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★阿修羅♪
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現在地 HOME > 掲示板
> 戦争44 > 979.html
★阿修羅♪
|
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サダム拘束は、収束を意味しない。
サダムの支持者の烙印を押されたくなかった人々が、今から民族主義の次元で占領に対する抵抗に積極的に参加して、抵抗運動を増加させる可能性がある。
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★ブッシュの言う「イラクの人々の開放と平和のための戦争」なんてたわごとを信じている人などいないだろうから
サダム拘束で治安が回復するなどと云う報道は、米国内向けと、自衛隊を派遣したい小泉向けのプロパガンダ。
NBC
http://msnbc.msn.com/
http://msnbc.msn.com/Default.aspx?id=3708609&p1=0
Saddam’s capture may not end unrest
Arrest seen more as a coup for Bush administration
Updated: 7:26 a.m. ET Dec. 14, 2003LONDON - The capture of ousted Iraqi President Saddam Hussein in his hometown of Tikrit is a major coup for the U.S., but will not necessarily bring an end to the unrest in Iraq, analysts say.
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“There will be a reduction in operations sponsored by former regime loyalists, but this is not the full story because they are not the only group involved,” said Mustafa Alani, analyst at the Royal United Services Institute in London. “It won’t affect those by Iraqi or Arab mujahideen and might increase them because those who did not want to be branded as supporters of Saddam might now join a resistance with a more nationalist dimension,” Alani said.
“For the Americans, after the failure to capture Osama bin Laden after so many years, it is a propaganda coup … It’s an intelligence prize because they can get information from him about cells working now. And it’s a huge victory because he was the head of the regime and not like anyone else on the list of 55 most wanted.”
Toby Dodge, an analyst at Britain’s Warwick University and International Institute for Strategic Studies, agreed: “It’s a huge coup and most Iraqis will be celebrating the capture of this tyrant. But it’s not as clear-cut as that. The insurgency has grown well beyond Saddam’s control or even influence. There are 15 to 30 groups that have no direct contact, financially or strategically, with Saddam Hussein.”
Dodge said Saddam’s capture gives the U.S. a window of opportunity. “If they redouble their efforts and increase their troop commitment, they could contain or even roll back the insurgency. But the temptation of Bush, facing a re-election campaign, will be to call this victory and cut and run. That would be a disaster for Iraq, for the Middle East and for the strategic interests of the United States in the region and beyond.”
However, Jalal Talabani, a member of the Iraqi Governing Council and head of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, said that Saddam’s arrest means that “the financial resources feeding terrorists have been destroyed and his arrest will put an end to terrorist acts in Iraq.”
Amar al-Hakim, a member of the Central Council of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, was similarly optimistic. “His arrest will put an end to military and terrorist attacks and the Iraqi nation will achieve stability. We want Saddam to get what he deserves. I believe he will be sentenced to hundreds of death sentences at a fair trial because he’s responsible for all the massacres and crimes in Iraq.”
Copyright 2003 Reuters Limited. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters.
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