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急展開するこの間の情報から、いくつかの「事実」と論点の整理を試みました。
木村さんやＳｕｎＳｈｉｎｅさんの指摘(下記)を踏まえた暫定整理です。コメントください。
先行投稿。
http://www.asyura2.com/0505/war73/msg/227.html
http://www.asyura2.com/0505/war73/msg/239.html
http://www.asyura2.com/0505/war73/msg/264.html
１）ペンタゴン内部の暗闘：
反ネオコン・ジェネラルの拘束と反ネオコン支持部隊のイラク派遣による切り離し。
Four Star General Fired For Organizing Coup Against Neo-Cons?
Reporter suggests Brynes discovered plan to turn nuke exercise into staged terror attack
http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/august2005/100805fourstargeneral.htm
Speculation behind the reasons leading to these Coup Leader efforts centers upon the belief within the American Military Establishment that war with Iran is imminent and all that remains is the ‘triggering event’ forecast by many World Intelligence Organizations to occur this month in the United States. Like the rest of the world knows, should the American Coup Leaders fail in their efforts Total Global War will be the result of any American attack upon Iran, and as exampled by yesterdays article from the Uruknet News Service in their article titled "Why Iran will lead to World War 3" and which says; 略
http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index796.htm
２）チェイニーへの対イラン戦術核使用プランの提出。
That being the case, a report that was leaked last week that Dick Cheney had STRATCOM (Strategic Command) draw up “contingency plans for a tactical nuclear war against Iran”, is probably a bit of brinksmanship intended to dissuade Iran from striking back and escalating the conflict.
http://www.uruknet.info/?p=14453&hd=0&size=1&l=x
３）アメリカ国内の戒厳令体制シナリオ作成。
新段階か。
The war plans represent a historic shift for the Pentagon, which has been reluctant to become involved in domestic operations and is legally constrained from engaging in law enforcement. Indeed, defense officials continue to stress that they intend for the troops to play largely a supporting role in homeland emergencies, bolstering police, firefighters and other civilian response groups. But the new plans provide for what several senior officers acknowledged is the likelihood that the military will have to take charge in some situations, especially when dealing with mass-casualty attacks that could quickly overwhelm civilian resources.
以下､引用は http://www.wsws.org/articles/2005/aug2005/mart-a09.shtml
The plans of Northcom have their origins not in the terrible events of 9/11, but in longstanding concerns in corporate America about the political stability of the United States. This is a society increasingly polarized between the fabulously wealthy elite at the top, and the vast majority of working people who face an increasingly difficult struggle to survive. The nightmare of the American ruling class is the emergence of a mass movement from below that challenges its political and economic domination.
ＷＳＷＳの評価は、以下。
Evidently, the administration and the corporate elite which it represents do not take seriously their own warnings about the imminent threat of terrorist attacks using nuclear, chemical or biological weapons―at least not when it comes to security measures that would impact corporate profits. 中略
The anti-terrorism scare has a propaganda purpose: to manipulate the American people and induce the public to accept drastic inroads against democratic rights. As the Pentagon planning suggests, the American working class faces the danger of some form of military-police dictatorship in the United States.
戒厳令体制のプランの意味はなにか。それについては、新たなアメリカ本土への「テロ」攻撃対応としてつくられつつあるもので、911を越えるテロ対応、つまり、イランなどへの攻撃のトリガーとなる事件を想定し、それへの対応とみるべきか、それともＷＳＷＳの評価のように国内的脅し程度のものなのか、で評価が分かれうる。
○なお分析・探求の必要のあると思われる問題。
１）イラン攻撃のリスクをブッシュ政権はどうみているのか。
In the short term, however, the plan is fraught with difficulties. At present, there is no wiggle room in the world’s oil supply for massive disruptions and most experts are predicting shortages in the 4th quarter of this year. If the administration’s war on Iran goes forward we will see a shock to the world’s oil supplies and economies that could be catastrophic
http://www.uruknet.info/?p=14453&hd=0&size=1&l=x
２）にもかかわらず、遂行するとき、
イラン攻撃のトリガー事件をどのように設定するのか。
So far, none of the terrorist bombings in London, Spain, Turkey, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia or the US have implicated even one Iranian national. That will certainly change.
それとも新911か、その場合の対応が作成されつつある戒厳令体制であり、実行体制のための内部固め、ペンタゴン内部の慎重派の排除ということか。
現時点で考えられる形態は三つということになる。
⑴ウラン濃縮＝大量破壊兵器を口実とした介入。
⑵911のニューバージョン、拡大版。
⑶ロンドン型テロ。(この形態の評価についてはなお進行中と思われる)
結局、第一のウラン濃縮問題を切り口として設定しつつあるのが、現局面かと思われる。どうでしょうか。
３）ネタニャエフの辞任の背景はなにか。イスラエルとアメリカの対立はどの程度のものか。中国への武器輸出問題だけか。対イラン戦略で対立があるのか。ブッシュは第二のニクソンとなるのか。
American Israeli Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)をめぐる、アメリカとイスラエル双方の情報局の暗闘。イスラエル情報部員のアメリカ情報組織への浸透についてＦＳＢが指摘。イスラエルと敵対して引きずり下ろされたニクソンの二の舞となるのか。リメンバーニクソンというような対立が発生しているのか。(AIPACとはどのような組織なのでしょうか)
（ちなみにこのときにニクソンを裏切ったのがキッシンジャーとの指摘。Israeli/American (who betrayed their President Nixon, and is the War Criminal Sharon’s closest American advisor) Henry Kissinger,出所下記）
Rosen used AIPAC's resources, both financial and political, to carry out a sophisticated spy operation inside the Pentagon, involving not only Franklin but an entire subterranean network of informants and other assets, government officials who regularly provided information and pushed Israel's agenda inside the administration. AIPAC functioned, in effect, as an organized conspiracy on behalf of a foreign power, a funnel that not only poured money into pro-Israel candidates in both major parties and lobbied furiously on behalf of Tel Aviv, but also operated as a virtual clearinghouse of classified information, laundering it through the media – and, of course, funneling it back to their Israeli handlers.
中略
to the success of the American President in protecting both himself and his government from Israel still remains in doubt according to Russian Security Analysts, and who cite in their reports the last American President, Richard Nixon, who attempted to fight Israel, and as we can read as reported by the Jewish World Review in their report about the former American President Nixon titled "Remembering Nixon --- the 'anti-Semitic' prez who saved Israel during the Yom Kippur War" and which had said;
中略
The parallels between the present American President and President Nixon are not lost either, as both were leaders of the United States during unpopular wars and in their second terms in office began to feel the might of the Israeli owned and controlled Media and Entertainment being used against them.
http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index795.htm
４）アメリカの戦略についてのイラン政府の危機認識と対欧米戦略。
We should anticipate that the Iranian government has a long-range strategy for “asymmetrical” warfare that will disrupt the flow of oil and challenge American interests around the world.
http://www.uruknet.info/?p=14453&hd=0&size=1&l=x
題名には必ず「阿修羅さんへ」と記述してください。