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ガーデイアン原文：２０２０年に欧州主要都市は水没
世界はパニックで無政府状態に
米国防総省が作成していた衝撃リポート(日刊ベリタ）
ーーあな、おそろし！
http://www.asyura2.com/0401/war48/msg/636.html
投稿者 ああ、やっぱり 日時 2004 年 2 月 25 日 01:34:54:5/1orr4gevN/c
２０２０年に欧州主要都市は水没 世界はパニックで無政府状態に 米国防総省が作成していた衝撃リポート
この原文を、私は、日刊ベリタ関係者を含む世界中の同志に転送した。その際、以下が、わが追加。
私は、人類と称する裸の猿の一族は、現在も進行中の乾期、いずれは異常乾燥期の到来を早めており、気象は激変し、昨年は北ヨーロッパで数万人が酷暑で死亡、戦争などしている暇はない、サハラ砂漠の緑化に取り組み、軍需依存経済を転換せよ、と主張しているのである。
http://www.jca.apc.org/~altmedka/afric-09.html
『古代アフリカ・エジプト史への疑惑』
(第1章-2）
異常乾燥期
[中略]
気象と自然環境の変化を、地理・歴史学者であるシュレ＝カナールの『黒アフリカ史』にもとづいて、要約してみよう。カタカナの個有名詞は、地名に由来するもので、とくに意味はない。
(1) 約100万？〜70万年前以降……第1カゲリアン雨期。それにつづく乾期。
(2) 約45万年前以降……第2カマジアン雨期。つづいて、後カマジアン乾期。アフリカ大陸の半分が居住不能となった。
(3) 約10万〜9万年前以降……第3ガンブリアン雨期。
(4) 紀元前1万年以降、8000年まで……後ガンブリアン乾期。アフリカ大陸の半分が居住不能となり、サハラの沙漠化は、現在よりも広範囲に及んだ。
(5) 紀元前8000年以降、2000年まで……後ガンブリアン湿期。サハラには、森林、草原、河川、湖水があり、好適な気候。こののち、乾期にはいり、現在も進行中。
これに対して、人類進化、初期の人類文化の年代を、最近のデータや仮説にもとづいて、わたしなりにまとめてみると、つぎのようになる。
(1) ピテカントロプスの発生……約100万年前？
(2) ネアンデルタール人の発生……約30〜45万年前？
(3) ホモ・サピエンスの発生……約7万〜10万年前？
(4) 農耕民の発生……紀元前約8000年
(5) オリエント・地中海文明史の開幕……紀元前約2000年
この年代が、アフリカ大陸の異常乾燥期と、見事に対応していることに注目したい。異常乾燥期を生きのびた人類とその文化が、そのあとの湿潤期に主流をしめたと考えればよい。もちろん、のちの時代になれば、別の経済法則がはたらきはじめることはいうまでもない。
さらに、異常乾燥期のもたらした劇的な事件のひとつに、サハラ先史美術の再発見がある。サハラ沙漠の真只中から、かっての湿潤期にさかえたアフリカの黒色人文明の証拠が、ぞくぞくと発見された。では、サハラ先史美術には、何が描かれていたのであろうか。また、それらは、どういう歴史を秘めていたのであろうか。
[後略]
http://www.guardian.co.uk/climatechange/story/0,12374,1153530,00.html
Now the Pentagon tells Bush: climate change will destroy us
Secret report warns of rioting and nuclear war
Britain will be 'Siberian' in less than 20 years
Threat to the world is greater than terrorism
Mark Townsend and Paul Harris in New York
Sunday February 22, 2004
The Observer
Climate change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe costing millions of lives in wars and natural disasters..
A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer, warns that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a 'Siberian' climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread rioting will erupt across the world.
The document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the planet to the edge of anarchy as countries develop a nuclear threat to defend and secure dwindling food, water and energy supplies. The threat to global stability vastly eclipses that of terrorism, say the few experts privy to its contents.
'Disruption and conflict will be endemic features of life,' concludes the Pentagon analysis. 'Once again, warfare would define human life.'
The findings will prove humiliating to the Bush administration, which has repeatedly denied that climate change even exists. Experts said that they will also make unsettling reading for a President who has insisted national defence is a priority.
The report was commissioned by influential Pentagon defence adviser Andrew Marshall, who has held considerable sway on US military thinking over the past three decades. He was the man behind a sweeping recent review aimed at transforming the American military under Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.
Climate change 'should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a US national security concern', say the authors, Peter Schwartz, CIA consultant and former head of planning at Royal Dutch/Shell Group, and Doug Randall of the California-based Global Business Network.
An imminent scenario of catastrophic climate change is 'plausible and would challenge United States national security in ways that should be considered immediately', they conclude. As early as next year widespread flooding by a rise in sea levels will create major upheaval for millions.
Last week the Bush administration came under heavy fire from a large body of respected scientists who claimed that it cherry-picked science to suit its policy agenda and suppressed studies that it did not like. Jeremy Symons, a former whistleblower at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), said that suppression of the report for four months was a further example of the White House trying to bury the threat of climate change.
Senior climatologists, however, believe that their verdicts could prove the catalyst in forcing Bush to accept climate change as a real and happening phenomenon. They also hope it will convince the United States to sign up to global treaties to reduce the rate of climatic change.
A group of eminent UK scientists recently visited the White House to voice their fears over global warming, part of an intensifying drive to get the US to treat the issue seriously. Sources have told The Observer that American officials appeared extremely sensitive about the issue when faced with complaints that America's public stance appeared increasingly out of touch.
One even alleged that the White House had written to complain about some of the comments attributed to Professor Sir David King, Tony Blair's chief scientific adviser, after he branded the President's position on the issue as indefensible.
Among those scientists present at the White House talks were Professor John Schellnhuber, former chief environmental adviser to the German government and head of the UK's leading group of climate scientists at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research. He said that the Pentagon's internal fears should prove the 'tipping point' in persuading Bush to accept climatic change.
Sir John Houghton, former chief executive of the Meteorological Office - and the first senior figure to liken the threat of climate change to that of terrorism - said: 'If the Pentagon is sending out that sort of message, then this is an important document indeed.'
Bob Watson, chief scientist for the World Bank and former chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, added that the Pentagon's dire warnings could no longer be ignored.
'Can Bush ignore the Pentagon? It's going be hard to blow off this sort of document. Its hugely embarrassing. After all, Bush's single highest priority is national defence. The Pentagon is no wacko, liberal group, generally speaking it is conservative. If climate change is a threat to national security and the economy, then he has to act. There are two groups the Bush Administration tend to listen to, the oil lobby and the Pentagon,' added Watson.
'You've got a President who says global warming is a hoax, and across the Potomac river you've got a Pentagon preparing for climate wars. It's pretty scary when Bush starts to ignore his own government on this issue,' said Rob Gueterbock of Greenpeace.
Already, according to Randall and Schwartz, the planet is carrying a higher population than it can sustain. By 2020 'catastrophic' shortages of water and energy supply will become increasingly harder to overcome, plunging the planet into war. They warn that 8,200 years ago climatic conditions brought widespread crop failure, famine, disease and mass migration of populations that could soon be repeated.
Randall told The Observer that the potential ramifications of rapid climate change would create global chaos. 'This is depressing stuff,' he said. 'It is a national security threat that is unique because there is no enemy to point your guns at and we have no control over the threat.'
Randall added that it was already possibly too late to prevent a disaster happening. 'We don't know exactly where we are in the process. It could start tomorrow and we would not know for another five years,' he said.
'The consequences for some nations of the climate change are unbelievable. It seems obvious that cutting the use of fossil fuels would be worthwhile.'
So dramatic are the report's scenarios, Watson said, that they may prove vital in the US elections. Democratic frontrunner John Kerry is known to accept climate change as a real problem. Scientists disillusioned with Bush's stance are threatening to make sure Kerry uses the Pentagon report in his campaign.
The fact that Marshall is behind its scathing findings will aid Kerry's cause. Marshall, 82, is a Pentagon legend who heads a secretive think-tank dedicated to weighing risks to national security called the Office of Net Assessment. Dubbed 'Yoda' by Pentagon insiders who respect his vast experience, he is credited with being behind the Department of Defence's push on ballistic-missile defence.
Symons, who left the EPA in protest at political interference, said that the suppression of the report was a further instance of the White House trying to bury evidence of climate change. 'It is yet another example of why this government should stop burying its head in the sand on this issue.'
Symons said the Bush administration's close links to high-powered energy and oil companies was vital in understanding why climate change was received sceptically in the Oval Office. 'This administration is ignoring the evidence in order to placate a handful of large energy and oil companies,' he added.
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