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The Daily TelegraphのスクープをBBCが報じたもの。外務省の分析に基づいたストロー外相の書簡は、サダム放逐後のイラクが少しでも「ましな」体制となる可能性はなく、ベトナム並みの泥沼化は必定である旨、再三の警告を行ったにも拘わらず侵略を強行したトニー・スカンクの無茶苦茶ぶりがはっきりした形だが、臭いものはすべてスカンクに押しつけようという「その筋」の意図も感じられないではない。こういう情報リークがテレグラフのような右翼新聞から出てくるところを見ると、スカンクの出番はもう終わっているんではないか、という感じもするのである。
前任者のジョン・スミス労働党首が、トニー・スカンクにとっては「非常にタイミングの良い」心臓発作で死去してくれたおかげで、労働党首〜首相とトントン拍子に出世したわけだが、同じシナリオで葬り去られて、アラン・ミルバーン当たりに政権を乗っ取られる可能性もゼロとはいえないような気がする。トニー・スカンクの周辺には「もんじゃ焼き」の臭いがプンプンただよっているからである。ちなみにスカンクはここ2年間は心臓の痛みを訴え、救急車で2回も病院に担ぎ込まれるなど、情報の「下ごしらえ」は十分できているからである。何しろ握手しただけで、蚊が刺したほどの痛みも与えず、かっきり24時間後に心臓麻痺を起こす薬剤は間違いなく存在しているのである。
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/3668016.stm
Straw 'doubts' over Iraq invasion
More British troops could be deployed to guard elections
Tony Blair was warned that there could be post-war problems in Iraq, the Daily Telegraph has reported.
The warning came more than a year before coalition forces invaded the country, the paper said.
It claims to have seen confidential documents which detail concerns raised by the Foreign Secretary, Jack Straw, during the build up to the conflict.
In one letter Jack Straw allegedly told Mr Blair no-one had a clear idea of what would follow the invasion.
The documents reportedly seen by the newspaper were marked secret and personal and were drawn up in 2002.
They warned the prime minister of the huge difficulty faced by coalition forces after Saddam Hussein's removal from power.
A Downing Street spokesman said the government would never comment on leaked documents.
But he stressed Iraq was a better place following the removal of Saddam Hussein.
According to the Telegraph, Mr Straw wrote: "There seems to be a larger hole in this than anything."
"No-one has satisfactorily answered how there can be any certainty that the replacement regime will be any better. Iraq has no history of democracy so no-one has this habit or experience."
Some experts not working for the government predicted before the war that Iraq would descend into chaos, with battles lines drawn along ethnic and religious lines and a guerrilla warfare campaign being waged against the coalition.
Liberal Democrat foreign affairs spokesman Sir Menzies Campbell said: "If these documents are accurate they provide a devastating insight into the political run-up to war in Iraq.
"They demonstrate that the government agreed with the Bush administration on regime change in Iraq more than a year before military action was taken.
"The justifications offered on many occasions to Parliament and the public that the issue was one of WMD are shown to be a mechanism designed to get round the legal obstacles in international law against the removal of Saddam Hussein."