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イラクの１月選挙延期も [共同]
http://news.kyodo.co.jp/kyodonews/2004/iraq4/news/1119-2411.html
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イラクの１月選挙延期も
【ロンドン１９日共同】十九日付の英紙ガーディアンによると、イラク暫定政権のアラウィ首相側近は、来年一月に予定されるイラクの国民議会選挙について「残された時間で、やるべきことはできない。延期があるかもしれない」と述べた。
米軍などのファルージャ制圧作戦に抗議して政権離脱を決めたスンニ派有力政党、イラク・イスラム党のアブドルハミード党首は「実施を遅らせるべきだ。治安情勢はスンニ派の投票を不可能にしており、このままならボイコットだ」と警告。同党から離脱し政権に残ったハサニ産業相は「スンニ派が参加しない形で選挙が実施されれば内戦の原因になる」と懸念を示した。
クルド人勢力は、基本的には一月実施を支持しているが、遅れても「理解する」との方針という。
（了） １１/１９
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Pressure grows for Iraq election delay [The Guardian]
http://www.guardian.co.uk/Iraq/Story/0,2763,1354586,00.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/print/0,3858,5066535-103550,00.html
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Pressure grows for Iraq election delay
Allawi aide says deadline looks more and more unrealistic
Michael Howard in Dukan
Friday November 19, 2004
The Guardian
The January deadline for Iraq's first post-Saddam elections looked increasingly in doubt yesterday after a senior aide to the interim prime minister predicted a delay.
Leading Sunni Muslim politicians also called for a postponement until there was an improvement in the dire security situation in the country's Sunni Arab heartlands.
"I don't think within the time available we can do everything, so I think a delay or postponing elections is more likely than holding them on time," said Ibrahim Janabi, a senior aide to Ayad Allawi.
Mohsen Abdul Hamid, the head of the mainstream Sunni Muslim Iraqi Islamic party, said: "I am with the delay. The security situation does not make it possible for the Sunni Arabs to vote. The Sunnis will boycott the elections if the security situation continues as it is now."
The comments came as senior Iraqi politicians convened at the lakeside resort of Dukan, in the Kurdistan region, for two days of crisis talks on how to move towards the country's first free elections in decades.
They came up with a five-point plan designed to chart a path to elections. In particular, they called for an extension to drawing up the electoral register and for a pan-Iraqi list to be created for the ballot.
In an interview with the Guardian last Sunday, Barham Salih, the deputy prime minister, said the Iraqi government would have to engage in a "hard-headed dialogue" with the UN and the Independent Election Commission about the feasibility of elections by January 31.
Staging credible elections is a key part of the US's postwar agenda for Iraq. But any campaign faces the prospect of terrorist strikes, ineffective Iraqi security forces, and the potential disenfranchisement and increasing alienation of the Sunni Arab minority that is behind much of the insurgency.
If heeded, the calls for an election boycott by influential Sunni Arab groups such as the Association of Muslim Clerics could threaten any new government's legitimacy.
Most of the political parties taking part in the Dukan talks are represented in the interim government and the national assembly. They include the two largest Shia parties - Dawa, and Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq; the two main Kurdish parties - the Iraqi National Accord and Ahmed Chalabi's Iraqi National Congress; representatives of the president, Sheikh Ghazi al-Yawar; and the Iraqi Islamic party, which withdrew from the interim government last week in protest at the Falluja offensive.
Under Iraq's laws there will be no electoral boundaries for the January vote, with the whole country treated as a single constituency. Political parties will contest the vote by slates of candidates.
But, in a sign of the deep fissures that have opened up over the timing, leading Shia figures present insisted that the January 31 deadline be met.
"The worst we can imagine is that the elections are cancelled in the areas that have a majority Sunni population," said Sa'ad Jawad Qandil, a top official in the SCIRI.
"This is not a good reason to cancel the whole election," Mr Chalabi, the leader of the INC and a secular Shia politician, said. "Who says security will improve if the elections are postponed?"
But Hachim al-Hassani, who was expelled from the Iraqi Islamic Party last week when he refused orders to quit his post as minister of industry, warned that if elections were held and Sunni Arabs excluded from voting, it "would be preparing the ground for something like civil war". Mr Hassani said he was representing the Iraqi president, with whom he is forming a new political party.
Kurdish politicians said they stood by the current election timetable, but "would understand" if there was a delay.
Voter registration is already under way, but has been overshadowed by the attack on Falluja and subsequent wave of violence in Sunni Arab areas.
· Last night, the US military said it had "broken the back of the insurgency" in Falluja, having killed some 1,200 militants and taken another 1,000 prisoner, though fighting still flickered and many rebels have dispersed. The government said residents would be able to return home in days.
US troops also said they had found a command centre in Falluja used by terrorist leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.
Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2004
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