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From: Aoki Masahiko
Sent: Tuesday, January 30, 2007 9:13 PM
Subject: [nmw] 米軍はイラク情勢分析する能力不足：ファロン
現太平洋軍司令官からまもなく中央軍司令官になるファロンが議会に書面を提
出。その中で、イラク戦失敗の原因として、「敵の執拗さを過小評価した」こと
を上げた。そして「イラクの政治経済的あるいは軍事的な状況を正しく評価する
能力が米軍に欠けていた」と。つまりまるでお粗末な頭ですいませんと。
しかしそのお粗末米軍の指揮官に全面的に入ろうというのが自衛隊だ。陸軍に
至っては司令部まで日本に引っ越してくる。米軍は「能力」をアップしただろう
か。今のままなら、「絶対大丈夫だ。行ってこい」と米軍に命令された自衛隊の
部隊が玉砕という事態が頻発するはずだ。
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Jan 30, 6:28 AM EST
Fallon says U.S. miscalculated Iraq
By ANNE FLAHERTY
Associated Press Writer
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Adm. William Fallon, who is poised to become the top
American commander in the Middle East, says the United States
miscalculated the ability of Iraqi forces to take control and
underestimated the enemy's persistence.
"Securing the stability of the country has been more difficult than
anticipated," Fallon said in a written statement to the Senate Armed
Services Committee. "Our ability to correctly assess the political,
economic and security situation in Iraq has been lacking."
Fallon's remarks were submitted in advance of a confirmation hearing
Tuesday. Fallon, who commands troops in the Pacific region, has been
tapped to replace Army Gen. John Abizaid as head of the U.S. Central
Command.
In addition Tuesday, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee was
expected to consider the nomination of John Negroponte, the first
director of national intelligence, to become deputy secretary of state.
Fallon and Negroponte's confirmations were not expected to rouse Senate
protests, despite bitter opposition in Congress to Bush's plan to send
21,500 additional troops to Iraq.
Public sentiment has turned strongly against a war that has dragged on
for nearly four years with more than 3,000 American dead and violence
unabated by insurgents and sectarian militias.
In remarks prepared for a speech Tuesday, Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., a
member of the Armed Services Committee who recently returned from a
trip to the region, said only another 200,000 or 300,000 U.S. troops
would make a substantial difference in Iraq.
"Based on everything I saw last month, and based on my conversations
with Iraqi officials, our own military leaders and rank-and-file
soldiers, I am convinced more troops won't end the sectarian violence,"
Nelson said.
Nelson also was expected to deliver a sharp rebuke of Iraqi Prime
Minister Nouri al-Maliki. Nelson said al-Maliki "either lacks the will,
or the nerve, to take on the Shiite militias."
Last week the Senate approved, 81-0, Bush's nomination of Army Lt. Gen.
David Petraeus to head the Iraq war. Petraeus would work alongside
Fallon, who would oversee military operations throughout the region,
including Afghanistan.
During Petraeus' Jan. 23 confirmation hearing, senators questioned him
on how Bush's new strategy would work and whether Congress should weigh
in with a resolution of disapproval. Petraeus said the situation in
Iraq was "dire" but not hopeless.
In his written remarks, Fallon told the Senate panel that the U.S. has "
relearned" the need to hold secure an area "until Iraqi security forces
and local political and economic activity have provided essential
confidence to the population."
Fallon also said he believes the Pakistan government should do more to
prevent al-Qaida operatives from crossing its border into Afghanistan
and that Iran remains a serious threat to the region.
However, Fallon said Tehran was unlikely to produce a nuclear weapon
until "mid-next decade."
"I sense that our allies in the region are more concerned about the
potential threat posed by Iran now than at any time since the Iran-Iraq
War," he wrote.
Petraeus is to arrive in Baghdad to take over for Gen. George Casey as
the top U.S. commander in Iraq next week, a defense official said
Monday. Casey, tapped to become the next Army chief of staff, will face
the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday.
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