumorlike changes in many plant species. Unique pathologic complexes are seen in the Chernobyl zone, such as a high percentage of anomalous pollen grains and spores. Chernobyl’s irradiation has led to genetic disorders, sometimes continuing for many years, and it appears that it has awakened genes that have been silent over a long evolutionary time. There are thousands of papers about agricultural, medicinal, and other plants and mushrooms contaminated after theChernobyl catastrophe (Aleksakhin et al., 1992; Aleksakhin, 2006; Grodzinsky et al., 1991; Ipat’ev 1994, 1999; Parfenov and Yakushev, 1995; Krasnov, 1998; Orlov, 2001; and many others). There is also an extensive body of literature on genetic, morphological, and other changes in plants caused by Chernobyl radiation. In this chapter we present only a relatively small number of the many scientific papers that address Chernobyl’s radioactive impact on flora. The Chernobyl fallout has ruined the pine forests near the nuclear power plant, which were not able to withstand the powerful radioactive impact, where contamination in the first weeks and months after the catastrophe reached several thousand curies per square kilometer. With the catastrophe’s initial atmospheric radiotoxins (see Chapter 8) and the Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia. Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ecopolicy.ru powerful irradiation caused by “hot particles,” the soil and plants surfaces became contaminated and a cycle of absorption and release of radioisotopes from soil to plants and back again was put into motion (Figure 9.1). Soon after the catastrophe plants and fungi in the contaminated territories became concentrators of radionuclides, pulling them from the soil via their roots and sending them to other parts of the plant. Radionuclide levels in plants depend on the transfer ratio (TR, transition coefficient) and the coefficient of accumulation (CA)―the relationship of specific activity of a radionuclide in a plant’s biomass to the specific activity of the same radionuclide in soil: [TR = (Bq/kg of plant biomass)/(kBq/m2 for soil contamination); CA = (Bq/kg of plant biomass)/(Bq/kg of soil)]. 9.1. Radioactive Contamination of Plants, Mushrooms, and Lichens The level of radionuclide incorporation (accumulation) in a living organism is a simple and reliable mark of the potential for damage to the genetic, immunological, and life-support 237 238 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 9.1. Radioautographs of plants with Chernobyl radionuclides: (A) leaf of common plantain (Plantago major); (B) aspen leaf (Populus tremula) Bryansk Province, Russia, 1991. Spots of the raised radioactivity are visible. (A. E. Bakhur photo, with permission.) systems of that organism. The first part of this section presents data regarding radioactive contamination in plants and the second relates to the levels of contamination in mushrooms and lichens. 9.1.1. Plants 1. The levels of surface contamination of three species of plants in Kiev City reached 399 kBq/kg and varied by specific location and particular radionuclide (Table 9.1). TABLE 9.1. Chernobyl Radioactivity (Bq/kg, dry weight) of Leafage in Three Species in Kiev City at the End of July 1986 (Grodzinsky, 1995b) Nuclide Aesculus hippocastanum∗ Tilla cordata∗∗ Betula verrucosa∗∗ Pinus silvestris∗∗ Pm-144 58,800 146,150 10,800 – Ce-141 18,800 – 6,500 4,100 Ce-144 63,300 – 21,800 18,800 La-140 1,100 1,930 390 660 Cs-137 4,030 – 3,400 4,300 Cs-134 2,000 – 1,540 2,100 Ru-103, Rh-103 18,350 36,600 10,290 7,180 Ru-106 14,600 41,800 400 5,700 Zr-95 35,600 61,050 11,400 6,500 Nb-95 53,650 94,350 18,500 9,900 Zn-65 – 400 – – Total activity 312,000 399,600 101,400 70,300 ∗Near underground station “Darnitza”; ∗∗ near underground station “Lesnaya.” 2. Table 9.2 presents data on radionuclide accumulation in the pine needles in Finland after the catastrophe. 3. Data inTable 9.3 indicate the level of plant radionuclide contamination that was reached worldwide after the catastrophe. 4. There were high levels of radionuclide accumulation in aquatic plants (Table 9.4). 5. After the catastrophe the levels of incorporated radionuclides jumped in all of the heavily contaminated territories. In annual plants such as absinthe (Artemisia absinthium), C-14 Yablokov: Radioactive Impact on Flora 239 TABLE 9.2. Concentration of Three Radionuclides in Pine Needles in Central Finland, May– December 1986 (Lang et al., 1988) Radionuclide Concentration, Bq/kg Cs-137 30,000 Ce-141 40,000 Ru-103 35,000 concentrations increased as much as fivefold in 1986 (Grodzinsky et al., 1995c). Figure 9.2 shows the concentration of C-14 in three rings (percent compared to the 1950 level) of pine (Pinus silvestris) from the 10-km zone. 6. There was a marked increase in the total amount of radionuclides in tree rings of pine (Pinus silvestris) in the Karelia Republic, Russian northwest (more than 1,200 km from Chernobyl) after the catastrophe (Figure 9.3). It is important to note that Karelia officially characterized the level of contamination as very moderate ( oakwood (241) > depressions between hill-forest of flood plain (188) > pinewood (94) > undrained lowland swamp (78) > hill forest of flood plains (68) > upland meadows (21) > drained peat-bog soil (11) > long-term fallow soil (0.04; Elyashevich and Rubanova, 1993). 15. Transfer ratios from soil to plants are different for each species and also vary by season and habitat (Table 9.5). 16. The maximum transfer ratio (from soil to plant) of Sr-90 was measured in wild strawberries (TR 14–15), and the minimum was in bilberry (TR 0.6–0.9) in Belarus. The Cs- 137 transfer ratio in bilberry (Vaccinium myrtillus) is threefold higher than that for wild strawberry (Fragaria vesca; Ipat’ev, 1994; Bulavik, 1998). 17. Plants growing on hydromorphic landscapes accumulate 10-fold more Cs-137 than those in automorphic soil. There is up to a 50-fold difference in the Cs-137 TR between an automorphic and a hydromorphic environment: intensity of accumulation of Cs-137 in berries is much lower on richer and dry soils as compared with poor and wet soils (Tsvetnova et al., 1990;Wirth et al., 1996; Korotkova, 2000; and others). 18. There are heavy accumulations of Cs- 137 in a plant’s above-ground biomass in the Ukrainian wet pine subor for the cowberry family species (Vacciniaceae): TR is about 74 Yablokov: Radioactive Impact on Flora 241 Figure 9.3. Total radioactivity in tree rings of pine (Pinus silvestris) near Petrozavodsk City, Karelia, for the period 1975–1994 (Rybakov, 2000). in bilberry (Vaccinium myrtillus), 67 in cowberry (Vaccinium vitis-idaea), and 63 in blueberry (Vaccinium uliginosum; Krasnov, 1998). 19. For nonwood medicinal plants the decreasing order of Cs-137 incorporation is as follows: berries (Vaccinium myrtillus) > leaf (Vaccinium myrtillus) > grass (Thymus serpyllum) > Figure 9.4. Correlation between the amount of Cs-137 in fresh bilberry (Vaccinium myrtillus) (Bq/kg) and the level of soil contamination (kBq/m2) for four different biospheres in Central Poles’e, Ukraine (Orlov, 2001): (vertical axis) specific activity, Bq/kg; (horizontal axis) soil contamination, kBq/m2 (B2, fresh subor; B3, dry subor; C2, fresh sudubrava; C3, dry sudubrava). grass (Convallaria majalis) > grass (Fragaria vesca) > flowers (Helichrysum arenarium) > grass (Hypericum perforatum and Betonica officinalis) > grass (Origanum vulgare; Orlov, 2001). 20.ThemaximumTRvalues are: wild plants (Ledum palustre) 451, grass (Polygonum hydropiper) 122, fruits (Vaccinium myrtillus) 159, leaves (Fragaria vesca) 73 and (Vaccinium vitis-idaea) 79, and buds (Pinus sylvestris) 61 and (Betula pendula) 47 (Elyashevich and Rubanova, 1993). 21. In the Ukrainian Poles’e, Cs-137 in fresh berries and air-dried bilberry offsets decreased fivefold in 1998 in comparison with 1991 (Korotkov, 2000). In other data, from 1991 to 1999 the amount of Cs-137 in bilberry fruit (Vaccinium myrtillus) fluctuated greatly (Orlov, 2001). 22. In mossy pine forests the concentration of Cs-137 in bilberry (Vaccinium myrtillus) fruit TABLE 9.5. Cs-137 TR from Soil to Fresh Fruits of the Principal Wild Ukrainian Berries (Orlov, 2001) Species TR Species TR Vaccinium myrtillus 3.4–16.1 Rubus nessensis 6.6 V. vitis-idaea 8.3–12.9 Rubus caesius 1.0 V. uliginosum 9.4–11.7 Fragaria vesca 2.0–10.9 Oxycoccus palustris 13.0–16.6 Sorbus aucuparia 1.0 Rubus idaeus 0.8–8.4 Viburnum opulus 0.3 242 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 9.5. Variations of the transfer ratio for Cs- 137 for three medicinal plants: the grasses Convallaria majalis and Hypericum perforatum and the bark Frangula alnus over several years (1991–1995). Average data for 28 stations in Ukrainian Poles’e (Krasnov, 1998). from 1987 to 1990 was practically stable in some places, whereas in other areas there was a threefold decrease in the TR in 1989–1990 as compared with 1987–1988 (Parfenov and Yakushev, 1995). 23. Maximum Cs-137 activity in the vegetative parts of undershrubs and trees is observed in May and June (Korotkova and Orlov, 1999; Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). Figure 9.6. Variation of the transfer ratio for Cs- 137 for three species of wild forest berries in Belarus: raspberry (Rubus idaeus), strawberry (Fragaria vesca), and blueberry (Vaccinium myrtillus) in the same area from 1990 to 1998 (Ipat’ev, 1999). TABLE 9.6. Inter- and Intraspecific Variations of TR (m2/kg × 10–3) from Soil to Fresh Wild Edible Berries in Belarussian, Ukrainian, and Russian Forest Zones Affected by Chernobyl Fallout (Based on Many References from Orlov, 2001) Species TR (Lim) Max/min Rubus idaeus 0.8–8.4 10.5 Fragaria vesca 2.0–10.9 5.5 Vaccinium myrtillus 3.4–16.1 5.3 Vaccinium vitis-idaea 8.1–12.9 1.6 Oxycoccus palustris 13–16.6 1.3 Vaccinium uliginosum 9.4–11.7 1.2 Rubus nessensis 6.6 Rubus caesius 1.0 Sorbus aucuparia 1.0 Viburnum opulus 0.3 24. Specific Sr-90 activity in the fresh fruits of bilberry (Vaccinium myrtillus) in the Ukrainian pine forests varied from 2 to 555 Bq/kg (Orlov, 2001). 25. Long-termdynamics of Cs-137 TR from soil to plants revealed all possible variations: for the grass Convallaria majalis there was a significant decrease over time; for the grass Hypericum perforatum there was a marked decrease from 1991 to 1992, but more than a twofold increase from 1993 to 1995; for the bark Frangula alnus there was a steady total threefold decrease in 1995 as compared with 1991 (Figure 9.5); for blueberries there was a slight decrease over 9 years; and for strawberries there was a sharp increase followed by a slower one (Figure 9.6). 26. The lognormal distribution of the TR in the same species in a similar ecological ambience makes it impossible to correctly estimate specificTRby sporadic observations (Jacob and Likhtarev, 1996). 27. There are wide inter- and intraspecies variations in TR for the edible wild berries (Table 9.6). 28. TR differs for the same species for different biotopes (Table 9.7). 29. Dynamics of Cs-137 contamination of various parts of pine (Pinus silvestris) are presented in Figure 9.7. The levels of contamination in the trunk, branches, and needles were nearly stable over 12 years. Yablokov: Radioactive Impact on Flora 243 TABLE 9.7. Average TR in Fresh Blueberries (Vaccinium myrtillus) in Three Different Types of Pine Forests in 1995 (Ipat’ev and Bulko, 2000) Type of pine forest TR Bilberry 5.19 Polytric 14.00 Ledum 24.00 30. In automorphic landscapes the Cs-137 TR decreased in grass species from 1988 to 1995. In hydromorphic landscapes there was gradual increase in this coefficient beginning in 1992 (Tscheglov, 1999). 31. The intensities of Cs-137 accumulation in herbs that were studied are divided into five groups: very strong accumulation (average TR >100), strong accumulation (TR 50–100), moderate accumulation (TR 10–50), weak accumulation (TR 1–10), and very weak accumulation (TR Vaccinium myrtillus>Vaccinium vitis-idaea > Vaccinium uliginosum > Viburnum opulus. 35. The following order of TR for medicinal undershrubs is: rhamn (Rhamnus) and mountain ash (Sorbus aucuparia), fresh hydrotops 3– 4, quercus bark 7, branches of aglet (Corylus avellana) and buckthorn (Frangula alnus) 7–9, branch of raspberry (Rubus idaeus) 11, branch of European dewberry (Rubus caesius) 13, and branch of mountain ash (Sorbus aucuparia) in the wet biotopes 13–18 (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). 36. The TR for Sr-90 was 14.0–15.1 for wild strawberry (Fragaria), 0.6–0.9 for blueberry (Vaccinium myrtillus), and 0.9 for raspberry (Rubus idaeus; Ipat’ev, 1999). 37. The TR for Sr-90 in wild forest berries depends on the level of soil contamination: it appears that the TR is lower under conditions of higher contamination (Table 9.9). 38. In Belarus in increasing order for Cs-137 levels in cereal grains that were studied: spring wheat 100 Paxill (Paxilus sp.), yellow boletus (Suillus luteus) 5. The specific Cs-137 activity in the fruit of mushrooms Lactarius necator, Armillariella mellea, andXerocomus badius increased exponentially with increased density of radioactive soil contamination (Krasnov et al., 1998). 6. The Cs-137 accumulation in the fruit of mushrooms is lower in richer environmental conditions: in russulas (Russula sp.) a difference between Cs-137 accumulation in sudubravas (mixed oak forests), pine forests, and subors are up to fourfold, and in lurid boletus (Boletus luridus) about threefold. 7. The Cs-137 accumulations in the fruit bodies of the edible boletus (Boletus edulus) were noticeably low in pine forests and for the Polish mushroom (Xerocomus badius) in subors (Krasnov et al., 1998). The level of radionuclide accumulation in plants and mushrooms depends upon the soil, the climate, the particular biosphere, the season, spotty radioactive contamination, the species, and the population (subspecies, cultivars), etc. Each radionuclide has its own accumulation characteristics. Coefficients of accumulation and transition ratios vary so much in time and space that it is difficult, if not impossible, to predict the actual levels of the Cs-137, Sr-90, Pu-238, Pu-239, Pu-240, and Am-241 in 246 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences each place and time for each individual plant or mushroom. 9.2. Radioinduced Morphology, Anomalies, and Tumors Changes from the normal morphological structure of plants under the impact of irradiation (radiomorphosis) are typical manifestations in the heavily contaminated territories (Grodzinsky et al., 1991; Grodzinsky, 1999c; Gudkov and Vinichuk, 2006; and others). Radiomorphosis arises primarily because of the impaired duplication process in live cells under the influence of external and/or internal irradiation. 1. Radiation-induced changes that have been observed in plants in the Chernobylcontaminated territories include alterations in shape, intercepts, twists, wrinkling, bifurcations, abnormal flattening of stems, etc. (Table 9.12). 2. When top buds, which contain the actively dividing cells die, there is a loss of apical domination and transfer of activity to axial buds, which under normal conditions are in a resting state and are more radioresistant. The newly active buds produce extra shoots, leaves, and flowers (Gudkov and Vinichuk, 2006). 3. Radiation-induced death of the main root meristem in plants with pivotal root systems results in more active development of lateral roots, which in turn provokes growth of some above-ground organs. Swelling-like excrescents on leaves, stems, roots, flowers, and other organs also appeared as the result of irradiation in the 30-km zone in 1986. In 1987 and the years following, the number of such abnormalities increased and were observed mainly in coniferous trees, on which needles are replaced once every few years and on perennial shoots and branches (Figure 9.8). 4. Table 9.13 presents examples of radiationinduced morphologic changes in pine (Pinus silvestris) and spruce (Picea abies). TABLE 9.12. Some Radiation-Induced Morphological Changes in Plants in Heavily Contaminated Territories after the Catastrophe (Grodzinsky, 1999; Gudkov and Vinichuk, 2006) Part Morphological changes Leaves Increase or decrease in size and quantity Shape change Twists Wrinkles Nervation break Asymmetry Thickening Leaf plates inosculation Fasciations and swellings Appearance of necrotic spots Loss of leaf plate Premature defoliation Shoots Additional vegetative lateral and apex shoots Impairment of geotopical orientation of the shoots “Bald” shoots Stems Speedup or inhibition of growth Phyllotaxis failure (order of leaf placing) Color change Loss of apical dominance Dichotomy and fasciations Change of intercepts Swellings Roots Speedup or inhibition of growth Splitting of main root Death of main root Trimming of meristem zone Absence of lateral roots Swellings and twists Appearance of aerial roots Heliotropism break Flowers Speedup or inhibition of flowering Color change Increase or decrease of quantity Shape change Defoliation of flowers and floscules Swellings Sterility 5. The number of pollen structural anomalies in winter wheat increased in the heavily contaminated territories (Kovalchuk et al., 2000). 6. Several years after the catastrophe there was a significant rise in the incidence Yablokov: Radioactive Impact on Flora 247 Figure 9.8. Anomalies in the shoots of pine (Pinus silvestris: A, B) and spruce (Picea excelsa: C–G) in the 30-km zone in 1986–1987 (Kozubov and Taskaev, 2002; Grodzinsky et al., 1991). of various teratological characteristics in plantain seedlings (Plantago lanceolata) growing within the 30-km zone (Frolova et al., 1993). 7. The incidence of two morphologic characteristics in winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) increased after the catastrophe and decreased in the next two generations (Group 1); the frequency of nine other morphologic characteristics (Group 2) increased in subsequent generations (Table 9.14). 8. Irradiation in the contaminated territories caused a noticeably stronger influence on barley pollen than did experimental gamma- TABLE 9.13. Chernobyl’s Irradiation Impact on Pine (Pinus silvestris) and Spruce (Picea abies) Morphometrics (Sorochinsky, 1998)∗ Characters Low contamination Heavy contamination Pine Length of needles, mm 60 ±4 19 ± 3 Weight of needles, mg 80 ±3 14 ± 2 Spruce Length of needles, mm 16 ±2 40 ± 3 Weight of needles, mg 5 ±1 95 ± 5 ∗All differences are significant. irradiation done under controlled conditions (Table 9.15). 9. Chernobyl radiation, causing morphogenetic breaks, provokes the development of tumors caused by the bacterium Agrobacterium tumefaciens. Active development of such tumors is seen in some plants, including Hieracium murorum, Hieracium umbellatum, Rubus idaeus, and Rubus caesius, in the heavily contaminated territories (Grodzinsky et al., 1991). 10. Tumorlike tissue is found in 80% of individual milk thistle (Sonchus arvensis) plants growing in heavily contaminated soil (Grodzinsky et al., 1991). 248 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 9.14. Frequency of Some Morphologic Changes in Three Generations of a Species of Winter Wheat (Triticum aestivum) in the Chernobyl- Contaminated Territories (Grodzinsky et al., 1999; Grodzinsky, 2006) Year Characters 1986 1987 1988 Group 1 Infertile zones in spike 49.0 29.8 1.9 Truncated spike 10.0 9.4 0.8 Lengthened stem 4.4 4.7 5.4 Scabrous beard 1.4 3.4 2.9 Group 2 Split spike 4.5 11.1 9.4 Lengthened beard 2.8 2.8 4.7 Angular forms 4.9 14.0 24.7 Change of stalk color 0.9 1.7 1.9 Spike gigantism 1.4 1.8 2.9 Stem plate 4.5 5.7 4.9 Additional spikelets 14.0 14.8 29.7 11. In the heavily contaminated territories there was a significant increase in gall formation on oak (Quercus) leaves (Grodzinsky et al., 1991). 12. Formation of tumoral tissue (callus) in plants under the influence of soil contaminated TABLE 9.15. Frequency of Abnormal Barley (Hordeum vulgare) Pollen Grains (per 1,000,000) after 55 Days of Irradiation around Chernobyl’s NPP and in the Experimental Gamma-Field (Bubryak et al., 1991) Dose rate, Dose, Abnormal μSv/h mSv grains,% 30-km zone Control (0.96) 1.3 0 59 75 23 320 422 79 400 528 86 515 680 90 Experimental Background 0.1 0 gamma-field (0.11) 5 3.0 43 50 29.6 45 500 296 59 5,000 2,960 57 50,000 29,600 72 TABLE 9.16. Influence of a Chernobyl Soil Extract (Cs-137 and Ce-144 with Total Activity of 3.1 × 104 Bq/kg) on Growth and Cell Division of a Stramonium (Datura stramonium; Grodzinsky, 2006) Cells, Cells, per 1 g tissue, per callus n × 105 % n × 105 % Normal tissue 39.7 100 78.6 100 With an extract 38.9 98 100.4 127.6 Tumorous tissue 23.0 100 74.5 100 With an extract 32.4 140.7 91.5 122.8 with radioactivity has been confirmed experimentally (Table 9.16). 13. There is some tendency toward normalization of the number of gametogenetic anomalies in soft wheat (Triticum aestivum) in four to six generations after the Chernobyl irradiation, but there was an accumulation of mutations in some wheat populations (Grodzinsky et al., 1995a). 9.3. Genetic Changes 1. Immediately after the catastrophe, the frequency of plant mutations in the contaminated territories increased sharply, and the increase was maintained at a high level for several years (Tables 9.17 and 9.18). 2. In the first 2–3 years after the catastrophe, the number of lethal and chlorophyll TABLE 9.17. Frequency (%) of Chlorophyll Mutations in Barley (Hordeum vulgare), and Rye (Secale seriale) in the 30-km Zone with Cs-134, Cs- 137, Ce-144, and Ru-106 Ground Contamination (Grodzinsky et al., 1991) Contamination Years Control 1986 1987 1988 1989 Rye, var. “Kiev-80” 0.01 0.14 0.40 0.91 0.71 Rye, var. 0.02 0.80 0.99 1.20 1.14 “Kharkov-03” Barley, var. # 2 0.35 0.81 0.63 0.70 0.71 Yablokov: Radioactive Impact on Flora 249 TABLE 9.18. Frequency of Chromosomal Aberrations (%) in Root Meristems of Some Cultivated Plants in the Chernobyl-Contaminated Territories, 1986–1989 (Grodzinsky, 2006)∗ Years Control 1986 1987 1988 1989 Lupinus alba 0.9 19.4 20.9 14.0 15.9 Pisum sativum 0.2 12.9 14.1 9.1 7.9 Secale cereale 0.7 14.9 18.7 17.1 17.4 Triticum aestivum 0.9 16.7 19.3 17.7 14.2 Hordeum vulgare 0.8 9.9 11.7 14.5 9.8 ∗All differences from controls are significant. mutations in all studied populations of Arabidopsis thaliana in the 30-km zone increased significantly. The original spontaneous level of mutation was reached in 6 years in areas with gamma-radiation levels up to 10 mR/h. In areas with gamma-radiation levels up to 130 mR/h the level of mutations was up to eightfold higher than the spontaneous level for 8 years after the catastrophe (Abramov et al., 1995). 3. The frequency of mutations in wheat (Triticum aestivum) was sixfold higher in the contaminated territories (Kovalchuk et al., 2000). Some 13 years after the catastrophe the frequency of chromosome aberrations in two wheat cultivars in the 30-km zone was significantly higher than the spontaneous frequency (Yakimchuk et al., 2001). 4. In acorns of the oak Quercus robur and the pine Pinus silvestris in Voronez City areas contaminated by Chernobyl fallout there was significantly increased mitotic activity, demonstrated by increased frequency of cells with a TABLE 9.19. Damage of Apical Root Meristem (Growing Tip) of Onions (Allium cepa) under Different Levels of the Chernobyl Soil Contamination (Grodzinsky, 2006) Percent of control Soil activity, Number of Mitotic Aberrant Cells with Degenerate kBq/kg cells, n index,% cells micronucleus cells Control 15,005 4.1 100 100 100 37 33,275 4.4 240 171 250 185 29,290 4.4 216 129 500 370 23,325 117 150 229 900 residual karyo nucleus at metaphase, anaphase, and telophase and with multinucleated cells persisting “many years” after the catastrophe (Butoryna et al., 2000; Artyukhov et al., 2004). 5. The level of chromosomal aberrations in onions was correlated with the density of radioactive contamination of the territory (Table 9.19). 6. The average frequency of mutations in pine (Pinus silvestris) correlated with the density of radiation contamination in an area, and in the 30-km zone was 10-fold higher than in control locations (Shevchenko et al., 1996). 7. Progeny tests of plantain (Plantago lanceolata), gosmore (Hypochoeris radicata), autumnal hawkbit (Leontodon autumnalis), wall lettuce (Mycelis muralis), bloodwort (Achillea millefolium), gold birch (Solidago virgaurea), and field wormwood (Artemisia camprestris) collected in the 30- km zone (gamma-activity at ground level 130– 3,188 Ci/km2) and after additional intense irradiation developed significantly more mutations than in controls (i.e., the number of chromosomal aberrations is correlated with the density of contamination). Only devil’s-bit (Succisa pratensis) showed increased resistance to radioactivity (Dmitryeva, 1996). 8. The significantly increased mutation level in pine (Pinus sylvestris) seeds from the 30-km zone persisted for 8 years after the catastrophe (Kal’chenko et al., 1995). 9. In the 6 to 8 years after the catastrophe, the number of meiosis anomalies in microspore formation (the number of anomalies in a root meristem) and the number of pollen grain anomalies documented in 8–10% of 250 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 9.20. Change in Anthocyanin Concentration in Irradiated Plants (Grodzinsky, 2006) Levels of Anthocyanin irradiation (% of control) Corn (Zea mays), Soil 975 Bq/kg 119 sprouts Mung (Phaseolus Chronic irradiation, 157 aureus) 0.5 Gy Arabidopsis Chronic irradiation, 173 thaliana 0.5 Gy 94 plant species correlate with the level of gamma-irradiation (Kordyum and Sydorenko, 1997). 10. In natural populations of Crepis tectorum from the 30-km zone, the sprouting of seeds did not exceed 50%. The number of a growing root cells with chromosome disorders (inversions, translocations, change in number of chromosomes, etc.) is significantly higher than in controls (Shevchenko et al., 1995). 11. The number of sterile pollen grains in violets (Viola matutina) correlates with the level of radioactive soil contamination (Popova et al., 1991). 12. More than a 10-fold lower frequency of extrachromosomal homologous recombinations are found in native Arabidopsis thaliana plants from radioactively contaminated territories (Kovalchuk et al., 2004). 13. Unique polynoteratogenic complexes are seen in the 30-km Chernobyl zone: a high percentage of pollen grains and spores with different genetic anomalies (underdeveloped pollen grains/spores, dwarf and ultradwarf forms, and polynomorphs that diverge from the norm in several morphological characters). This indicates that the Chernobyl catastrophe caused a “geobotanical catastrophe” (Levkovskaya, 2005). 9.4. Other Changes in Plants and Mushrooms in the Contaminated Territories 1. Coniferous forests have suffered most strongly from irradiation (so-called “Red forest”) as compared with mixed and deciduous forests (Kryshev and Ryazantsev, 2000). 2. Some metabolic processes in plants are disturbed in the contaminated territories (Sorochin’sky, 1998). Table 9.20 lists examples of such impairments, expressed in changes of anthocyanin (purple color) concentration. 3. Radiosensitivity of some plant species increases under chronic low-rate irradiation in the 30-km zone owing to a gradual loss of the ability to repair DNA (Grodzinsky, 1999). 4. Some phenolic compounds with altered qualitative structure accumulated in all winter wheat, winter rye, and corn cultivars in the 30-km zone during the 6 years after the catastrophe (Fedenko and Struzhko, 1996). 5. The radial growth in trees in the heavily contaminated territories was slowed (Kozubov and Taskaev, 1994; Shmatov et al., 2000). 6.A new form of stem rust fungus (Puccinia graminis) is present in the Chernobyl zone, and its virulence is greater than in the control form (Dmitryev et al., 2006). It is clear that plants andmushrooms became natural accumulators of Chernobyl radionuclides. The levels of such uptake and the transition of radionuclides from soil to plants and mushrooms are specific for each radionuclide and vary from species to species, by season, by year, and by landscape, etc. Chernobyl irradiation has caused many structural anomalies and tumorlike changes in many plant species and has led to genetic disorders, sometimes continuing for many years. It appears that the Chernobyl irradiation awakened genes that had been quiescent for long evolutionary periods. Twenty-three years after the catastrophe it is still too early to know if the whole spectrum of plant radiogenic changes has been discerned. We are far from knowing all of the consequences for flora resulting fromthe catastrophe. References Abramov, V. I., Dyneva, S. V., Rubanovich, A. V. & Shevchenko, V. A. (1995). Genetic consequences of Yablokov: Radioactive Impact on Flora 251 radioactive contamination of Arabidopsis thaliana populations in 30-km zone around Chernobyl NPP. Rad. Biol. Radioecol. 35(5): 676–689 (in Russian). Aleksakhin, R. M. (2006). Radioecology and problems of radiation safety. Med. Radiol. Radiat. Safety 52(1): 28–33 (in Russian). Aleksakhin,R.M.,Vasil’ev, A.V. & Dykarev,V.G. (1992). Agricultural Radioecology (“Ecologia,” Moscow): 400 pp. (in Russian). Aleksenyzer, M. L., Bondarchuk, L. I., Kubaichuk, V. P., & Prister, S. S. (1997). About possibility of harvesting medicinal plants in areas contaminated in result of the Chernobyl accident. 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Radionuclide contents in row medicinal plant materials from radioactive contaminated forests. Scientific and Practical Conference. Basic Foundations of Forestry under Radioactive Contamination (Abstracts, Gomel): pp. 27–28 (in Russian). Wirth, E., Kammerer, L. & R¨uhm, W. (1996). Uptake of radionuclides by understorey vegetation and mushrooms. In: Belli, M. & Tikhomyrov, F. (Ed.), Behavior of Radionuclides in Natural and Semi-Natural Environments (Final Report of ECP-9, Luxembourg): pp. 69– 73. Yakimchuk, R. A., Moregun, V. V. & Logvinenko, V. F. (2001). Genetic consequences of radionuclides contamination in exclusion zone 13 years after the Chernobyl accident. Physiol. Biochem. Cultivars 33(3): 226– 231 (in Russian). Yoshida, S., Muramatsu, Y. & Ogawa, M. (1994). Radiocesium concentrations in mushrooms collected in Japan. J. Env. Radioact. 22(2): 141–154. CHERNOBYL 10. Chernobyl’s Radioactive Impact on Fauna Alexey V. Yablokov The radioactive shock when the Chernobyl reactor exploded in 1986 combined with chronic low-dose contamination has resulted in morphologic, physiologic, and genetic disorders in every animal species that has been studied―mammals, birds, amphibians, fish, and invertebrates. These populations exhibit a wide variety ofmorphological deformities not found in other populations. Despite reports of a “healthy” environment in proximity to Chernobyl for rare species of birds and mammals, the presence of such wildlife is likely the result of immigration and not from locally sustained populations. Twenty-three years after the catastrophe levels of incorporated radionuclides remain dangerously high for mammals, birds, amphibians, and fish in some areas of Europe. Mutation rates in animal populations in contaminated territories are significantly higher and there is transgenerational genomic instability in animal populations, manifested in adverse cellular and systemic effects. Long-term observations of both wild and experimental animal populations in the heavily contaminated areas show significant increases in morbidity and mortality that bear a striking resemblance to changes in the health of humans―increased occurrence of tumor and immunodeficiencies, decreased life expectancy, early aging, changes in blood and the circulatory system, malformations, and other factors that compromise health. The Chernobyl catastrophe has impacted on fauna and will continue to have an impact for many decades to come, with effects ranging from changes in population vitality to abnormal reproductive and genetic disorders. It is well to remember that Homo sapiens are a part of the animal kingdom and suffer the same kinds of health consequences that are observed in animals. As in the earlier chapters, only a small part of the available scientific literature is presented here, but several monographic reviews have been included: Frantsevich et al., 1991; Sutshenya et al., 1995; Zakharov and Krysanov, 1996; Sokolov and Kryvolutsky, 1998; Ryabov, 2002; Goncharova, 2000; and others. Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia. Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ ecopolicy.ru Apart from zoological studies, there are many hundreds of studies published by veterinarians in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia that show deterioration in the health of cows, boars, sheep, and chickens in the areas contaminated by Chernobyl. The first section of this chapter is devoted to levels of Chernobyl radionuclide accumulations in various species. The second section addresses reproductive impairment in animals in the contaminated territories and the resultant genetic changes. The order of presentation is mammals, birds, amphibians, fish, and invertebrates. 10.1. Incorporation of Radionuclides The level of radionuclides maintained in an animal’s body depends on the transfer ratio (TR, transition coefficient) and the coefficient 255 256 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 10.1. Maximum Concentration (Bq/kg, Fresh Weight) of Some Radionuclides after the Catastrophe Nuclide Bq/kg Species Country Reference Sr-90 1,870 Bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus) Belarus Ryabokon’ et al., 2005∗ Cs-137 400,000 Bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus) Belarus Ryabokon’ et al., 2005∗ 187,000 Wild swine (Sus scrofa) Russia Pel’gunov et al., 2006 74,750 Roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) Russia Pel’gunov et al., 2006 48,355 Common shrew (Sorex araneus) Russia Ushakov et al., 1996 42,000 Little shrew (Sorex minutus) Russia Ushakov et al., 1996 24,630 Yellow neck mouse Russia Ushakov et al., 1996 (Apodemus flavicollis) 7,500 Brown hare (Lepus europaeus) Russia Pel’gunov et al., 2006 3,320 Moose (Alces alces) Russia Pel’gunov et al., 2006 1,954 White tailed deer Finland Rantavaara, 1987 1,888 Arctic hare (Lepus timidus) Finland Rantavaara et al., 1987 1,610 Moose (Alces alces) Finland Rantavaara et al., 1987 7601 Moose (Alces alces) Sweden Johanson and Bergstr¨om, 1989 720 Reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) Finland Rissanen et al., 1987 Cs-134 60,000 Bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus) Belarus Ryabokon’ et al., 2005∗ Cs134/Cs-137 100,000 Reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) Norway Strand, 1987 15,000 Sheep (Ovis ammon) Norway Strand, 1987 3,898 Sheep (Ovis ammon) Great Britain Sherlock et al., 1988 (Cumbria) 3,200 Roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) Germany Heinzl et al., 1988 Pu-239 + Pu-240 1.3 Bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus) Belarus Ryabokon’ et al., 2005∗ Pu-238 0.6 Bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus) Belarus Ryabokon’ et al., 2005∗ Am-241 12 Bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus) Belarus Ryabokon’ et al., 2005∗ 14 × 103 Bq/kg) and by Ru-193 (>750 Bq/kg; Bunzl and Kracke, 1988). 23. Table 10.7 provides data on Chernobyl radionuclide concentrations in zooplankton that reflect both high levels of bioaccumulation and the wide range of contaminated waters. 24. Radioactive contamination of Baltic plankton in 1986 reached 2,600 Bq/kg (gross-beta) and 3,900 Bq/kg of Np-239 (Ikaheimonen et al., 1988). 10.2. Reproductive Abnormalities Regular biological observations in the heavily contaminated territories of Ukraine, Belarus, and European Russia were not begun 260 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 10.4. Concentration of Some Radionuclides (Bq/kg, Fresh Weight) in Several Bird Species after the Catastrophe Radionuclide Bq/kg Species Country Reference Sr-90 1,635,000 Great tit (Parus major) Ukraine Gaschak et al., 2008 556,000 Long-tailed tit (Aegithalos caudatus) Ukraine Gaschak et al., 2008 226,000 Nightingale (Luscinia luscinia) Ukraine Gaschak et al., 2008 Cs-137 367,000 Great tit (Parus major) Ukraine Gaschak et al., 2008 305,000 Blackbird (Turdus merula) Ukraine Gaschak et al., 2008 85,000 Song thrush(Turdus philomelos) Ukraine Gaschak et al., 2008 1,930 Mallard duck (Anas platyrynchus) Russia Pel’gunov et al., 2006 450 Gray partridge (Perdix perdix) Russia Pel’gunov et al., 2006 470 Woodcock (Scopolas rusticola) Russia Pel’gunov et al., 2006 350 Robin (Erithacus rubecola) Netherlands De Knijff and Van Swelm, 2008 Cs-134 112 Robin (Erithacus rubecola) Netherlands De Knijff and Van Swelm, 2008 Cs-134, Cs-137 10,469 Waterfowl (Anas sp.) Finland Rantavaara et al., 1987 6,666 Goldeneye (Bucephala clangula) Finland Rantavaara et al., 1987 Zr-95 467 Robin (Erithacus rubecola) Netherlands De Knijff and Van Swelm, 2008 Nb-95 1,292 Robin (Erithacus rubecola) Netherlands De Knijff and Van Swelm, 2008 Total gamma >13,000 Teal (Quercuedula quercuedula Belarus Sutchenya et al., 1995 and Q. crecca) 10,000 Mallard ducks (Anas platyrhyncha) Belarus Sutchenya et al., 1995 >>4,000 Coots (Fulica atra) Belarus Sutchenya et al., 1995 until 2 months after the explosion. Fortunately, during that time, data concerning the harmful effects of the Chernobyl contamination on cattle and other farm animals were collected from many veterinarians (Il’yazov, 2002;Konyukhov et al., 1994; Novykov et al., 2006; and many others). 1. By September 1986, the population of murine species in the heavily contaminated Ukrainian territories had decreased up to fivefold (Bar’yakhtar, 1995). TABLE 10.5. Cs-137 Accumulation (Bq/kg of Wet Weight) in Three Game Bird Species from Bryansk Province Areas Contaminated at a Level of 8–28 Ci/km2, 1992–2006 (Pel’gunov et al., 2006) Species Average Min–max∗ Mallard duck (Anas 920 314–1,930 platyrynchus), n = 28 Gray partridge (Perdix 350 280–450 perdix), n = 14 Woodcock (Scopolas 370 270–470 rusticola), n = 11 ∗Russian permissible level―180 Bq/kg. 2. The mortality of laboratory mice (Mus musculus) that remained in the 10-km zone from 1 to 14 days increased significantly and is associated with additional radiation (Nazarov et al., 2007). 3. There was an increasing incidence of embryo deaths over 22 generations of bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus) from the contaminated territories that correlated with the radionuclide levels in monitored areas. A significantly high prenatal mortality has persisted despite a decrease in the level of ground contamination (Goncharova and Ryabokon’, 1998a,b; Smolich and Ryabokon’, 1997). 4. For 1.5 months sexually active male rats (Rattus norvegicus) within the 30-km zone demonstrated suppressed sexual motivation and erections, which resulted in a reduction in the number of inseminated females, reduced fertility, and an increase in preimplantation deaths (Karpenko, 2000). 5. Observations in farm hog sires (Sus scrofa) with Cs-137 contamination levels of 1–5 Ci/km2 plus Sr-90 at a level of 0.04– 0.08 Ci/km2 demonstrated significantly fewer Yablokov: Radioactive Impact on Fauna 261 TABLE 10.6. Concentration (Bq/kg) of Some Radionuclides in Fishes after the Catastrophe Nuclide Concentration Species Country Reference Cs-137 16,000 Perch (Perca fluviatilis) Finland Saxen and Rantavaara, 1987 10,000 Pike (Esox luceus) Finland Saxen and Rantavaara, 1987 7,100 Whitefish (Coregonus sp.) Finland Saxen and Rantavaara, 1987 6,500 Catfish (Silurus glanis) Ukraine Zarubin, 2006 4,500 Bream (Abramis brama) Finland Saxen and Rantavaara, 1987 2,000 Vendace (Coregonus albula) Finland Saxen and Rantavaara, 1987 708 Crucian carp (Carassius carassius) Russia Ushakov et al., 1996 493 Bream (Abramis brama)∗ Poland Robbins and Jasinski, 1995 190 “Fish” Baltic Ilus et al., 1987 15–30 “Pike and cod”∗∗ Baltic Ikaheimonen et al., 1988 Cs-134/137 55,000 “Freshwater fish” Norway Strand, 1987 12,500 Brown trout (Salmo trutta) Norway Brittain et al., 1991 Sr-90 157 Crucian carp (Carassius carassius) Russia Ushakov et al., 1996 Total gamma 300,000 Raptorial fish Ukraine Gudkov et al., 2004 ∗120 times that of pre-Chernobyl level. ∗∗About five times the pre-Chernobyl level. semen channels (especially for hogs 2 to 4 years old), as well as widening, necrosis, and unusual positions of sex cells within the channels (Table 10.8). 6. There was a marked decrease in insemination and 1.8 to 2.5% of the piglets were born dead or with congenital malformations involving the mouth, anus, legs, and gigantic heads, etc. (Oleinik, 2005). 7. Pregnancy outcomes and some health characteristics of calves (Bos taurus) (a Poles’e breed) in the heavily contaminated Korosten and Narodnitsky districts, Zhytomir Province, Ukraine (Cs-137 levels of 5–15 Ci/km2) were significantly different from the same species bred in the less contaminated (70% composed of copepod fecal pellets Fowler et al., 1987 Black Sea May–June, 1986 At a depth of 1,071 m (Emiliania huxleyi) Buesseler et al., 1987; Kempe et al., 1987 North Pacific and Bering Sea June–July, 1986 From 110 to 780 m Kusakabe and Ku, 1988 owing to sterility, as well as to abnormal spermatozoa (Pomerantseva et al., 1990, 1996). 10. Higher antenatal mortality was observed in field mice (Clethrionomys and Microtus sp.) in the first years after the catastrophe in the heavily contaminated areas owing to pathologic changes in the urogenital tract and embryo resorption in the early stages of development (Medvedev, 1991; Sokolov and Krivolutsky, 1998). 11. In October 1986 in Chernobyl City, a special animal facility was established for laboratory rats (Rattus norvegicus) from the breeding group that originated in the Kiev laboratory colony. After the catastrophe there was a significant decrease in the average life span of laboratory rats (Rattus norvegicus) in animal facilities in both Chernobyl and Kiev (Table 10.11). 12. The sex ratio of bank voles (Clethrionomys sp.) as a percent of the current year of breeding young deviated significantly in the heavily contaminated territories (Kudryashova et al., 2004). TABLE 10.8. Histological Characteristics of Hog Testes Associated with Sr-90 and Cs-137 Contamination (Oleinik, 2005) Specific numbers of semen channels Thickness of white envelopes, mkm Age Contaminated Control Contaminated Control 5 months 39.0 ± 0.7 63.7 ± 2.8∗ 178.0 ± 8.5∗ 465.2 ± 11.7 8 months 20.5 ± 0.9 21.4 ± 0.9∗ 231.0 ± 12.7∗ 572.0 ± 18.1 2 years 13.4 ± 0.4 21.2 ± 0.8 335.0 ± 8.81∗ 428.0 ± 17.3 4 years 12.9 ± 0.6 19.2 ± 0.9∗ 380.3 ± 22.2 349.5 ± 26.0 ∗p 20,000 Bq/kg Germany UNSCEAR, 1988 Sheep’s milk 18,000 Bq/liter Greece Assikmakopoulos et al., 1987 Mushrooms 16,300 Bq/kg∗∗ Japan Yoshida et al., 1994 Reindeer >10,000 Bq/kg Sweden UNSCEAR, 1988 Potatoes 1.100 ± 0.650 Bq/kg Croatia Franic et al., 2006 Lamb 1,087 Bq/kg Sweden Rosen et al., 1995 Milk 500 Bq/liter United Kingdom Clark, 1986 Meat 395 Bq/kg Italy Capra et al., 1989 Milk 254 Bq/dm3 Italy Capra et al., 1989 Perch 6,042 (mean) Bq/kg Sweden Hakanson et al., 1989 Perch 3,585 (mean) Bq/kg Sweden Hakanson et al., 1989 Farm milk 2,900 Bq/liter Sweden Reizenstein, 1987 Milk 400 Bq/liter Bulgaria Energy, 2008 I-131 Milk 135,000 Italy Orlando et al., 1986 Yogurt 6,000 Bq/kg Greece Assikmakopoulos et al., 1987 Edible seaweed 1,300 Bq/kg Japan Hisamatsu et al., 1987 Milk 500 Bq/liter United Kingdom Clark, 1986 Breast milk 110 Bq/liter (mean) Czechoslovakia Kliment and Bucina, 1990 Breast milk 55 Bq/l (mean Czechoslovakia Kliment and Bucina, 1990 Pork 45 Bq/kg (mean) Czechoslovakia Kliment and Bucina, 1990 Milk 21.8 Bq/liter Japan Nishizawa et al., 1986 Milk 20.7 Bq/liter United States RADNET, 2008 Total Reindeer meat 15,000 Bq/kg Sweden Fox, 1988 Mutton 10,000 Bq/kg Yugoslavia Energy, 2008 Milk 3,000 Bq/liter Yugoslavia Energy, 2008 Fruits >1,000 Bq/kg Italy Energy, 2008 ∗Limits of Cs-137 for consumption in EU: 600 Bq/kg for food items; 370 Bq/kg for milk and baby food; 3,000 Bq/kg for game and reindeer meat. ∗∗Year 1990. Th-232, Mn-54, Co-60, I-131, etc.) in an individual’s body as well as the specific dose. It is certified by the Belarus State Committee on Standardization and also registered by the State Registry of Belarus. Each IRC scanner undergoes an annual official inspection. All measurements are done according to protocols approved by that committee. For additional accuracy, the BELRAD IRC SCANNER-3M system was calibrated with the “Julich” Nuclear Center in Germany (see Table 12.7). 1. Measurements were taken in Valavsk Village, in the El’sk District, Gomel Province, where there were 800 inhabitants, including 159 children. The village is located in an area with Cs-137 contamination of 8.3 Ci/km2 (307 kBq/m2). According to the 2004 data, the total annual effective dose was 2.39 mSv/year, and an internal irradiation dose was 1.3 mSv/year. 2. There was a correlation between the levels of local food contamination (Figure 12.4) and the level of incorporated radionuclides in the children’s bodies (Figure 12.5). The pattern of curves in Figures 12.4 and 12.5 reflects the seasonal (within the year) variation of contaminated food consumption and thus the accumulation of Cs-137 in a child’s body. As a rule, the level of contamination 296 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 12.7. Cs-137 Body Burden in Children of Narovlya, Bragin, and Chechersk Districts as Measured by Individual Radiation Counters, 1999–2003 (BELRAD Data) Measured by IRC children, % Children with exposure Date Location n (% of total inhabitants) dose ≥ 1 mSv/year June 1999 Grushevka 35 (18.6) 26 November 2001 44 (23.4) 11 April 2002 64 (34) 11 November 2001 Verbovichi 60 (20) 33 January 2002 65 (21.5) 9 April 2002 64 (21) 5 November 2002 41 (13.5) 20 December 2002 35 (11.6) 13 November 2003 51 (16.8) 20 November 2001 Golovchitsy 139 (33) 8 January 2002 56 (13.3) 4 November 2002 103 (24.5) 2 October 2003 130 (30.9) 2 January 1999 Demidov 109 (38.5) 10 November 2001 110 (38.8) 12 December 2001 91 (32.3) 9 April 2002 94 (33.2) 9 November 2002 75 (26.5) 12 January 2003 65 (23) 5 January 2000 Zavoit 51 (12.8) 4 November 2001 52 (13) 19 January 2002 49 (12.3) 2 October 2003 50 (12.5) 6 January 1999 Kyrov 94 (22.2) 16 March 1999 98 (23.1) 21 November 2001 92 (21.7) 22 January 2002 84 (19.8) 13 March 2002 91 (21.5) 22 April 2002 75 (17.7) 12 May 2002 90 (21.2) 12 June 2003 43 (10.1) 7 June 1999 Krasnovka 21 (11) 14 November 2001 Narovlya 34 5 January 2002 221 14 February 2002 170 8 November 2002 56 7 November 2003 140 6 December 2003 35 6 February 1999 Dublin 98 (28.3) 4 February 1999 Belyaevka 98 (23.8) 11 March 1999 96 (23.3) October 2001 81 (19.7) January 1999 Poles’e 132 (25.3) 14 October 1999 185 (35.4) 3 October 2001 95 (18.2) 25 November 2001 95 (18.2) 25 January 2002 148 (28.4) 11 April 2002 144 (27.6) 3 (Continued) Nesterenko et al.: Radioactive Contamination of Food and People 297 TABLE 12.7. Continued Measured by IRC children, % Children with exposure Date Location n (% of total inhabitants) dose ≥ 1 mSv/year January 2003 148 (28.4) 5 September 2003 141 (27) 9 November 2003 140 (26.8) 10 December 2001 Sydorovychi 84 (30.3) January 2002 105 (37.9) increased in the autumn and winter (third and fourth quarters) because of increased consumption of especially heavily contaminated foods (mushrooms, berries, wild animal meat). Milk contamination reflects forage with high levels of Cs-137 prepared for the winter. 3. Of about 300,000 children from heavily contaminated territories of Belarus who were tested by BELRAD from 1995 to 2007, some 70–90% had levels of Cs-137 accumulation higher than 15–20 Bq/kg (leading to 0.1 mSv/year internal irradiation). In many villages levels of Cs-137 accumulation reached 200–400 Bq/kg, and some children in Gomel and Brest provinces had levels up to 2,000 Bq/kg (up to 100 mSv/year) (Table 12.7). 4. Belarus and Ukraine, with levels of incorporation of 50 Bq/kg, which is common for territories with Cs-137 contamination of 555 kBq/m2, show an increase in various dis- Figure 12.4. Percentage of foodstuffs exceeding permissible levels of Cs-137 for the years 2000 to 2005, Valavsk Village, Gomel Province, Belarus (BELRAD data). The horizontal axis shows the year divided into quarters; the vertical axis indicates the percentage of foodstuffs in which levels exceeded the norm. eases and death rates and a decrease in the number of healthy children (Resolution, 2006; see also Chapter II). 5. High levels of the accumulation of Cs-137 have been found in a significant number of children in the Lel’chitsy District (Figure 12.6), the El’sk District (Figure 12.7), and the Chechersk District (Figure 12.8) of Gomel Province.Maximum levels of accumulation of Cs-137 (6,700– 7,300 Bq/kg) have been found in a significant number of children in the Narovlya District of Gomel Province. In many villages in this district up to 33% of children have dose levels exceeding the officially permissible 1 mSv/year (Figure 12.9). 6. The level of radionuclide incorporation is significantly different for different organs (Table 12.8). 7. Average Sr-90 concentration in the bodies of inhabitants of Gomel Province noticeably 298 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 12.5. Average specific activity of Cs-137 (Bq/kg) in children from Valavsk Village, Gomel Province, Belarus, from 2000 to 2005 (BELRAD data). increased from 1991 to 2000 (Borysevich and Poplyko, 2002). 8. The Pu body contamination of Gomel citizens 4–5 years after the Chernobyl accident is on average three to four times higher than global levels (Hohryakov et al., 1994). 12.2.2. Other Countries 1. DENMARK. Sr-90 and Cs-137 contamination occurs in humans, with Sr accumulating along with Ca and Cs occurring in the same tissues as K. The Sr-90 mean content in adult Figure 12.6. Cs-137 levels in children of Lel’chitsy District, Gomel Province, Belarus (Nesterenko, 2007). human vertebral bone collected in 1992 was 18 Bq (kg Ca)−1. Whole body measurements of Cs-137 were resumed after the Chernobyl accident. The measured mean level of Cs-137 in 1990 was 359 Bq (kg K)−1 (Aarkrog et al., 1995). 2. FINLAND. Peak body burdens in Finland in 1986 were 6,300 and 13,000 Bq for Cs-134 and for Cs-137, respectively (Rahola et al., 1987). The average Cs-137 body burden 17 years after the catastrophe for the entire country was about 200 Bq; for inhabitants of Padasyoki Figure 12.7. Cs-137 levels in children of El’sk District, Gomel Province, Belarus (Nesterenko, 2007). Nesterenko et al.: Radioactive Contamination of Food and People 299 Figure 12.8. Cs-137 levels in children of Chechersk District, Gomel Province, Belarus (Nesterenko, 2007). City it was 3,000 Bq (the maximum figure was 15,000 Bq). At the end of 1986 the mean Cs- 134 body burden was 730 Bq. The Cs-137 mean body burden increased from150 to 1,500 Bq in December 1986. The maximum levels of body burdens for Cs-134 and C-137 were Figure 12.9. Cs-137 levels in children of Narovlya District, Gomel Province, Belarus (Nesterenko, 2007). TABLE 12.8. Concentration (Bq/kg) of the Cs- 137 in Autopsied Organs (56 Persons), Gomel Province, 1997 (Bandazhevsky, 2003) Organ Concentration Thyroid 2,054 ± 288 Adrenal glands 1,576 ± 290 Pancreas 1,359 ± 350 Thymus 930 ± 278 Skeletal muscle 902 ± 234 Spleen 608 ± 109 Heart 478 ± 106 Liver 347 ± 61 6,300 and 13,000 Bq, respectively (Rahola et al., 1987). 3. JAPAN. Before the Chernobyl accident Cs- 137 body burdens were about 30 Bq, rising the year following 1986 to more than 50 Bq with values still increasing in May 1987. This compares to body burdens in England of 250–450 Bq (Uchiyama et al., 1998). Peak concentrations of I-131 in urine increased to 3.3 Bq/ml in adult males (Kawamura et al., 1988). Before the Chernobyl catastrophe Cs-137 body burdens were about 30 Bq, rising to more than 50 Bq in 1986 with values continuing to increase inMay 1987 (Uchiyama andKobayashi, 1988). 4. ITALY. Average I-131 thyroid incorporation for 51 adults was 6.5 Bq/g from May 3 to June 16, 1986 (Orlando et al., 1986). Peak urinary excretion of Cs-137 occurred 300 to 425 days after the main fallout cloud had passed on May 5, 1986: pv 15–20 Bq/day (Capra et al., 1989). 5. GERMANY AND FRANCE. There are data concerning human contamination by Chernobyl radionuclides outside of the Former Soviet Union. Figure 12.10 shows body burden levels of Cs-137 in Germany and France. 6. GREAT BRITAIN. Average Cs-134 + Cs- 137 body burden levels for adults in Scotland in 1986 after the catastrophe were: Cs-134, 172 Bq; Cs-137, 363 Bq; and K-40, 4,430 Bq. Peak concentrations were: Cs-134, 285 Bq and Cs- 137, 663 Bq (Watson, 1986). The Cs-137 body 300 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Figure 12.10. Body burden of Cs-137 (Bq) in humans in Munich, Germany: (A) males, (B) females); in Grenoble, France (C) adults (UNSCEAR, 1988). burden in England in 1987 was 250–450 Bq (Uchiyama and Kobayashi, 1988). The thyroid I-131 burden measured in the neck region was up to 33 Bq in adults and up to 16 Bq in children in Britain (Hill et al., 1986). 12.3. Conclusion All people living in territories heavily contaminated by Chernobyl fallout continue to be exposed to low doses of chronic radiation. Human beings do not have sense organs to detect ionizing radiation because it cannot be perceived by sight, smell, taste, hearing, or touch. Therefore without special equipment to identify levels of environmental contamination, it is impossible to know what radionuclide levels are in our food and water or have been incorporated into our bodies. The simplest way to ensure radiation safety in all areas contaminated by Chernobyl is to monitor food for incorporated radionuclides. Analysis of levels of incorporated gammaradionuclides by individual spectrometry (IRC) and radioactive monitoring of local food in many Belarussian locations have demonstrated a high correlation between Cs-137 food contamination and the amount of radionuclides in humans and, most importantly, in children. Chapter II of this volume detailed many cases of deterioration in public health associated with the Chernobyl radionuclide contamination. Many people suffer from continuing chronic low-dose radiation 23 years after the catastrophe, owing primarily to consumption of radioactively contaminated food. An important consideration is the fact that given an identical diet, a child’s radiation exposure is threeto fivefold higher than that of an adult. Since more than 90% of the radiation burden nowadays is due to Cs-137, which has a half-life of about 30 years, contaminated areas will continue to be dangerously radioactive for roughly the next three centuries. Experience has shown that existing official radioactive monitoring systems are inadequate (not only in the countries of the Former Soviet Union). Generally, the systems cover territories selectively, do not measure each person, and often conceal important facts when releasing information. The common factor among all governments is to minimize spending for which they are not directly responsible, such as the Chernobyl meltdown, which occurred 23 years ago. Thus officials are not eager to obtain objective data of radioactive contamination of communities, individuals, or food. Under such circumstances, which are common, an independent system of public monitoring is needed. Such an independent system is not a Nesterenko et al.: Radioactive Contamination of Food and People 301 substitute for official responsibility or control, but is needed to provide regular voluntary monitoring of food for each family, which would determine the radionuclide level in each person. We have to take responsibility not only for our own health, but for the health of future generations of humans, plants, and animals, which can be harmed by mutations resulting from exposure to even the smallest amount of radioactive contamination. References Aarkrog, A., Bøtter-Jensen, L., Chen, Q. J., Clausen, J. L., Dahlgaard, H., et al. (1995). Environmental Radioactivity in Denmark in 1992 and 1993, Risø-R-756 (Riso National Laboratory, Roskilde): 130 pp. (cited by RADNET, 2008). Ahman, B. & Ahman, G. (1994). Radiocesium in Swedish reindeer after the Chernobyl fallout: Seasonal variations and long-term decline. Health Physics 66(5): 506–508. Assikmakopoulos, P. A., Ioannides, K. G. & Pakou, A. (1987). Transport of radioisotopes iodine-131, cesium-134, and cesium-137 into cheese and cheesemaking products from the fallout following the accident at the Chernobyl nuclear reactor. J. Dairy Sci. 70: 1338–1343. Bandazhevsky,Yu. I. (2003). Cs-137 incorporation in children’s organs. Swiss Med. Week. 133: 488–490. Borysevich, N. Y. & Poplyko, I. Y. (2002). Scientific Solution of the Chernobyl Problems: Year 2001 Results (Radiology Institute, Minsk): 44 pp. (in Russian). Capra, E., Drigo, A. & Menin, A. (1989). Cesium-137 urinary excretion by northeastern (Pordenone) Italian people following theChernobyl nuclear accident. Health Physics 57(1): 99–106. Chernobyl Forum (2005). Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and Their Remediation: TwentyYears of Experience.Report of theUNChernobyl Forum Expert Group “Environment” (EGE). Working Draft, August 2005 (IAEA, Vienna): 280 pp. (//www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/ PDF/Pub1239_web.pdf). Chykin, M. (1997). Chernobyl spots on the map of France. Komsomol’skaya Pravda (Moscow), March 25: p. 6 (in Russian). Clark, M. J. (1986). Fallout from Chernobyl. J. Soc. Radiol. Prot. 6(4): 157–166. CunninghamW.C., AndersonD.L. & Baratta, E.J. (1994). Radionuclides in Domestic and Imported Foods in the United States, 1987–92. J. AOAC Int. 77(6): pp. 1422–1427. Danell, K., Nelin, P. & Wickman, G. (1989). Cesium-137 in Northern Swedish moose: The first year after the Chernobyl accident. Ambio 18(2): 108–111. Energy (2008). Chernobyl echo in Europe (//www. members.tripod.com/∼BRuslan/win/energe1.htm) (in Russian). Fox, B. (1988). Porous minerals soak up Chernobyl’s fallout. New Sci. 2: 36–38. Franic, Z., Marovic, G. & Lokobauer, N. (2006). Radiocesium activity concentration in wheat grain in the Republic of Croatia for the years 1965 to 2003 and dose assessment. Env. Monit. Assess. 115: 51–67. Hakanson, L., Andersson, T. & Nilsson, A. (1989). Radioactive cesium in fish in Swedish lakes 1986–1988: General pattern related to fallout and lake characteristics. J. Env. Radioact. 15(3): 207–230. HELCOMIndicator Fact Sheets (2006). (//www.helcom. fi/environment2/ifs/ifs2006/en). Hill, C. R., Adam, I., Anderson, W., Ott, R. J. & Sowby, F. D. (1986). Iodine-131 in human thyroids in Britain following Chernobyl. Nature 321: 655– 656. Hisamatsu, S., Takizawa, Y. & Abe, T. (1987). Reduction of I-131 content in leafy vegetables and seaweed by cooking. J. Rad. Res. 28(1): 135–140 (cited by RADNET, 2008). Hohryakov,V. F., Syslova,C.G.&Skryabin, A.M. (1994). Plutonium and the risk of cancer: A comparative analysis of Pu-body burdens due to releases from nuclear plants (Chelyabinsk-65, Gomel area) and global fallout. Sci. Total Env. 142(1–2): 101–104. Kawamura, H., Sakurai, Y., Shiraishi, K. & Yanagisawa, K. (1988). Concentrations of I-131 in the urine of Japanese adults and children following the Chernobyl nuclear accident. J. Env. Radioact. 6: 185– 189. Kliment, V. & Bucina, I. (1990). Contamination of food in Czechoslovakia by cesium radioisotopes from the Chernobyl accident. J. Env. Radioact. 12(2): 167– 178. Macalister, T. & Carter, H. (2009). Britain’s farmers still restricted by Chernobyl nuclear fallout. TheGuardian. 13 May. Mydans, S. (1987). Specter of Chernobyl looms over Bangladesh. New York Times, June 5 (cited by RADNET, 2008). Nesterenko, V. B. (2007). Radiation monitoring of inhabitants and their foodstuff in the Chernobyl zone of Belarus (Gomel region, Narovlya district). BELRAD Newsletter 30: 180 pp. (in Russian). Nishizawa, K., Takata, K., Hamada, N., Ogata, Y., Kojima S., et al. (1986). I-131 in milk and rain after Chernobyl. Nature 324: 308–309. 302 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Omelyanets, N. I. (2001). Radioecological situation and state of health of the victims in Ukraine as a result of Chernobyl catastrophe on the threshold of the third decade. International Conference. Health Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe: Strategy of Recovery (Abstracts, Kiev): pp. 15–16. Orlando, P., Gallelli, G., Perdelli, F., DeFlora, S. & Malcontenti, R. (1986). Alimentary restrictions and I- 131 in human thyroids. Nature 324: 23–24. Orlov, A. A. (2002). Accumulation of technogenic radionuclides by wild forest berry and medical plants. Chernobyl-Digest 6 (Minsk) (//www.biobel.bas-net. by/igc/ChD/Contents6_r.htm) (in Russian). RADNET (2008). Information about source points of anthropogenic radioactivity: A Freedom of Nuclear Information Resource (Davidson Museum, Liberty) (//www.davistownmuseum.org/cbm/Rad12.html) (accessed March 4, 2008). Rahola, T., Suomela, M., Illukka, E., Puhakainen, M. & Pusa, S. (1987). Radioactivity of people in Finland after the Chernobyl accident in 1986. Report STUK-A64 (Finnish Center for Radiation and Nuclear Safety, Helsinki) (cited by RADNET, 2008). Rantavaara, A. &Markkula,M.-L. (1999). Dietary intake of Cs-137 from mushrooms: Data and an example of methodology. Problems of Ecology in Forests and Forest Use in Ukrainian Poles’e (Zhytomir/Volyn) 6: 34– 38. Rantavaara, A., Nygren, T., Nygren, K. & Hyvonen, T. (1987). Radioactivity of game meat in Finland after the Chernobyl accident in 1986. Report STUK-A62 (Finnish Center for Radiation and Nuclear Safety, Helsinki) (cited by RADNET, 2008). Reizenstein, P. (1987). Carcinogenicity of radiation doses caused by theChernobyl fall-out in Sweden, and prevention of possible tumors. Med. Oncol. Tumor Pharmacother. 4(1): 1–5. Resolution (2006). International Conference. Medical Consequences of Chernobyl Catastrophe and Strategy to Surmount Them. May 29–June 3, 2006, Kiev (//www. ukraine3000.org.ua/img/forall/r-Rezol.rtf) (in Russian). Rosen, K., Andersson, I. & Lonsjo, H. (1995). Transfer of radiocesium from soil to vegetation and to grazing lambs in a mountain area in northern Sweden. J. Env. Radioact. 26: 237–257. Saxen, R. & Rantavaara, A. (1987). Radioactivity of fresh water fish in Finland after the Chernobyl accident in 1986. Report STUK-A61 (Finnish Center for Radiation and Nuclear Safety, Helsinki) (cited by RADNET, 2008). Uchiyama, M. & Kobayashi, S. (1988). Consequences of theChernobyl reactor accident and the Cs-137 internal dose to the Japanese population. J. Env. Radioact. 8: 119–127. UNSCEAR (1988). Sources, effects and risks of ionizing radiation. UNScientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation. Report to the General Assembly (United Nations, New York): 126 pp. Watson, W. S. (1986). Human Cs-134/Cs-137 levels in Scotland after Chernobyl. Nature 323: 763–764. WISE (1988a). Chernobyl. Italy. MA Nuova, Ecologia, Italy, Lega per l’Ambiente, April 22, cited by NuclearFiles.org (http://:www.nuclearfiles.org/ menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/issues/ accidents/accidents-1980%). WISE (1988b). Chernobyl. Mexico. LaVoz del Interior, January 31, 1988, cited by NuclearFiles.org (http://: www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclearweapons/ issues/accidents/accidents-1980%). WISE (1988c). Chernobyl. Turkey,WISE-Berlin, April 1, cited by NuclearFiles.org (http://:www.nuclearfiles. org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/issues/ accidents/accidents-1980%). Yoshida, S., Muramatsu, Y. & Ogawa, M. (1994). Radiocesium concentrations in mushrooms collected in Japan. J. Env. Radioact. 22(2): 141–154. CHERNOBYL 13. Decorporation of Chernobyl Radionuclides Vassily B. Nesterenko and Alexey V. Nesterenko Tens of thousands of Chernobyl children (mostly from Belarus) annually leave to receive treatment and health care in other countries. Doctors from many countries gratuitously work in the Chernobyl contaminated territories, helping to minimize the consequences of this most terrible technologic catastrophe in history. But the scale and spectrum of the consequences are so high, that no country in the world can cope alone with the long-term consequences of such a catastrophe as Chernobyl. The countries that have suffered the most, especially Ukraine and Belarus, extend gratitude for the help that has come through the United Nations and other international organizations, as well as from private funds and initiatives. Twenty-two years after the Chernobyl releases, the annual individual dose limit in heavily contaminated territories of Belarus, Ukraine, and EuropeanRussia exceed 1mSv/year just because of the unavoidable consumption of locally contaminated products. The 11-year experience of the BELRAD Institute shows that for effective radiation protection it is necessary to establish the interference level for children at 30% of the official dangerous limit (i.e., 15–20 Bq/kg). The direct whole body counting measurements of Cs-137 accumulation in the bodies of inhabitants of the heavily contaminated Belarussian region shows that the official Dose Catalogue underestimates the annual dose burdens by three to eight times. For practical reasons the curative-like use of apple-pectin food additives might be especially helpful for effective decorporation of Cs-137. From 1996 to 2007 a total of more than 160,000 Belarussian children received pectin food additives during 18 to 25 days of treatment (5 g twice a day). As a result, levels of Cs-137 in children’s organs decreased after each course of pectin additives by an average of 30 to 40%. Manufacture and application of various pectin-based food additives and drinks (using apples, currants, grapes, sea seaweed, etc.) is one of the most effective ways for individual radioprotection (through decorporation) under circumstances where consumption of radioactively contaminated food is unavoidable. There are three basic ways to decrease the radionuclide levels in the bodies of people living in contaminated territories: reduce the amount of radionuclides in the food consumed, accelerate removal of radionuclides from the body, and stimulate the body’s immune and other protective systems. Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Nesterenko, Institute of Radiation Safety (BELRAD), 2-nd Marusinsky St. 27, Minsk, 220053, Belarus. Fax: +375 17 289-03-85. anester@mail.ru 13.1. Reducing Radionuclides in Food Soaking in water, scalding, salting, and pickling foods such as mushrooms and vegetables and processing the fats in milk and cheeses can reduce the amount of radionuclides in some foods severalfold. Stimulation of the body’s natural defenses through the use of food additives that raise one’s resistance to irradiation is also useful. Among such additives are the antioxidant vitamins A andCand themicroelements I, Cu, Zn, Se, and Co, which interfere with free-radical 303 304 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences formation. The additives prevent the oxidation of organic substances caused by irradiation (lipid peroxidation). Various food supplements can stimulate immunity: sprouts of plants, such as wheat, seaweed (e.g., Spirulina), pine needles, mycelium, and others. Accelerating the removal of radionuclides is done in three ways (Rudnev et al., 1995; Trakhtenberg, 1995; Leggett et al., 2003; and many others): • Increase the stable elements in food to impede the incorporation of radionuclides. For example, K and Rb interfere with the incorporation of Cs; Ca interferes with Sr; and trivalent Fe interferes with the uptake of Pu. • Make use of the various food additives that can immobilize radionuclides. • Increase consumption of liquids to “wash away” radionuclides―infusions, juices, and other liquids as well as enriched food with dietary fiber. Decorporants (decontaminants) are preparations that promote the removal of incorporated radionuclides via excretion in feces and urine. Several effective decorporants specific for medical treatment of heavy radionuclide contamination are known (for Cs, Fe compounds; for Sr, alginates and barium sulfates; for Pu, ion-exchange resins, etc.). They are effective in cases of sudden contamination. In the heavily contaminated Belarussian, Ukrainian, and European Russian territories the situation is different. Daily exposure to small amounts of radionuclides (mostly Cs-137) is virtually unavoidable as they get into the body with food (up to 94%), with drinking water (up to 5%), and through the air (about 1%). Accumulation of radionuclides in the body is dangerous, primarily for children, and for those living in the contaminated territories where there are high levels of Cs-137 in local foodstuffs (see Chapter IV.12). The incorporation of radionuclides is now the primary cause of the deterioration of public health in the contaminated territories (see Chapter II for details), and all possible approaches should be employed to mitigate the consequences of that irradiation. There is evidence that incorporation of 50 Bq/kg of Cs-137 into a child’s body can produce pathological changes in vital organ systems (cardiovascular, nervous, endocrine, and immune), as well as in the kidneys, liver, eyes, and other organs (Bandazhevskaya et al., 2004). Such levels of radioisotope incorporation are not unusual in the Chernobyl-contaminated areas of Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia nowadays (see Chapter III.11 for details), which is why it is necessary to use any and all possible measures to decrease the level of radionuclide incorporation in people living in those territories. When children have the same menu as adults, they get up to five times higher dose burdens from locally produced foodstuffs because of their lower weight and more active processes of metabolism. Children living in rural villages have a dose burden five to six times higher than city children of the same age. 13.2. Results of Decontamination by the Pectin Enterosorbents It is known that pectin chemically binds cations such as Cs in the gastrointestinal tract and thereby increases fecal excretion. Research and development by the Ukrainian Center of Radiation Medicine (Porokhnyak-Ganovska, 1998) and the Belarussian Institute of Radiation Medicine and Endocrinology (Gres’ et al., 1997) have led to the conclusion that adding pectin preparations to the food of inhabitants of the Chernobyl-contaminated regions promotes an effective excretion of incorporated radionuclides. 1. In 1981, based on 2-year clinical tests, the Joint Committee of the World Health Organization (WHO) and the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) on Food Additives declared the pectinaceous enterosorbents effective and harmless for everyday use (WHO, 1981). Nesterenko & Nesterenko: Decorporation of Radionuclides 305 2. In Ukraine and Belarus various pectinbased preparations have been studied as agents to promote the excretion of incorporated radionuclides (Gres’, 1997; Ostapenko, 2002; Ukrainian Institute, 1997). The product based on the pectin from an aquatic plant (Zostera), known commercially as Zosterin-Ultra is a mass prophylaxis agent used in the Russian nuclear industry. As it is a nonassimilated pectin, the injection of zosterine into the bloodstream does not harmnutrition,metabolism, or other functions. Zosterin-Ultra in liquid form for oral administration was approved by the Ukrainian Ministry of Health (1998) and the Russian Ministry of Health (1999) as a biologically active (or therapeutic) food additive endowed with enterosorption and hemosorption properties. 3. In 1996, the BELRAD Institute initiated enterosorbent treatments based on pectin food additives (Medetopect, France; Yablopect, Ukraine) to accelerate the excretion of Cs- 137. In 1999 BELRAD together with “Hermes” Hmbh (Munich, Germany) developed a composition of apple pectin additives known as Vitapect powder, made up of pectin (concentration 18–20%) supplemented with vitamins B1, B2, B6, B12, C, E, beta-carotene, folic acid; the trace elements K, Zn, Fe, and Ca; and flavoring. BELRAD has been producing this food additive, which has been approved by the Belarussian Ministry of Health, since 2000. 4. In June–July 2001 BELRAD together with the association “Children of Chernobyl of Belarus” (France) in the Silver Springs sanatorium (Svetlogorsk City, Gomel Province) conducted a placebo-controlled double-blind study of 615 children with internal contamination who were treated with Vitapect (5 g twice a day) for a 3- week period. In children taking the Vitapect (together with clean food) Cs-137 levels were lowered much more effectively than in the control group, who had clean food combined with a placebo (Table 13.1 and Figure 13.1). 5. In another group of children the relative reduction in the specific activity of Cs-137 in the Vitapect-intake group was 32.4 ± 0.6%, TABLE 13.1. Decreased Cs-137 Concentration after Using Vitapect for 21 Days (Total 615 Children) in 2001 in the Silver Springs Belarussian Sanatorium (BELRAD Institute Data) Concentration of Cs-137, Bq/kg Group Before In 21 days Decrease,% Vitapect 30.1 ± 0.7 10.4 ± 1.0 63.6∗ Placebo 30.0 ± 0.9 25.8 ± 0.8 13.9 ∗p 0.001), with a mean effective halflife for Cs-137 in a body of 27 days for the pectin group, as compared with 69 days without pectin. This was a reduction of the effective half-life by a factor of 2.4. These results mean that the pectin additive Vitapect with clean nutrition appears to be 50% more effective in decreasing the levels of Cs-137 than clean nutrition alone (Nesterenko et al., 2004). 6. A clinical study of 94 children, 7 to 17 years of age, divided into two groups according to their initial level of Cs-137 contamination determined by whole body counting (WBC) and given Vitapect orally for 16 days (5 g twice a day) revealed both a significant decrease in incorporated Cs-137 and marked Figure 13.1. Decrease in levels of specific activity of Cs-137 in children’s bodies after Vitapect intake (5 g twice a day) for 21 days (Nesterenko et al., 2004). 306 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences TABLE 13.2. EKG Normalization Results in the Two Groups of Children Contaminated with Cs- 137 Treated with Vitapect (Bandazevskaya et al., 2004) Before After 16 days Normal Normal Group EKG,% Bq/kg EKG,% Bq/kg 1 72 38 ± 2.4 87 23 2 79 122 ± 18.5 93 88 improvement in their electrocardiograms (EKG; Table 13.2). 7. From 2001 to 2003 the association “Children of Chernobyl in Belarus” (France), Mitterand’s Fund (France), the Fund for Children of Chernobyl (Belgium), and the BELRAD Institute treated 1,400 children (10 schools serving 13 villages) in the Narovlyansky District, Gomel Province, in cycles in which the children received the pectin preparation Vitapect five times over the course of a year. The results demonstrated a three- to fivefold annual decrease in radioactive contamination in children who took the Vitapect. The results for one village can be seen in Figure 13.2. 8. There was concern that pectin enterosorbents remove not only Cs-137, but also vital microelements. Special studies were carried out in 2003 and 2004 within the framework of the Figure 13.2. Changes in average specific activity of Cs-137 (Bq/kg) in the bodies of children of Verbovichi Village, Narovlyansky District, Gomel Province. Averages for these data are shown. Dotted line indicates the periods of Vitapect intake (Nesterenko et al., 2004). TABLE 13.3. Results of Treatment of 46 Children for 30 Days in France in 2004 (BELRAD Institute Data) Concentration, Bq/kg Decrease, Before After % Vitapect 39.0 ± 4.4 24.6 ± 3.4 37∗ Placebo 29.6 ± 2.7 24.6 ± 2.1 17 ∗p fox > wild boar > roe deer > hare > duck > elk. 13. In contaminated territories the same species of fish taken from rivers and streams have significantly lower radionuclide levels than those from lakes and ponds. Phytophagous fish have three to four times lower radionuclide levels than predatory species (catfish, pike, etc.). Benthic fishes (crucian, tench, etc.) have several times more contamination than fish that live in the top water layers (small fry, chub, etc.). 14. There are some effective methods to significantly decrease radionuclide contamination in pond cultures by plowing fromthe pond bottom down to a depth up to 50 cm and washing with flowing water, applying potash fertilizers, and using vitamins and antioxidants (radioprotectants) as food additives for the fish (Slukvin and Goncharova, 1998). 14.3. Radiation Protection Measures in Everyday Life Instructions for radiation protection and self-help countermeasures can be found in Ramzaev, 1992; Nesterenko, 1997; Beresdorf andWright, 1999; Annenkov andAverin, 2003; Babenko, 2008; Parkhomenko et al., 2008; and many others. It is very important to avoid radionuclides in food and if they are consumed to try to eliminate them from the body as quickly as possible. In a baby, the biological half-life of Cs-137 is 14 days; for a 5-year old it is 21 days; for a 10-year old, 49 days; for teenagers, about 90 days; and for a young male, about 100 days (Nesterenko, 1997). 1. The most direct way of decreasing radionuclide intake is to avoid foods that are potentially heavily contaminated and to consume foodstuffs with lower levels. However, this is not easy to do because the average level of radionuclide bioaccumulation differs in each region owing to differences in soils, cultivars, agriculture techniques, etc. Several examples of differing levels of contamination are presented below. 1.1. Vegetables: Order of decreasing Cs-137 in some areas of Belarus: sweet pepper > cabbage >potatoes > beetroot > sorrel > lettuce > radish > onion > garlic > carrots > cucumbers > tomatoes. Order of decreasing levels in Gomel Province: sorrel > beans > radish > carrots > been root > potatoes > garlic > sweet pepper > tomatoes > squash > cucumbers > cabbage (kohlrabi) > cauliflower > colewort (Radiology Institute, 2003). 1.2. Berries: Order of decreasing Cs-137 among some berries: blueberry (Vaccinium myrtillus), cowberry (V. vitis-idaea), red and black currants (Ribes sp.), and cranberry (Oxycoccus) usually accumulate more Cs-137 than strawberry (Fragaria), gooseberry (Grossularia), white currant, raspberry (Rubus), and mountainash (Sorbus). 1.3. Meat: Order of decreasing Cs-137 in some meats: poultry > beef > mutton > pork. Meats from older animals have more radionuclides that meat from younger ones owing to accumulation over time. Bones of young animals have more Sr-90. Among visceral organs the order of decreasing levels of Cs-137 is: lung > kidney > liver > fat. 1.4. Eggs: Order of decreasing levels: shell > egg-white > yolk. 1.5. Fish: Predatory and benthic fishes (pike, perch, carp, catfish, tench, etc.) are more contaminated, and fish living in rivers and streams are always less contaminated than those from lakes and ponds. 1.6. Mushrooms: The cap usually contains more Cs-137 than the pedicle. Agaric (Agaricales) mushrooms usually concentrate more radionuclides than boletuses (Boletus). 2. The biological properties of Cs-137 are similar to those of stable K and Rb, and Sr-90 and Pu are similar to Ca. These properties determine where they concentrate in the body so the use of stable elements may help to decrease the absorption of radionuclides. 316 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Foods rich in K include potatoes, maize, beans, beets, raisins, dried apricots, tea, nuts, potatoes, lemons, and dried plums. Ca-rich foods include milk, eggs, legumes, horseradish, green onions, turnip, parsley, dill, and spinach. Green vegetables, apples, sunflower seeds, black chokeberries, and rye bread are rich in Fe; and Rb is found in red grapes. 3. A diet to protect against radioactive contamination should include uncontaminated fruits and vegetables, those rich in pectin, and those with high-fiber complexes to promote the rapid elimination of radionuclides. 4. High intake of fluids including fruit drinks helps promote excretion of contaminants in urine. 5. Daily addition of antioxidants (vitamins A, C, E, and the trace elements Zn, Co, Cu, and Se) is recommended. 6. Individuals exposed to radioactive contamination should consume special food additives such as Vitapect (see Chapter IV.13) and products made from apples, green algae (Spirulinae), fir-needles, etc. 7. There are several simple cooking techniques that decrease radionuclides: boil foods several times and discard the water, wash food thoroughly, soak some foods and discard the water, avoid the rinds of fruits and vegetables, salt and pickle some foods but throw away the pickling juice! Avoid eating strong bouillon, use rendered butter, etc. Experiences from around the world after the catastrophe show that citizens of countries that did not provide information and methods to counter the effects of the radioactive fallout fared more poorly than those in countries that did provide such help. In 1986 the effective individual dose to the “average” person in Bulgaria, where there was no emergency protection was 0.7 to 0.8 mSv, or about threefold higher than the dose for the “average” Norwegian. The Norwegian government placed a prohibition against eating leafy vegetables and drinking fresh milk, destroyed contaminated meat, maintained cattle in stalls, deactivated pastures and reservoirs, and mandated that prior to slaughter the cattle be fed on clean forage, etc. This disparity in contamination doses occurred even though the level of contamination in Bulgaria wasmeasurably lower than that in Norway (Energy, 2008). Since 1994, radiation exposure of individuals living in the contaminated territories of Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia has continued to increase owing to internal absorption of radionuclides― the most dangerous form of radiation exposure despite natural radioactive decay. Migration of Chernobyl radionuclides into soil root zones allows plants to absorb them, transport them to the surface, and incorporate them into edible portions of the plant. Agricultural and forest product radionuclides are introduced into food chains, significantly increasing the radiation danger for all who consume those foodstuffs. Today the most serious contaminating agents are Cs-137 and Sr-90. In coming years the situation will change and Am-241 will present a very serious problem (see Chapter I for details). For at least six to seven generations, vast territories of Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine must take special measures to control radiation exposure in agriculture, forestry, hunting, and fishing. So too must other countries with areas of high radioactive contamination, including Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Austria, France, and Germany. This means, that local economies will require external grants-in-aid and donations to minimize the level of radionuclides in all products because many areas simply do not have the funds to monitor, teach, and mandate protection. Thus the problem of contamination is dynamic and requires constant monitoring and control―for Cs-137 and Sr-90 pollution at least 150 to 300 years into the future. The contamination from the wider spectrum of radioisotopes is dynamic and will require constant monitoring and control essentially forever. Nesterenko & Nesterenko: Protective Measures for Activities 317 References Aleksakhin, R. M., Bagdevich, I. M., Fesenko, S. V., Sanzheva, N. I., Ageets, V. Yu. & Kashparov, V. A. (2006). Role of protective measures in rehabilitation of contaminated territories. International Conference. Chernobyl 20 Years After: Strategy for Recovering and Sustainable Development of Affected Territories. April 19–21, 2006, Minsk, Belarus (Materials, Minsk): pp. 103–108 (in Russian). Aleksakhin,R.M.,Vasyl’ev, A.V.&Dykarev,V.G. (1992). Agricultural Radioecology (“Ecologiya,” Moscow): 400 pp. (in Russian). Annenkov, B. N. & Averin, V. S. (2003). Agriculture in Radioactive Contaminated Areas: Radionuclides in Food (“Propiley,” Minsk): 84 pp. (in Russian). Babenko, V. I. (2008). How to protect yourself and your child from radiation (//www.belradinstitute. boom.ru/frameru.htm) (in Russian). Bagdevich, I. M., Putyatin, Yu. V., Shmigel’skaya, I. A., Tarasyuk, S.V.,Kas’yanchik, S. A.&Ivanyutenko,V. V. (2001). Agricultural Production on Radioactive Contaminated Territories (Institute for Soil Science and Agrochemistry, Minsk): 30 pp. (in Russian). Beresdorf, N, A. & Wright, S. M. (Eds.) (1999). Selfhelp countermeasure strategies for populations living within contaminated areas of the former Soviet Union and an assessment of land currently removed from agricultural usage. EC projects RESTORE (F14-CT95–0021) and RECLAIM (ERBIC15- CT96–0209) (Institute of Terrestrial Ecology, Monks Wood): 83 pp. Energy (2008). Chernobyl echo in Europe (//www. members.tripod.com/ ˜BRuslan /win / energe1.htm) (in Russian). Gudkov, I. N. (2006). Strategy of biological radiation protection of biota in radionuclide contaminated territories. In: Signa, A. A. & Durante, M. (Eds.), Radiation Risk Estimates in Normal and Emergency Situations (Dordrecht Springer, Berlin/London/New York): pp. 101–108. Ipat’ev, V. (2008). Clean soil under radio-contaminated forest: Is it real? Sci. Innovat. 61(3): 36–38 (in Russian). Kashparov, V. A., Lazarev, N. M. & Poletchyuk, S. V. (2005). Actual problems of agricultural radiology in Ukraine. Agroecolog. J. 3: 31–41 (in Ukrainian). Kenik, I. A. (Ed.) (1998). Belarus and Chernobyl: Priorities for Second Decade after the Accident (Belarus Ministry for Emergency Situations, Minsk): 92 pp. (in Russian). Maradudin, I. I., Panfylov, A.V.,Rusyna, T.V., Shubin,V. A., Bogachev, V. K., et al. (1997). Manual for forestry in Chernobyl radioactively contaminated zones (for period 1997–2000). Authorized by order N 40 from 1.03.97 of Russian Federal Forestry Service: 7 pp. (in Russian). National Belarussian Report (2006). Twenty Years after Chernobyl Catastrophe: Consequences for Belarus Republic and Its Surrounding Areas (Shevchuk, V. F. & Gurachevsky, V. L., Eds.) (Belarus National Publishers, Minsk): 112 pp. (in Russian). Nesterenko, V. B. (1997). Radiation monitoring of inhabitants and their foodstuffs in Chernobyl zone of Belarus. BELRAD Inform. Bull. 6 (“Pravo Ekonomika,” Minsk): 71 pp. (in Russian). Parkhomenko, V. I., Shutov, V. N., Kaduka, M. V., Kravtsova, O. S., Samiolenko, V. M., et al. (2008). Protection from radiation: Manual on radiation safety (//www.eco.scilib.debryansk.ru//2infres/ radiation/content.html) (in Russian). Radiology Institute (2003). Life in territory contaminated by radioactive substances (Radiology Institute, Gomel): 21 pp. (//www.mondoincammino. org/humus/azioni/docs/opuscolo.pdf) (in Russian). Ramzaev, P. V. (Ed.) (1992). Recommendations to public on behavior on radionuclide contaminated territory (“IzDAT,” Moscow): 16 pp. (in Russian). Slukvin, A. M. & Goncharova, R. I. (1998). Pond carp defenses from low doses on outer and inner chronic irradiation. Chernobyl Ecol. Health (Gomel) 2(6): 56–57 (in Russian). CHERNOBYL 15. Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe for Public Health and the Environment 23 Years Later Alexey V. Yablokov, Vassily B. Nesterenko, and Alexey V. Nesterenko More than 50% of Chernobyl’s radionuclideswere dispersed outside of Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia and caused fallout as far away as North America. In 1986 nearly 400 million people lived in areas radioactively contaminated at a level higher than 4 kBq/m2 and nearly 5 million individuals are still being exposed to dangerous contamination. The increase in morbidity, premature aging, and mutations is seen in all the contaminated territories that have been studied. The increase in the rates of total mortality for the first 17 years in European Russia was up to 3.75% and in Ukraine it was up to 4.0%. Levels of internal irradiation are increasing owing to plants absorbing and recycling Cs-137, Sr-90, Pu, and Am. During recent years, where internal levels of Cs-137 have exceeded 1 mSv/year, which is considered “safe,” it must be lowered to 50 Bq/kg in children and to 75 Bq/kg in adults. Useful practices to accomplish this include applying mineral fertilizers on agricultural lands, K and organosoluble lignin on forestlands, and regular individual consumption of natural pectin enterosorbents. Extensive international help is needed to provide radiation protection for children, especially in Belarus, where over the next 25 to 30 years radionuclides will continue to contaminate plants through the root layers in the soil. Irradiated populations of plants and animals exhibit a variety of morphological deformities and have significantly higher levels of mutations that were rare prior to 1986. The Chernobyl zone is a “black hole”: some species may persist there only via immigration from uncontaminated areas. The explosion of the fourth block of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in Ukraine on April, 26, 1986 was the worst technogenic accident in history. The information presented in the first 14 parts of this volume was abstracted from the several thousand cited scientific papers and other materials. What follows here is a summary of the main results of this metaanalysis of the consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe. The principal methodological approach of this meta-review is to reveal the consequences Address for correspondence: Alexey V. Yablokov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Leninsky Prospect 33, Office 319, 119071 Moscow, Russia. Voice: +7-495-952-80-19; fax: +7-495-952-80-19. Yablokov@ecopolicy.ru of Chernobyl by comparing differences among populations, including territories or subgroups that had and have different levels of contamination but are comparable to one another in ethnic, biologic, social, and economic characteristics. This approach is clearly more valid than trying to find “statistically significant” correlations between population doses that are impossible to quantify after the fact and health outcomes that are defined precisely by morbidity and mortality data. 15.1. The Global Scale of the Catastrophe 1. As a result of the catastrophe, 40% of Europe was contaminated with dangerous 318 Yablokov et al.: Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe 319 radioactivity. Asia and North America were also exposed to significant amounts of radioactive fallout. Contaminated countries include Austria, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Romania, Great Britain, Germany, Italy, France, Greece, Iceland, and Slovenia, as well as wide territories in Asia, including Turkey, Georgia, Armenia, The Emirates, China, and northernAfrica. Nearly 400 million people lived in areas with radioactivity at a level exceeding 4 kBq/m2 (≥0.1 Ci/km2) during the period from April to July 1986. 2. Belarus was especially heavily contaminated. Twenty-three years after the catastrophe nearly 5 million people, including some 1 million children, live in vast areas of Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia where dangerous levels of radioactive contamination persist (see Chapter 1). 3. The claim by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR), and several other groups that the Chernobyl radioactive fallout adds “only”2%to the natural radioactive background ignores several facts: • First, many territories continue to have dangerously high levels of radiation. • Second, high levels of radiation were spread far and wide in the first weeks after the catastrophe. • Third, there will be decades of chronic, low-level contamination after the catastrophe (Fig. 15.1). • Fourth, every increase in nuclear radiation has an effect on both somatic and reproductive cells of all living things. 4. There is no scientific justification for the fact that specialists from IAEA and the World Health Organization (WHO) (Chernobyl Forum, 2005) completely neglected to cite the extensive data on the negative consequences of radioactive contamination in areas other than Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia, Figure 15.1. Total additional radioactivity (in petabequerels) in the global environment after the Chernobyl catastrophe: (1) Am-241, (2) Pu (239 + 240), (3) Pu-241, (4) Sr-90, (5) Cs-137, (6) I-131 (Mulev, 2008). where about 57% of the Chernobyl radionuclides were deposited. 15.2. Obstacles to Analysis of the Chernobyl Consequences 1. Among the reasons complicating a fullscale estimation of the impact of the Chernobyl catastrophe on health are the following: • Official secrecy and unrectifiable falsification of Soviet Union medical statistics for the first 3.5 years after the catastrophe. • Lack of detailed and clearly reliable medical statistics in Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia. • Difficulties in estimating true individual radioactive doses in view of: (a) reconstruction of doses in the first days, weeks, and months after the catastrophe; (b) uncertainty as to the influence of individual “hot particles”; (c) problems accounting for uneven and spotty contamination; and (d) inability to determine the influence of each of many radionuclides, singly and in combination. 320 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences • Inadequacy of modern knowledge as to: (a) the specific effect of each of the many radionuclides; (b) synergy of interactions of radionuclides among themselves and with other environmental factors; (c) population and individual variations in radiosensitivity; (d) impact of ultralow doses and dose rates; and (e) impact of internally absorbed radiation on various organs and biological systems. 2. The demand by IAEA and WHO experts to require “significant correlation” between the imprecisely calculated levels of individual radiation (and thus groups of individuals) and precisely diagnosed illnesses as the only iron clad proof to associate illness with Chernobyl radiation is not, in our view, scientifically valid. 3. We believe it is scientifically incorrect to reject data generated by many thousands of scientists, doctors, and other experts who directly observed the suffering of millions affected by radioactive fallout in Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia as “mismatching scientific protocols.” It is scientifically valid to find ways to abstract the valuable information from these data. 4. The objective information concerning the impact of the Chernobyl catastrophe on health can be obtained in several ways: • Compare morbidity and mortality of territories having identical physiographic, social, and economic backgrounds and that differ only in the levels and spectra of radioactive contamination to which they have been and are being exposed. • Compare the health of the same group of individuals during specific periods after the catastrophe. • Compare the health of the same individual in regard to disorders linked to radiation that are not a function of age or sex (e.g., stable chromosomal aberrations). • Compare the health of individuals living in contaminated territories by measuring the level of incorporated Cs-137, Sr-90, Pu, and Am. This method is especially effective for evaluating children who were born after the catastrophe. • Correlate pathological changes in particular organs by measuring their levels of incorporated radionuclides. The objective documentation of the catastrophe’s consequences requires the analysis of the health status of about 800,000 liquidators, hundreds of thousands of evacuees, and those who voluntary left the contaminated territories of Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia (and their children), who are now living outside of these territories, even in other countries. 5. It is necessary to determine territories in Asia (including Trans-Caucasus, Iran, China, Turkey, Emirates), northern Africa, and North America that were exposed to the Chernobyl fallout from April to July 1986 and to analyze detailed medical statistics for these and surrounding territories. 15.3. Health Consequences of Chernobyl 1. A significant increase in generalmorbidity is apparent in all the territories contaminated by Chernobyl that have been studied. 2. Among specific health disorders associated with Chernobyl radiation there are increased morbidity and prevalence of the following groups of diseases: • Circulatory system (owing primarily to radioactive destruction of the endothelium, the internal lining of the blood vessels). • Endocrine system (especially nonmalignant thyroid pathology). • Immune system (“Chernobyl AIDS,” increased incidence and seriousness of all illnesses). • Respiratory system. • Urogenital tract and reproductive disorders. • Musculoskeletal system (including pathologic changes in the structure and Yablokov et al.: Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe 321 composition of bones: osteopenia and osteoporosis). • Central nervous system (changes in frontal, temporal, and occipitoparietal lobes of the brain, leading to diminished intelligence and behaviorial and mental disorders). • Eyes (cataracts, vitreous destruction, refraction anomalies, and conjunctive disorders). • Digestive tract. • Congenital malformations and anomalies (including previously rare multiple defects of limbs and head). • Thyroid cancer (All forecasts concerning this cancer have been erroneous; Chernobyl-related thyroid cancers have rapid onset and aggressive development, striking both children and adults. After surgery the person becomes dependent on replacement hormone medication for life.) • Leukemia (blood cancers) not only in children and liquidators, but in the general adult population of contaminated territories. • Other malignant neoplasms. 3. Other health consequences of the catastrophe: • Changes in the body’s biological balance, leading to increased numbers of serious illnesses owing to intestinal toxicoses, bacterial infections, and sepsis. • Intensified infectious and parasitic diseases (e.g., viral hepatitis and respiratory viruses). • Increased incidence of health disorders in children born to radiated parents (both to liquidators and to individuals who left the contaminated territories), especially those radiated in utero. These disorders, involving practically all the body’s organs and systems, also include genetic changes. • Catastrophic state of health of liquidators (especially liquidators who worked in 1986–1987). • Premature aging in both adults and children. • Increased incidence of multiple somatic and genetic mutations. 4. Chronic diseases associated with radioactive contamination are pervasive in liquidators and in the population living in contaminated territories. Among these individuals polymorbidity is common; that is, people are often afflicted by multiple illnesses at the same time. 5. Chernobyl has “enriched”worldmedicine with such terms, as “cancer rejuvenescence,” as well as three new syndromes: • “Vegetovascular dystonia”―dysfunctional regulation of the nervous system involving cardiovascular and other organs (also called autonomic nervous system dysfunction), with clinical signs that present against a background of stress. • “Incorporated long-life radionuclides”― functional and structural disorders of the cardiovascular, nervous, endocrine, reproductive, and other systems owing to absorbed radionuclides. • “Acute inhalation lesions of the upper respiratory tract”―a combination of a rhinitis, throat tickling, dry cough, difficulty breathing, and shortness of breath owing to the effect of inhaled radionuclides, including “hot particles.” 6. Several new syndromes, reflecting increased incidence of some illnesses, appeared after Chernobyl. Among them: • “Chronic fatigue syndrome”―excessive and unrelieved fatigue, fatigue without obvious cause, periodic depression, memory loss, diffusemuscular and joint pains, chills and fever, frequentmood changes, cervical lymph node sensitivity, weight loss; it is also often associated with immune system dysfunction and CNS disorders. • “Lingering radiating illness syndrome”―a combination of excessive fatigue, dizziness, trembling, and back pain. • “Early aging syndrome”―a divergence between physical and chronological age 322 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences with illnesses characteristic of the elderly occurring at an early age. 7. Specific Chernobyl syndromes such as “radiation in utero,” “Chernobyl AIDS,” “Chernobyl heart,” “Chernobyl limbs,” and others await more detailed definitive medical descriptions. 8. The full picture of deteriorating health in the contaminated territories is still far from complete, despite a large quantity of data. Medical, biological, and radiological research must expand and be supported to provide the full picture of Chernobyl’s consequences. Instead this research has been cut back in Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus. 9. Deterioration of public health (especially of children) in the Chernobyl-contaminated territories 23 years after the catastrophe is not due to psychological stress or radiophobia, or from resettlement, but is mostly and primarily due to Chernobyl irradiation. Superimposed upon the first powerful shock in 1986 is continuing chronic low-dose and low-dose-rate radionuclide exposure. 10. Psychological factors (“radiation phobia”) simply cannot be the defining reason because morbidity continued to increase for some years after the catastrophe, whereas radiation concerns have decreased. And what is the level of radiation phobia among voles, swallows, frogs, and pine trees, which demonstrate similar health disorders, including increased mutation rates? There is no question but that social and economic factors are dire for those sick from radiation. Sickness, deformed and impaired children, death of family and friends, loss of home and treasured possessions, loss of work, and dislocation are serious financial and mental stresses. 15.4. Total Number of Victims 1. Early official forecasts by IAEA andWHO predicted few additional cases of cancer. In 2005, the Chernobyl Forum declared that the total death toll from the catastrophe would be about 9,000 and the number of sick about 200,000. These numbers cannot distinguish radiation-related deaths and illnesses from the natural mortality and morbidity of a huge population base. 2. Soon after the catastrophe average life expectancy noticeably decreased and morbidity and mortality increased in infants and the elderly in the Soviet Union. 3. Detailed statistical comparisons of heavily contaminated territories with less contaminated ones showed an increase in the mortality rate in contaminated European Russia and Ukraine of up to 3.75% and 4.0%, respectively, in the first 15 to 17 years after the catastrophe. 4. According to evaluations based on detailed analyses of official demographic statistics in the contaminated territories of Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia, the additional Chernobyl death toll for the first 15 years after the catastrophe amounted to nearly 237,000 people. It is safe to assume that the total Chernobyl death toll for the period from 1987 to 2004 has reached nearly 417,000 in other parts of Europe, Asia, and Africa, and nearly 170,000 in North America, accounting for nearly 824,000 deaths worldwide. 5. The numbers of Chernobyl victims will continue to increase for several generations. 15.5. Chernobyl Releases and Environmental Consequences 1. Displacement of the long half-life Chernobyl radionuclides by water, winds, and migrating animals causes (and will continue to cause) secondary radioactive contamination hundreds and thousands of kilometers away from the Ukrainian Chernobyl Nuclear Power Station. 2. All the initial forecasts of rapid clearance or decay of the Chernobyl radionuclides from ecosystemswere wrong: it is takingmuch longer than predicted because they recirculate. The overall state of the contamination in water, air, Yablokov et al.: Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe 323 and soil appears to fluctuate greatly and the dynamics of Sr-90, Cs-137, Pu, and Am contamination still present surprises. 3. As a result of the accumulation of Cs-137, Sr-90, Pu, and Am in the root soil layer, radionuclides have continued to build in plants over recent years. Moving with water to the above-ground parts of plants, the radionuclides (which earlier had disappeared from the surface) concentrate in the edible components, resulting in increased levels of internal irradiation and dose rate in people, despite decreasing total amounts of radionuclides from natural disintegration over time. 4. As a result of radionuclide bioaccumulation, the amount in plants, mushrooms, and animals can increase 1,000-fold as compared with concentrations in soil and water. The factors of accumulation and transition vary considerably by season even for the same species, making it difficult to discern dangerous levels of radionuclides in plants and animals that appear to be safe to eat. Only direct monitoring can determine actual levels. 5. In 1986 the levels of irradiation in plants and animals in Western Europe, North America, the Arctic, and eastern Asia were sometimes hundreds and even thousands of times above acceptable norms. The initial pulse of high-level irradiation followed by exposure to chronic low-level radionuclides has resulted in morphological, physiological, and genetic disorders in all the living organisms in contaminated areas that have been studied― plants, mammals, birds, amphibians, fish, invertebrates, bacteria, and viruses. 6. Twenty years after the catastrophe all gameanimals in contaminated areas of Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia have high levels of the Chernobyl radionuclides. It is still possible to find elk, boar, and roe deer that are dangerously contaminated in Austria, Sweden, Finland, Germany, Switzerland, Norway, and several other countries. 7. All affected populations of plants and animals that have been the subjects of detailed studies exhibit a wide range of morphological deformities that were rare or unheard of prior to the catastrophe. 8. Stability of individual development (determined by level of fluctuating symmetry―a specific method for detecting the level of individual developmental instability) is lower in all the plants, fishes, amphibians, birds, and mammals that were studied in the contaminated territories. 9. The number of the genetically anomalous and underdeveloped pollen grains and spores in the Chernobyl radioactively contaminated soils indicates geobotanical disturbance. 10. All of the plants, animals, and microorganisms that were studied in the Chernobyl contaminated territories have significantly higher levels of mutations than those in less contaminated areas. The chronic low-dose exposure in Chernobyl territories results in a transgenerational accumulation of genomic instability, manifested in cellular and systemic effects. The mutation rates in some organisms increased during the last decades, despite a decrease in the local level of radioactive contamination. 11. Wildlife in the heavily contaminated Chernobyl zone sometimes appears to flourish, but the appearance is deceptive. According to morphogenetic, cytogenetic, and immunological tests, all of the populations of plants, fishes, amphibians, and mammals that were studied there are in poor condition. This zone is analogous to a “black hole”―some species may only persist there via immigration from uncontaminated areas. The Chernobyl zone is the microevolutionary “boiler,” where gene pools of living creatures are actively transforming, with unpredictable consequences. 12. What happened to voles and frogs in the Chernobyl zone shows what can happen to humans in coming generations: increasing mutation rates, increasing morbidity and mortality, reduced life expectancy, decreased intensity of reproduction, and changes in male/female sex ratios. 13. For better understanding of the processes of transformation of the wildlife in the 324 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences Chernobyl-contaminated areas, radiobiological and other scientific studies should not be stopped, as has happened everywhere in Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia, but must be extended and intensified to understand and help to mitigate expected and unexpected consequences. 15.6. Social and Environmental Efforts to Minimize the Consequences of the Catastrophe 1. For hundreds of thousands of individuals (first of all, in Belarus, but also in vast territories of Ukraine, Russia, and in some areas of other countries) the additional Chernobyl irradiation still exceeds the considered “safe” level of 1 mSv/year. 2. Currently for people living in the contaminated regions of Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia, 90% of their irradiation dose is due to consumption of contaminated local food, so measures must be made available to rid their bodies of incorporated radionuclides (see Chapter IV.12–14). 3. Multiple measures have been undertaken to produce clean food and to rehabilitate the people of Belarus, Ukraine, and European Russia. These include application of additional amounts of select fertilizers, special programs to reduce levels of radionuclides in farm products and meat, organizing radionuclide-free food for schools and kindergartens, and special programs to rehabilitate children by periodically relocating them to uncontaminated places. Unfortunately these measures are not sufficient for those who depend upon food from their individual gardens, or local forests, and waters. 4. It is vitally necessary to develop measures to decrease the accumulation of Cs-137 in the bodies of inhabitants of the contaminated areas. These levels, which are based upon available data concerning the effect of incorporated radionuclides on health, are 30 to 50 Bq/kg for children and 70 to 75 Bq/kg for adults. In some Belarus villages in 2006 some children had levels up to 2,500 Bq/kg! 5. The experience of BELRAD Institute in Belarus has shown that active decorporation measures should be introduced when Cs-137 levels become higher than 25 to 28 Bq/kg. This corresponds to 0.1 mSv/year, the same level that according to UNSCEAR a person inevitably receives from external irradiation living in the contaminated territories. 6. Owing to individual and family food consumption and variable local availability of food, permanent radiation monitoring of local food products is needed along with measurement of individual radionuclide levels, especially in children. There must be general toughening of allowable local food radionuclide levels. 7. In order to decrease irradiation to a considered safe level (1 mSv/year) for those in contaminated areas of Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia it is good practice to: • Applymineral fertilizers not less than three times a year on all agricultural lands, including gardens, pastures, and hayfields. • Add K and soluble lignin to forest ecosystems within a radius up to 10 km from settlements for effective reduction of Cs-137 inmushrooms, nuts, and berries, which are important local foods. • Provide regular individual intake of natural pectin enterosorbents (derived from apples, currants, etc.) for 1 month at least four times a year and include juices with pectin daily for children in kindergartens and schools to promote excretion of radionuclides. • Undertake preventive measures for milk, meat, fish, vegetables, and other local food products to reduce radionuclide levels. • Use enterosorbents (ferrocyanides, etc.) when fattening meat animals. 8. To decrease the levels of illness and promote rehabilitation it is a good practice in the contaminated areas to provide: Yablokov et al.: Consequences of the Chernobyl Catastrophe 325 • Annual individual determination of actual levels of incorporated radionuclides using a whole-body radiation counter (for children, this must be done quarterly). • Reconstruction of all individual external irradiation levels from the initial period after the catastrophe using EPR-dosimetry and measurement of chromosomal aberrations, etc. This should include all victims, including those who left contaminated areas―liquidators, evacuees, and voluntary migrants and their children. • Obligatory genetic consultations in the contaminated territories (and voluntary for all citizens of childbearing age) for the risks of severe congenital malformations in offspring. Using the characteristics and spectra of mutations in the blood or bone marrow of future parents, it is possible to define the risk of giving birth to a child with severe genetic malformations and thus avoid family tragedies. • Prenatal diagnosis of severe congenital malformations and support for programs for medical abortions for families living in the contaminated territories of Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia. • Regular oncological screening and preventive and anticipatory medical practices for the population of the contaminated territories. 9. The Chernobyl catastrophe clearly shows that it is impossible to provide protection from the radioactive fallout using only national resources. In the first 20 years the direct economic damage to Belarus, Ukraine, andRussia has exceeded 500 billion dollars. To mitigate some of the consequences, Belarus spends about 20% of its national annual budget, Ukraine up to 6%, and Russia up to 1%. Extensive international help will be needed to protect children for at least the next 25 to 30 years, especially those in Belarus because radionuclides remain in the root layers of the soil. 10. Failure to provide stable iodine in April 1986 for those in the contaminated territories led to substantial increases in the number of victims. Thyroid disease is one of the first consequences when a nuclear power plant fails, so a dependable system is needed to get this simple chemical to all of those in the path of nuclear fallout. It is clear that every country with nuclear power plants must help all countries stockpile potassium iodine in the event of another nuclear plant catastrophe. 11. The tragedy of Chernobyl shows that societies everywhere (and especially in Japan, France, India, China, the United States, and Germany) must consider the importance of independent radiation monitoring of both food and individual irradiation levels with the aim of ameliorating the danger and preventing additional harm. 12. Monitoring of incorporated radionuclides, especially in children, is necessary around every nuclear power plant. This monitoring must be independent of the nuclear industry and the data results must be made available to the public. 15.7. Organizations Associated with the Nuclear Industry Protect the Industry First―Not the Public 1. An important lesson from the Chernobyl experience is that experts and organizations tied to the nuclear industry have dismissed and ignored the consequences of the catastrophe. 2. Within only 8 or 9 years after the catastrophe a universal increase in cataracts was admitted by medical officials. The same occurred with thyroid cancer, leukemia, and organic central nervous system disorders. Foot-dragging in recognizing obvious problems and the resultant delays in preventing exposure and mitigating the effects lies at the door of nuclear power advocates more interested in preserving the status quo than in helping millions of innocent people who are suffering through no fault of their own. It need to change official agreement between WHO and IAEA (WHO, 1959) providing hiding from public of any 326 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences information which can be unwanted of nuclear industry. 15.8. It Is Impossible to Forget Chernobyl 1. The growing data about of the negative consequences of the Chernobyl catastrophe for public health and nature does not bode well for optimism. Without special large-scale national and international programs, morbidity and mortality in the contaminated territories will increase. Morally it is inexplicable that the experts associated with the nuclear industry claim: “It is time to forget Chernobyl.” 2. Sound and effective international and national policy for mitigation and minimization of Chernobyl’s consequences must be based on the principle: “It is necessary to learn and minimize the consequences of this terrible catastrophe.” 15.9. Conclusion U.S. President John F. Kennedy speaking about the necessity to stop atmospheric nuclear tests said in June 1963: . . . The number of children and grandchildren with cancer in their bones, with leukemia in their blood, or with poison in their lungs might seem statistically small to some, in comparison with natural health hazards, but this is not a natural health hazard―and it is not a statistical issue. The loss of even one human life or the malformation of even one baby―who may be born long after we are gone―should be of concern to us all. Our children and grandchildren are not merely statistics toward which we can be indifferent. The Chernobyl catastrophe demonstrates that the nuclear industry’s willingness to risk the health of humanity and our environment with nuclear power plants will result, not only theoretically, but practically, in the same level of hazard as nuclear weapons. References Chernobyl Forum (2005). Environmental Consequences of the Chernobyl Accident and Their Remediation: Twenty Years of Experience. Report of the UN Chernobyl Forum Expert Group “Environment” (EGE) Working Draft, August 2005 (IAEA, Vienna): 280 pp. (//www-pub.iaea.org/ MTCD/publications/PDF/Pub1239_web.pdf). Kennedy, J. F. (1963). Radio/TV address regarding the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, July 26, 1963 (//www.ratical. org/radiation/inetSeries/ChernyThyrd.html). Mulev, St. (2008). Chernobyl’s continuing hazards. BBC News website, April 25, 17.25. GMT (//www. news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/4942828.stm). WHO (1959). Resolution World Health Assembly. Rez WHA 12–40, Art. 3, §1(//www.resosol. org/InfoNuc/IN_DI.OMS_AIEA.htm). CHERNOBYL Conclusion to Chapter IV In the last days of spring and the beginning of summer of 1986, radioactivity was released from the Chernobyl power plant and fell upon hundreds of millions of people. The resulting levels of radionuclides were hundreds of times higher than that from the Hiroshima atomic bomb. The normal lives of tens of millions have been destroyed. Today, more than 6 million people live on land with dangerous levels of contamination―land that will continue to be contaminated for decades to centuries. Thus the daily questions: how to live and where to live? In the territories contaminated by the Chernobyl fallout it is impossible to engage safely in agriculture; impossible to work safely in forestry, in fisheries, and hunting; and dangerous to use local foodstuffs or to drink milk and even water. Those who live in these areas ask how to avoid the tragedy of a son or daughter born with malformations caused by irradiation. Soon after the catastrophe these profound questions arose among liquidators’ families, often too late to avoid tragedy. During this time, complex measures to minimize risks in agriculture and forestry were developed for those living in contaminated territories, including organizing individual radiation protection, support for radioactive-free agricultural production, and safer ways to engage in forestry. Most of the efforts to help people in the contaminated territories are spearheaded by state-run programs. The problem with these programs is the dual issue of providing help while hoping to minimize charges that Chernobyl fallout has caused harm. To simplify life for those suffering irradiation effects a tremendous amount of educational and organizationalwork has to be done to monitor incorporated radionuclides, monitor (without exception) all foodstuffs, determine individual cumulative doses using objective methods, and provide medical and genetic counseling, especially for children. More than 20 years after the catastrophe, by virtue of the natural migration of radionuclides the resultant danger in these areas has not decreased, but increases and will continue to do so for many years to come. Thus there is the need to expand programs to help people still suffering in the contaminated territories, which requires international, national, state, and philanthropic assistance. 327
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