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ロシアの有力学者が予告《来年に米国崩壊→ロシアと中国が世界の軸に》（Fox News）
ロシアの外交政策に重要な影響を与える位置にある学者、イゴール・パナリンが次のような予想を立てています。
『オバマ大統領は今年中にマーシャル法（軍を用いての治安維持を含む国家緊急事態のための法）の適用を命じ、２０１１年が来る以前に米国は６つの地域に分裂するだろう。アラスカはロシアのコントロール下に置かれる。ロシアは決して分裂することなく、ロシアと中国が新たな世界秩序の中心となるだろう。』
これがかなりの確信を持つ分析・研究の結果なのか、新たな冷戦のプロパガンダに過ぎないのかは分かりませんが、このパナリンについては次の「ロシア政治経済ジャーナル」の中でも書かれています。
http://www.asyura2.com/09/wara7/msg/156.html
ソロス恐怖の大予言（ロシア政治経済ジャーナル 北野幸伯）
この中にある
ロシア外交アカデミーのパナリン教授は、「アメリカは6つに分裂する！」と予言。
http://archive.mag2.com/0000012950/20090116165704000.html
【参照】
http://www.asyura2.com/09/hasan61/msg/592.html
揺らぐアメリカの連邦制（田中宇の国際ニュース解説）
http://globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=12517
America's Fiscal Collapse （by Michel Chossudovsky）
今回ご紹介する記事はＡＰが伝えFOXNEWSが掲載したものです。
記事によると、このパナリンは、元ロシア連邦宇宙局（？Federal Space Agency）のスポークスマンでＫＧＢの分析官、今はロシア外務省に所属する研究所（大学？）の学部長で国営テレビの常連だそうです。この発言はこの火曜日に外交アカデミーでの講演で行われました。
（「ロシア政治経済ジャーナル」によりますと彼の肩書きは『ロシア外務省外交アカデミー・国際関係学部・学部長、政治学博士・教授』）
なお、同記事は次のサイトにコピーされています。
http://www.thetruthseeker.co.uk/article.asp?ID=10291
以下にこのFOXNEWS記事全文を貼り付けておきます。
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,504384,00.html
Russian Scholar Says U.S. Will Collapse Next Year
Wednesday, March 04, 2009
MOSCOW ― If you're inclined to believe Igor Panarin, and the Kremlin wouldn't mind if you did, then President Barack Obama will order martial law this year, the U.S. will split into six rump-states before 2011, and Russia and China will become the backbones of a new world order.
Panarin might be easy to ignore but for the fact that he is a dean at the Foreign Ministry's school for future diplomats and a regular on Russia's state-guided TV channels. And his predictions fit into the anti-American story line of the Kremlin leadership.
"There is a high probability that the collapse of the United States will occur by 2010," Panarin told dozens of students, professors and diplomats Tuesday at the Diplomatic Academy ― a lecture the ministry pointedly invited The Associated Press and other foreign media to attend.
The prediction from Panarin, a former spokesman for Russia's Federal Space Agency and reportedly an ex-KGB analyst, meshes with the negative view of the U.S. that has been flowing from the Kremlin in recent years, in particular from Vladimir Putin.
Putin, the former president who is now prime minister, has likened the United States to Nazi Germany's Third Reich and blames Washington for the global financial crisis that has pounded the Russian economy.
Panarin didn't give many specifics on what underlies his analysis, mostly citing newspapers, magazines and other open sources.
He also noted he had been predicting the demise of the world's wealthiest country for more than a decade now.
But he said the recent economic turmoil in the U.S. and other "social and cultural phenomena" led him to nail down a specific timeframe for "The End" ― when the United States will break up into six autonomous regions and Alaska will revert to Russian control.
Panarin argued that Americans are in moral decline, saying their great psychological stress is evident from school shootings, the size of the prison population and the number of gay men.
Turning to economic woes, he cited the slide in major stock indexes, the decline in U.S. gross domestic product and Washington's bailout of banking giant Citigroup as evidence that American dominance of global markets has collapsed.
"I was there recently and things are far from good," he said. "What's happened is the collapse of the American dream."
Panarin insisted he didn't wish for a U.S. collapse, but he predicted Russia and China would emerge from the economic turmoil stronger and said the two nations should work together, even to create a new currency to replace the U.S. dollar.
Asked for comment on how the Foreign Ministry views Panarin's theories, a spokesman said all questions had to be submitted in writing and no answers were likely before Wednesday.
It wasn't clear how persuasive the 20-minute lecture was. One instructor asked Panarin whether his predictions more accurately describe Russia, which is undergoing its worst economic crisis in a decade as well as a demographic collapse that has led some scholars to predict the country's demise.
Panarin dismissed that idea: "The collapse of Russia will not occur."
But Alexei Malashenko, a scholar-in-residence at the Carnegie Moscow Center who did not attend the lecture, sided with the skeptical instructor, saying Russia is the country that is on the verge of disintegration.
"I can't imagine at all how the United States could ever fall apart," Malashenko told the AP.
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