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「ポスト・カダフィ」に動くリビア反体制派、しかし情勢はまだ流動的 AFP
http://www.asyura2.com/10/kokusai5/msg/551.html
投稿者 ダイナモ 日時 2011 年 3 月 02 日 18:35:58: mY9T/8MdR98ug
 

http://www.afpbb.com/article/war-unrest/2788396/6896725


【3月2日 AFP】リビアの最高指導者ムアマル・カダフィ(Moamer Kadhafi)大佐の退陣を求める反体制派が、政権打倒の方法をめぐる意見の違いを残しながらも、混沌とした抗議運動から急速に「もうひとつの政府」に進化しつつある。

 41年間に及ぶカダフィ大佐の強権支配に対する反乱は最初の数日間で多数の死者を出した。その後北東部ベンガジ(Benghazi)などの都市で組織され始めた反体制派による政治評議会や軍事評議会が、「カダフィ後」の構想を描き始めている。

 リビアの国連代表団の1人は1日、カダフィ大佐が首都トリポリ(Tripoli)の守りを固め、とどまり続けたとしても、暫定政権が機能し始めるだろうと語った。また陸軍の離反組も、カダフィ政権に対抗する反体制派との統一戦線構築に向けた検討を始めたと言う。

■反体制各派に意見の隔たり、治安部隊の反撃にも懸念

 しかし、こうした評議会が移行期のリビアの顔になるとしても、その内部には欧米諸国の武力介入による空爆の必要性から評議会の構成に至るまで、多くの点で意見の隔たりがある。

 例えば停止している公共サービスを再開させようと奮闘する中、反体制派の多くが懸念しているのはカダフィ大佐の治安部隊との力の差だ。反体制派がリビア東部の拠点から西部に突き進もうとした場合、統制のとれていない自分たちの部隊が、治安部隊に圧倒されてしまう可能性を恐れている。

 また西部では、一度は反体制派が掌握した都市でも、政府軍やカダフィ支持勢力が反転攻勢に出ている。反体制派が強い東部でも、カダフィ側の妨害工作員が入り込んでいないかどうか自主的に夜間パトロールを行っているほか、対空砲を配置するなどさらなる政府軍の空爆を恐れて緊張が高まっている。

■情勢はまだ流動的

 こうした恐怖と不安のなかで暫定的な権力が姿を現しつつあるが、情勢は混沌としている。司法書記(法相)を辞任したムスタファ・アブドルジャリル(Mustafa Abdel Jalil)氏は27日に東部のバイダ(Baida)で暫定評議会の発足を宣言したが、その翌日にはベンガジの反体制派も具体的な参加者の顔ぶれを明らかにすることなく独自の評議会の発足を発表した。

 リビアのイブラヒム・ダバシ(Ibrahim Dabbashi)国連次席大使はAFPの取材に対し、暫定政府の拠点はまずベンガジに置かれ、トリポリが「解放」された後にトリポリに移るだろうと語った。

 一方、カダフィ政権に対する武力行使の是非をめぐって割れている国際社会も、カダフィ政権後に目を向けている。米国のスーザン・ライス(Susan Rice)国連大使は、米政府はすでに反体制派の指導者たちに幅広く接触しており、リビア国民が「正当だと感じられる組織や政党、機構」作りを支援していくと表明した。(c)AFP/Samer al-Atrush
 

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コメント
 
01. 2011年3月02日 21:15:03: S07uAUZ1Bg
ダイナモ氏は個人?むしろ組織か。
コメントを一切つけないのも、赤かぶと同じ。
質問だよ。
マスコミが流す反政府側優勢情報。それにも関わらず、西側の軍事介入が必要なのは
何故か?
私が読んだ中で事実に近いと思われる記述。
>Destroying Libya: Globocrats No Longer Hide Support For Rebels
http://www.prisonplanet.com/destroying-libya-globocrats-no-longer-hide-support-for-rebels.html
>Schizophrénie libyenne (フランス語訳しかない)
http://www.voltairenet.org/article168670.html
さようなら、もうコメントしないよ。

02. 2011年3月02日 22:40:38: OXlPogtlQ6
>>01コメント氏へ、「ダイナモ」ブロガ―は、「アムネスティー・インターナショナル日本支部」の関係者であることを自ら表明している個人だ。自主投稿も結構しているよ。

かたや引き合いに出した「赤かぶ」ブログは、対価を支払って維持されている調査組織体だね。「工作員」などと散々悪態つかれているが、「赤かぶ」ブログは営業として活動しているのであって、両者は全然違うと思うが。

投稿主である「ダイナモ」ブロガ―とコメント氏との違いは、立ち位置の違いからくる選択情報の違いからも来ているのではないか。互いにバイアスがかかっている事を、自覚すれば良いことだ。価値中立の報道なぞ存在しないのだから。


03. 2011年3月03日 01:20:01: FFuNfLHeO2
>米政府はすでに反体制派の指導者たちに幅広く接触しており、

もっとずっと以前からだったんじゃないでしょうか?


>リビア国民が「正当だと感じられる組織や政党、機構」作りを支援していくと


いい間違いではないか。心の中では

米政府が「正当だと感じられる組織や政党、機構」作りを支援していくと

いうのが正しく思える。


04. 2011年3月03日 09:29:06: sNdrwBpvYc
RussiaToday just uploaded a video:

Airstrikes in Libya did not take place - Russian military

The reports of Libya mobilizing its air force against its own people spread quickly around the world. However, Russia's military chiefs say they have been monitoring from space -- and the pictures tell a different story. According to Al Jazeera and BBC, on February 22 Libyan government inflicted airstrikes on Benghazi -- the country's largest city -- and on the capital Tripoli. However, the Russian military, monitoring the unrest via satellite from the very beginning, says nothing of the sort was going on on the ground. At this point, the Russian military is saying that, as far as they are concerned, the attacks some media were reporting have never occurred. The same sources in Russia's military establishment say they are also monitoring the situation around Libya's oil pumping facilities.

RT on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/RTnews
RT on Twitter: http://twitter.com/RT_comsee this:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fFy6nBonfs&feature=player_embedded
==================[[[[[[[[[[[]]]]]]]]]]]]]===============THE WISDOM FUND
TWF.org

Mar 3, 2011
Asia Times

U.S., Europe salivate over Libyan oil
By Pepe Escobar

Forget "democracy"; Libya, unlike Egypt and Tunisia, is an oil power. Many a plush office of United States and European elites will be salivating at the prospect of taking advantage of a small window of opportunity afforded by the anti-Muammar Gaddafi revolution to establish - or expand - a beachhead. There's all that oil, of course. There's also the allure, close by, of the US$10 billion, 4,128 kilometer long Trans-Saharan gas pipeline from Nigeria to Algeria, expected to be online in 2015.

Thus the world, once again, is reintroduced to war porn, history as farce, a bad rerun of "shock and awe". Everyone - the United Nations, the US, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) - is up in arms about a no-fly zone. Special forces are on the move, as are US warships.

Breathless US senators compare Libya with Yugoslavia. Tony "The Return of the Living Dead" Blair is back in missionary zeal form, its mirror image played by British Prime Minister David Cameron, duly mocked by Gaddafi's son, the "modernizer" Saif al-Islam. There's fear of "chemical weapons". Welcome back to humanitarian imperialism - on crack.

And like a character straight out of Scary Movie, even war-on-Iraq-architect Paul Wolfowitz wants a NATO-enforced no-fly zone, as the Foreign Policy Initiative - the son of the Project for the New American Century - publishes an open letter to US President Barack Obama demanding military boots to turn Libya into a protectorate ruled by NATO in the name of the "international community".

The mere fact that all these people are supporting the Libya protesters makes it all stink to - over the rainbow - high heavens. Sending His Awesomeness Charlie Sheen to whack Gaddafi would seem more believable.

It was up to Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to introduce a note of sanity, describing the notion of a no-fly zone over Libya as "superfluous". This means in practice a Russian veto at the UN Security Council. Earlier, China had already changed the conversation.

In their Sheen-style hysteria - with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton desperately offering "any kind of assistance" - Western politicians did not bother to consult with the people who are risking their lives to overthrow Gaddafi. At a press conference in Benghazi, the spokesman for the brand new Libyan National Transitional Council, human-rights lawyer Abdel-Hafidh Ghoga, was blunt, "We are against any foreign intervention or military intervention in our internal affairs ... This revolution will be completed by our people."

The people in question, by the way, are protecting Libya's oil industry, and even loading supertankers destined to Europe and China. The people in question do not have much to do with opportunists such as former Gaddafi-appointed justice minister Mustafa Abdel-Jalil, who wants a provisional government to prepare for elections in three months. Moreover, the people in question, as al-Jazeera has reported, have been saying they don't want foreign intervention for a week now.

The Benghazi council prefers to describe itself as the "political face for the revolution", organizing civic affairs, and not established as an interim government. Meanwhile, a military committee of officer defectors is trying to set up a skeleton army to be sent to Tripoli; through tribal contacts, they seem to have already infiltrated small cells into the vicinity of Tripoli.

Whether this self-appointed revolutionary leadership - splinter elements of the established elite, the tribes and the army - will be the face of a new regime, or whether they will be overtaken by younger, more radical activists, remains to be seen.

Shower me with hypocrisy

None of this anyway has placated the hysterical Western narrative, according to which there are only two options for Libya; to become a failed state or the next al-Qaeda haven. How ironic. Up to 2008, Libya was dismissed by Washington as a rogue state and an unofficial member of the "axis of evil" that originally included Iraq, Iran and North Korea.

As former NATO supreme commander Wesley Clark confirmed years ago, Libya was on the Pentagon/neo-conservative official list to be taken out after Iraq, along with Somalia, Sudan, Lebanon, Syria and the holy grail, Iran. But as soon as wily Gaddafi became an official partner in the "war on terror", Libya was instantly upgraded by the George W Bush administration to civilized status.

As for the UN Security Council unanimously deciding to refer the Gaddafi regime to the International Criminal Court (ICC), it's useful to remember that the ICC was created in mid-1998 by 148 countries meeting in Rome. The final vote was 120 to seven. The seven that voted against the ICC were China, Iraq, Israel, Qatar and Yemen, plus Libya and ... the United States. Incidentally, Israel killed more Palestinian civilians in two weeks around new year 2008 than Gaddafi these past two weeks.

This tsunami of hypocrisy inevitably raises the question; what does the West know about the Arab world anyway? Recently the executive board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) praised a certain northern African country for its "ambitious reform agenda" and its "strong macroeconomic performance and the progress on enhancing the role of the private sector". The country was Libya. The IMF had only forgotten to talk to the main actors: the Libyan people.

And what to make of Anthony Giddens - the guru behind Blair's "Third Way" - who in March 2007 penned an article to The Guardian saying "Libya is not especially repressive" and "Gaddafi seems genuinely popular"? Giddens bet that Libya "in two or three decades' time would be a Norway of North Africa: prosperous, egalitarian and forward-looking". Tripoli may well be on its way to Oslo - but without the Gaddafi clan.

The US, Britain and France are so awkwardly maneuvering for best post-Gaddafi positioning it's almost comical to watch. Beijing, even against its will, waited until extra time to condemn Gaddafi at the UN, but made sure it was following the lead of African and Asian countries (smart move, as in "we listen to the voices of the South"). Beijing is extremely worried that its complex economic relationship with oil source Libya does not unravel (amid all the hoopla about fleeing expats, China quietly evacuated no less than 30,000 Chinese workers in the oil and construction business).

Once again; it's the oil, stupid. A crucial strategic factor for Washington is that post-Gaddafi Libya may represent a bonanza for US Big Oil - which for the moment has been kept away from Libya. Under this perspective, Libya may be considered as yet one more battleground between the US and China. But while China goes for energy and business deals in Africa, the US bets on its forces in AFRICOM as well as NATO advancing "military cooperation" with the African Union.

The anti-Gaddafi movement must remain on maximum alert. It's fair to argue the absolute majority of Libyans are using all their resourcefulness and are wiling to undergo any sacrifice to build a united, transparent and democratic country. And they will do it on their own. They may accept humanitarian help. As for war porn, throw it in the dustbin of history.

Pepe Escobar is the author of Globalistan: How the Globalized World is Dissolving into Liquid War (Nimble Books, 2007) and Red Zone Blues: a snapshot of Baghdad during the surge. His new book, just out, is Obama does Globalistan (Nimble Books, 2009). He may be reached at pepeasia@yahoo.com.

---
February 24, 2011
globalwitness.org

Why is corrupt money in our banks in the first place?

Recent unrest in Libya, Tunisia and Egypt has brought a desperate scramble to trace and freeze the assets of politicians believed to have amassed huge fortunes through corruption.

Comment has centred on how this money might be returned to the countries it came from but very few are asking how this money ended up in our banks in the first place.

If there is sufficient evidence that such funds were corruptly earned to warrant them being frozen now that dictators are being forced from office, what questions did banks ask of these customers at the point when they were accepted? . . .

LIBYANS spurn foreign "help"
/////////////////\\\\\\\\\\\\\\.


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