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シオニズムには数十年の歴史があり、ホロコーストはイスラエル建国の決定的要因ではなかった
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http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3063943,00.html
It wasn't the Holocaust
Holocaust was not determining factor behind Israel’s establishment
The inauguration of the new Holocaust Museum at “Yad Vashem” and the Zionist statement that is evident from the museum’s architecture begs, yet again, a discussion as to whether or not Israel would have been established had the Holocaust not taken place.
Historically speaking, Zionism, as revolutionary national liberation movement, was established decades before the Holocaust. The first Zionist Congress was held in 1897; Adolf Hitler was eight-years-old, and Nazism wasn’t even in its budding stage.
Great Britain, the most dominant colonial power at the time, officially recognized the Jewish nation’s right to a “national home” of its own in 1917, 25 years before the first European Jew was sent to a concentration camp.
It was the inquiry into the history of the Jewish nation as a stateless people continuously rejected by its surroundings that pushed Jews into the arms of Zionism, that is, a political solution in the form of a Jewish state.
Indeed, this was a cumulative, bitter historical lesson, rather than a one-time revelation.
The demographic argument
The Holocaust only re-validated Zionism’s basic assumptions, whereby the Jews are a nation living in the Diaspora among other nations that despise them, to some extent or another, and that seemingly “harmless” anti-Semitism can escalate into murderous pogroms.
The Holocaust was such a pogrom; its scale makes it a unique, but not deviant, event in the history of anti-Jewish hatred. Indeed, it was proceeded by numerous “minor” and “moderate” Holocausts and violent anti-Semitic outbursts across the globe.
However, the strongest argument for rejecting the claim the Holocaust produced Israel has to do with demographics.
On the eve of World War II, some 9.5 million Jews lived in parts of Europe that were later conquered by the Nazis.
What would have happened to European Jewry had the “final solution” not materialized? How many would Jews would be here today if they hadn’t been systematically annihilated?
The relatively slow birth rate among Western European Jews before the war allows us to assume the European Jewish population in 1945 would stand at about 10 million, and would increase by 2 percent a year.
The result: The number of European Jews in 1975 would reach some 18 million, and today the number would stand at about 33 million.
Is it at all fathomable that 18 to 20 million European Jews would not demand a homeland? Can anyone imagine the assimilation of 20 or more million Jews into Christian Europe?
'We pine for the Jews who were murdered'
Poland’s Jewish community alone would number 6 million in 1980 had it not been for the Holocaust. Can anyone imagine that the State
of Israel wouldn’t have been established and recognized by the world as the single solution to “Europe’s Jewish problem,” once this “problem’s” scope surpassed the 15-million mark?
Indeed, the Europeans would not have accepted the existence of such huge Jewish minority amidst them, and the Jews, in turn, would not have agreed to the status of a minority devoid of national-sovereign rights.
If the Holocaust had never occurred, the mass immigration of European Jews to Palestine-Israel would have commenced in the 1950s, with the approval and encouragement of European governments, including the Soviet Union.
No Arab protest could have prevented this from happening: A Jewish state accepting millions of Jews from Europe would quickly become an acknowledged fact.
The Holocaust did not beget Israel; rather, the Holocaust almost foiled the country’s establishment, by depleting the Jewish nation’s resources, threatening its very existence, and creating a huge gap in Jewish demography.
Without the Holocaust, today Israel would have been more heavily populated and stronger.
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